I fund for July 08

[Corvette]

Anybody have a guess when it's going to stop going down?

If you go by charts with head and shoulders, 18.30 would be the other shoulder.

As for time, this may go for another year.

 

[Corvette]

Nikkei up 0.15%
AORD up 1.33%

FV for Wednesday (previous)= -$0.2017

 

[Corvette]

EAFE estimate up +$0.3273
minus FV Wednesday (previous) of = -$0.2017 = +$0.1256


dollar down 0.42%

 

[Corvette]

EAFE estimate up +$0.3703
minus FV Wednesday (previous) of = -$0.2017 =+$0.1686


dollar down 0.44%

 

[McDuck]

There is going to be a powerful -FV this evening, right? Maybe as much as 2%? I've got my fingers crossed because I went 100%-I-fund today.

 

[McDuck]

EAFE estimate up +$0.3703

MSCI up 1.66% today which matchs with your 37 cents.

 

[McDuck]

If you go by charts with head and shoulders, 18.30 would be the other shoulder.

As for time, this may go for another year.

By 18.30 you mean the I-fund share price, right ?

That is down 14.4% from where it closed yesterday.

 

[Corvette]

EAFE final up +$0.3548
minus FV Wednesday (previous) of = -$0.2017 =+$0.1531
minus FV Wednesday (guess) of -$0.20 = -$0.0469

 

[Corvette]

There is going to be a powerful -FV this evening, right? Maybe as much as 2%? I've got my fingers crossed because I went 100%-I-fund today.

The FV is usually less than the difference of the US markets and the EAFE, especially with 2 FV adjustments in one day.

 

[Corvette]

By 18.30 you mean the I-fund share price, right ?

That is down 14.4% from where it closed yesterday.

Yes, that would be the I fund price. Another 14.4% would in range of a bear market.

If we are headed into a bear market, 18.30 seems possible.

I hope not.

 

[Corvette]

EAFE final up +$0.3548
minus FV Wednesday (previous) of = -$0.2017 =+$0.1531
minus FV Wednesday (guess) of -$0.2608 = -$0.1077 final :worried:

 

[McDuck]

EAFE final up +$0.3548
minus FV Wednesday (previous) of = -$0.2017 =+$0.1531
minus FV Wednesday (guess) of -$0.2608 = -$0.1077 final :worried:

I-fund share at 21.2969 cob-today.
That's a FV of - 1.2%. I was hoping for ~ -2.0% but I will be happy to get what I got.

 

[Corvette]

G fund 12.5209 up .0013
F fund 12.1754 up .0400
C fund 14.2032 down .3295
S fund 17.4671 down .3366
I fund 21.2969 down .1077 :worried:

FV for Thursday (previous) = +$0.2608

 

[Corvette]

I-fund share at 21.2969 cob-today.
That's a FV of - 1.2%. I was hoping for ~ -2.0% but I will be happy to get what I got.

You got a good price.

Now you have to wait for feast or famine.

 

[Corvette]

Nikkei up 0.12%
AORD down 1.35% :worried:

FV for Thurssday (previous)= +$0.2608

 

[Corvette]

EAFE estimate down -$0.2658
plus FV Thursday (previous) of =+$0.2608 = -$0.0050

dollar up 0.24%

 

[Corvette]

EAFE estimate down -$0.2713
plus FV Thursday (previous) of =+$0.2608 = -$0.0105

dollar down 0.10%

 

[Corvette]

EAFE estimate down -$0.2396
plus FV Thursday (previous) of =+$0.2608 = +$0.0212

dollar down 0.03%

 

[fedgolfer]

... I heard a Bloomberg guest suggesting to go short the EAFE today. I'm not suggesting that at all, but EFZ and EFU (ultra short 2x), are ETF vehicles to hedge or make $ when the I-fund is going down.

http://www.proshares.com/funds

 

[Birchtree]

Bloomberg is probably late to the party - when everyone else is playing the short game the danger is doubled - not for me. This market will catch most by surprise and turn on a dime. Especially the foreign markets.