Guess the Jobs Report - Jan 2013

[Frixxxx]

I may have thrown people off with the 180,000 estimate from briefing.com.

When the number was announced, +157,000, the reporter said it was about in line with estimates. I also heard 160K estimated on another channel.

The site I use listed 161K expectation I lessened the number because the revisioning of the past two months affect this month and covered the spread I usually see to the low side.

 

[bmneveu]

By the way, is this rally triggered by the 7.9% unemployment rate? Remember, the Fed said interest rates will remain low until we hit 6.5%, so this higher than expected unemployment rate keeps us closer to low rates. If it came in at 6.9% would we be tanking?

The revisions to November and December job numbers triggered the rally. + huge. The markets got a 2nd jolt around 10am I think when a good SMI report came in.

 

[tsptalk]

By the way, is this rally triggered by the 7.9% unemployment rate? Remember, the Fed said interest rates will remain low until we hit 6.5%, so this higher than expected unemployment rate keeps us closer to low rates. If it came in at 6.9% would we be tanking?

 

[tsptalk]

I may have thrown people off with the 180,000 estimate from briefing.com.

When the number was announced, +157,000, the reporter said it was about in line with estimates. I also heard 160K estimated on another channel.

 

[Frixxxx]

A little too close. I think this contest was frixxxxed. :laugh:

Nice, Actually there is a web site that I use that is fairly accurate (I didn't use their number)....Not exact, but what is!

 

[tsptalk]

Only off by 1,000, wow that's close.

A little too close. I think this contest was frixxxxed. :laugh:

 

[Frixxxx]

Thanks Tom! My first win on the site!

 

[nnuut]

Only off by 1,000, wow that's close.

 

[KneednDough]

Congrats frixxx

 

[tsptalk]

+157,000 it is. (and 7.9%)

Congrats! to Frixxxx! Please PM me your shipping info and I'll get that travel mug out to you!

Thanks for playing, everybody!
---------------------------------

 

[tsptalk]

I'll reopen this thread up again in the morning after the jobs report. Hopefully no later that 10:00 AM ET.


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[TD]birchtree[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]+226,000[/TD]
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[TD]clester[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]+206,000[/TD]
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[TD]tom1tom1[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]+205,000[/TD]
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[TD]Luke [/TD]
[TD="align: right"]+201,000[/TD]
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[TD]sniper[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]+200,000[/TD]
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[TD]realmoneyissues[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]+196,000[/TD]
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[TR]
[TD]remark[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]+192,000[/TD]
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[TD]KneednDough [/TD]
[TD="align: right"]+190,000[/TD]
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[TD]jb0441 [/TD]
[TD="align: right"]+182,000[/TD]
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[TD]bmneveu[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]+181,000[/TD]
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[TD]Bronco07 [/TD]
[TD="align: right"]+178,000[/TD]
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[TD]cactus[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]+176,000[/TD]
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[TD]tsptalk[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]+174,000[/TD]
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[TD]nnuut[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]+167,000[/TD]
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[TD]FishinFool[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]+165,000[/TD]
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[TD]99Percent[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]+160,000[/TD]
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[TR]
[TD]Frixxxx [/TD]
[TD="align: right"]+158,000[/TD]
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[TR]
[TD]Intrepid_Timer[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]+146,000[/TD]
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[TR]
[TD]CrabClaw[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]-40,000[/TD]
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[TD]ILoveTDs[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]-76,000[/TD]
[/TR]
[/TABLE]

 

[FishinFool]

165K

(also known as "the average of the latest CNBC and Marketwatch economists' predictions"!!)

(Who Dares Wins!!!)

 

[Bronco07]

+178K

 

[jb0441]

+182K

 

[Luke]

+201K

 

[tsptalk]

I'll take predictions until 12:00 midnight ET tonight (Thursday night)... since I won't be awake when the report comes out at 6:30 AM my time.

 

[99percent]

+160,000

 

[Intrepid_Timer]

146K and 7.9% unemployment

 

[CrabClaw]

-40,000

 

[ILoveTDs]

-76,000