Redhead said:
Any advice about how to become more savvy would be appreciated.
The majority of TSP Talkers subscribe to market timing and technical analysis, i.e. trying to "beat" the market.
The other major investment approach is passive Asset Allocation (AA) based on the Efficient Market Hypothesis (EMH). Under passive AA you decide on a diversified asset allocation that meets your return needs and risk tolerance and stick to that allocation through "thick and thin". Typically a passive AA would include all of the TSP Funds. A very aggressive, 100% equities approach would leave out the G and F funds.
Passive AA assumes that the amateur investor (or the vast majority of professional investors) cannot expect to beat the market. Therefore, the strategy is to capture what the market offers. Incidentally, the indexing approach that TSP funds use is based on EMH and popularized by Vanguard. For passive AA information:
1. The Vanguard Diehards at
http://www.diehards.org/?ndays=10
2. William Bernstein's site at
http://www.efficientfrontier.com/. Mr. Bernstein has written several informative asset allocation books. His site also offers a recommended reading list as does the Diehard site.
3. The Coffee House Investor at
http://www.coffeehouseinvestor.com/
4. John Bogle's blog
http://johncbogle.com/wordpress/. Mr. Bogle is the founder of the Vanguard Funds.
As you may have guessed, I'm a passive AA advocate.
However, the important thing is to do some research and adopt an investment approach that you can effectively execute in both Bull and Bear markets.
Good luck!:cheesy: