I fund for August 08

[ATCJeff]

My point. With the huge swings in the market, it's almost impossible to predict -FV's or +Fv's these days. 12% just comes to mind because he makes many predictions.

 

[12%ayear]

My point. With the huge swings in the market, it's almost impossible to predict -FV's or +Fv's these days. 12% just comes to mind because he makes many predictions.

Wrong predictions lately. This market feels like many are throwing in the towel. I disagree and still say that the I FUND will gain double digits off these lows. Just my 2 cents. Although the US DOLLAR is getting stronger, you will see OSMs gain momo for the year.

 

[Corvette]

EAFE final down -$0.1572
plus FV Thursday (previous) of +$0.0000 = -$0.1572
minus FV Thursday of -$0.1694 = -$0.3266 final :worried:

 

[Corvette]

EAFE estimate down -$0.3332
plus FV Friday (previous) of +$0.1694 = -$0.1638
plus FV Friday (guess) of +$0.1200 = -$0.0438


dollar up 1.73%

 

[ATCJeff]

EAFE estimate down -$0.3332
plus FV Friday (previous) of +$0.1694 = -$0.1638
plus FV Friday (guess) of +$0.1200 = -$0.0438


dollar up 1.73%

Way to early to be predicting a FV for today. I'm thinking sell off this afternoon.

 

[luv2read]

and I'm thinking gains this afternoon and/or monday for I fund. Should be fun.

 

[ATCJeff]

and I'm thinking gains this afternoon and/or monday for I fund. Should be fun.

Not so sure about today. If we stay flat the rest of the day and the dollar does not sell-off, no gain today.

The dollar is killing the I fund.

http://quotes.ino.com/chart/?s=NYBOT_DX&v=w

 

[JTH]

An interesting note:

As of Thursday's I fund closing price of 20.89 we are only .22 cents above our year to date lows.

YTD, the I fund has only spend 4 days in the 20 dollar per share range.

 

[luv2read]

http://www.tsptalk.com/mb/showpost.php?p=174920&postcount=1

Have you seen the movement in the dollar today. Wow!

http://quotes.ino.com/chart/?s=NYBOT_DX&v=w

 

[Frixxxx]

and I'm thinking gains this afternoon and/or monday for I fund. Should be fun.

Concur, I think this is the a strength point.....Tuesday or Wednesday for the selloff

 

[Corvette]

EAFE final down -$0.2620
plus FV Friday (previous) of +$0.1694 = -$0.0926
plus FV Friday (guess) of +$0.2600 = +$0.1674

 

[Corvette]

Way to early to be predicting a FV for today. I'm thinking sell off this afternoon.

My guess is at the time of the market.

I cannot predict the price at the close of the market.

 

[Corvette]

Concur, I think this is the a strength point.....Tuesday or Wednesday for the selloff

Your thinking is possible and I am thinking the same way.

I was thinking of buying today, but Europe was up.

Russia wants high oil prices. Perhaps they will escalate the war in Georgia. If Europe goes down next week, I may jump in and buy more.

 

[Rustynutt]

I'd say that with Georgia provoking it, I'm sure Russia will escalate the situation and provide protection. Seriously doubt Russia will allow genocide of their population. Bet more territorial disputes erupt before the end of this administration. Wonder what kind of a deal Obama is going to have to make to secure a spot as a world leader. At least McCain can just fall back on current policy.

 

[Braveheart]

I Fund + .0586 $20.9500 Wow

C Fund + .3447 $14.8130

S Fund + .3646 $18.3507 :nuts:

 

[Corvette]

EAFE final down -$0.2620
plus FV Friday (previous) of +$0.1694 = -$0.0926
plus FV Friday of +$0.1512 = +$0.0586 final

 

[Corvette]

S Fund + .3646 $18.3507 :nuts:

The business channel stated that the small caps are favored over large caps when the dollar gets stronger.

A good tidbit to remember.

 

[Braveheart]

The business channel stated that the small caps are favored over large caps when the dollar gets stronger.

A good tidbit to remember.

Right now I am 100% S Fund and it hasn't moved that well compared to the C Fund recently. The I Fund looks to be on the verge of a drop because the foreignn markets are doing bad. The strong dollar is good for tht USA but not for Foreign Countries.

So if the US Market has a bad day the I Fund drops. If the foreign Markets have a rea good day but the US Market is down the I Fund drops. To me it appears the I Fund does well if the Foreign have a very good day combined with the US Markets and that may happen one a week. Add in the -FV or +FV and right now after looking at the picture I can move there even at the low price. I really see it below $20 soon within a month.

 

[Birchtree]

I'm afraid the bad news of the european and Japanese economic slow downs have already been built into the I fund price. I'm going to hold my 30% position in the I fund because interest rates on a global basis are set to begin falling soon. That will rally the stocks of their respective countries.

 

[tsptalk]

Right now I am 100% S Fund and it hasn't moved that well compared to the C Fund recently. The I Fund looks to be on the verge of a drop because the foreignn markets are doing bad. The strong dollar is good for tht USA but not for Foreign Countries.

As long as rates aren't rising here, the small caps should come out of this slow down / recession better the large cap multi nationals, who will be affected negatively by a strengthening dollar - just as they benefited from the weak dollar.

The question is: Is the rally in the dollar for real, or another smoke screen? The answer to that is the answer to C or S.