Guess the Jobs Report - Jan 2013

[Bronco07]

+178K

 

[FishinFool]

165K

(also known as "the average of the latest CNBC and Marketwatch economists' predictions"!!)

(Who Dares Wins!!!)

 

[tsptalk]

I'll reopen this thread up again in the morning after the jobs report. Hopefully no later that 10:00 AM ET.


[TABLE="width: 212"]
[TR]
[TD]birchtree[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]+226,000[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD]clester[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]+206,000[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD]tom1tom1[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]+205,000[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD]Luke [/TD]
[TD="align: right"]+201,000[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD]sniper[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]+200,000[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD]realmoneyissues[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]+196,000[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD]remark[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]+192,000[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD]KneednDough [/TD]
[TD="align: right"]+190,000[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD]jb0441 [/TD]
[TD="align: right"]+182,000[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD]bmneveu[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]+181,000[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD]Bronco07 [/TD]
[TD="align: right"]+178,000[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD]cactus[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]+176,000[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD]tsptalk[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]+174,000[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD]nnuut[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]+167,000[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD]FishinFool[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]+165,000[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD]99Percent[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]+160,000[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD]Frixxxx [/TD]
[TD="align: right"]+158,000[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD]Intrepid_Timer[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]+146,000[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD]CrabClaw[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]-40,000[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD]ILoveTDs[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]-76,000[/TD]
[/TR]
[/TABLE]

 

[tsptalk]

+157,000 it is. (and 7.9%)

Congrats! to Frixxxx! Please PM me your shipping info and I'll get that travel mug out to you!

Thanks for playing, everybody!
---------------------------------

 

[KneednDough]

Congrats frixxx

 

[nnuut]

Only off by 1,000, wow that's close.

 

[Frixxxx]

Thanks Tom! My first win on the site!

 

[tsptalk]

Only off by 1,000, wow that's close.

A little too close. I think this contest was frixxxxed. :laugh:

 

[Frixxxx]

A little too close. I think this contest was frixxxxed. :laugh:

Nice, Actually there is a web site that I use that is fairly accurate (I didn't use their number)....Not exact, but what is!

 

[tsptalk]

I may have thrown people off with the 180,000 estimate from briefing.com.

When the number was announced, +157,000, the reporter said it was about in line with estimates. I also heard 160K estimated on another channel.

 

[tsptalk]

By the way, is this rally triggered by the 7.9% unemployment rate? Remember, the Fed said interest rates will remain low until we hit 6.5%, so this higher than expected unemployment rate keeps us closer to low rates. If it came in at 6.9% would we be tanking?

 

[bmneveu]

By the way, is this rally triggered by the 7.9% unemployment rate? Remember, the Fed said interest rates will remain low until we hit 6.5%, so this higher than expected unemployment rate keeps us closer to low rates. If it came in at 6.9% would we be tanking?

The revisions to November and December job numbers triggered the rally. + huge. The markets got a 2nd jolt around 10am I think when a good SMI report came in.

 

[Frixxxx]

I may have thrown people off with the 180,000 estimate from briefing.com.

When the number was announced, +157,000, the reporter said it was about in line with estimates. I also heard 160K estimated on another channel.

The site I use listed 161K expectation I lessened the number because the revisioning of the past two months affect this month and covered the spread I usually see to the low side.