Guess the Jobs Report Contest Mar'14

[tsptalk]

On Friday, April 4, we get the March jobs report. Make your predictions on the number of jobs gained / lost in the month??

You can't pick a number already taken and each guess must be rounded to 1000's. (ex: +201,000, -14,000, +195,000, +176,000, -5,000, etc. - no 100's)

There's a travel mug up for grabs for the closest pick.

If the winner also guesses the unemployment number correctly, they can upgrade to the stainless mug if they'd like (so predict both)!

We'll take predictions until 12:00 midnight ET this Thursday night, April 3.


Thanks, and good luck!



Briefing.com's consensus estimates are looking for +195,000 and 6.6%.

 

[MrBowl]

211,000 and 6.7%

 

[richargs62]

196,000 and 6.42

 

[Cathy57]

+189,000/ 6.7%

 

[slayer72]

+194,000 and 6.6%

 

[Weather]

+112K 6.7%

 

[CrabClaw]

+160k 6.7%

 

[remark]

+204,000 6.6%

 

[exceed83]

190K & 6.5%

 

[ILoveTDs]

201K 6.5%

 

[amoeba]

The only thing I have ever predicted corrrectly in the market for the last 2 years has been this contest - so here goes:

+131,000; 6.7%

 

[Sensei]

+170,000 and 6.6%

 

[twoody]

+145K 6.6%

 

[uscfanhawaii]

+199K, 6.5%

And I predict that whatever the number comes out as, Friday will be a negative reaction day.... followed by a nice gain back on Monday! :blink:

 

[Atarrin]

+140k jobs; 6.7%

 

[OleyOlson]

175,000 and 6.6%

Oley Olson

 

[James48843]

!92,000 jobs and 6.6%

 

[Minnow]

181K 6.7%

 

[MrJohnRoss]

+193,000 and 6.5% (mainly due to a drop in labor participation).

 

[imike023]

225k & 6.6%