tspgo_com
TSP Pro
- Reaction score
- 15
-
The Forum works well on MOBILE devices without an app: Just go to: https://forum.tsptalk.com
-
Please read our AutoTracker policy on the IFT deadline and remaining active. Thanks!
div>
$ - Premium Service Content (Info) | AutoTracker Monthly Winners | Is Gmail et al, Blocking Our emails?
Find us on: Facebook & X | Posting Copyrighted Material
Join the TSP Talk AutoTracker: How to Get Started | Login | Main AutoTracker Page
The Forum works well on MOBILE devices without an app: Just go to: https://forum.tsptalk.com ...
Or you can now use TapaTalk again!FV or not FV
- Thread starter tspgo_com
- Start date
tspgo_com
TSP Pro
- Reaction score
- 15
Last I-Fund Share Price ==>> 21.41
Today % Change ==>> -1.28%
Current Share Price ==>> 21.14
FV Correction ==>> 0.37
Today Expected FV (+ or -) ==>> 0.00
Today Expected I-Fund Share Price ==>> 21.51
I-Fund Change ==>> 0.10
11:06:29 AM on 03/20/08
.. and changing (up)
MR_BOOOOM
Market Tracker
- Reaction score
- 0
Is Japan open tonight ?
tspgo_com
TSP Pro
- Reaction score
- 15
Last I-Fund Share Price ==>> 21.41
Today % Change ==>> -1.35%
Current Share Price ==>> 21.12
FV Correction ==>> 0.37
Today Expected FV (+ or -) ==>> 0.00
Today Expected I-Fund Share Price ==>> 21.49
I-Fund Change ==>> 0.08
12:17:04 PM on 03/20/08
Yes. That's the price expected to be posted tonight, if things remained the same. If the USM goes down then -FV comes into play. If the market goes up then we might have a +FV. Right now we are not in FV territory.
McDuck
Market Veteran
- Reaction score
- 46
tspgo_com
TSP Pro
- Reaction score
- 15
Last I-Fund Share Price ==>> 21.70
Today % Change ==>> 0.16%
Current Share Price ==>> 21.73
FV Correction ==>> -0.25
Today Expected FV (+ or -) ==>> 0.00
Today Expected I-Fund Share Price ==>> 21.48
I-Fund Change ==>> -0.22
11:15:21 AM on 03/24/08
A wild guess!
McDuck
Market Veteran
- Reaction score
- 46
James48843
TSP Talk Royalty
- Reaction score
- 569
There has to be a huge FV calculation today- based on last weeks and todays runup- with the markets all closed overseas. if they don't, then tomorrows I fund price is going to be a huge gain, I would think.
tspgo_com
TSP Pro
- Reaction score
- 15
You are right. I am really counting on the huge gain tomorrow. Either way I'll be happy.
Good luck!I've been told that tracking the daily percentage differences between the
EFA and I-Fund have nothing to do with each other and the share prices
just don't work that way. Maybe so. But before the prices come out, I'm
seeing between a 1.15% and a .79% deficit that the I-Fund has been in
since Tuesday. IMO, cent gains (if the deficit remains the same) would be
.40 cents. I'm thinking this will result in a gain of somewhere between .37
or higher if they give us back some deficit. We'll see any second now.
Here,,,,Here,,,, to the highest price possible ! Good Luck.
My Best Guess:
C: 15.30
S: 18.05
I : 22.07
F: 12.13OK, I-Fund came in at 22.03 which added .07 cents to the deficit. It now
holds at a deficit of .27 cents or 1.24%. When it goes to the upper .20
cent area (as it is) the past sometimes resulted in a significantly higher
I- Fund gain the next day and/or a significantly lower loss. This is just
something I do for kicks and may have no merit concerning tomarrows
outcome. "But".33 cents per share is higher then others have predicted.
I'm here for amusement purposes only. Glad I could help!
Oh yes, to make a little money too !I wasn't laughing at you. Just ironic how Barclays continues to manipulate it. IMO it should have been higher, as you said.
I'm in total agreement with ya Anidoc, Barclays seems to be making up the
deficit by adding some back during down days. Lesser loses at the cost of
Greater Gains. Pooh ! I increased my I-Fund position to 40% for Tuesday.
Here's hoping for a forced deficit turnover for tomarrow ! I've seen them
give back between .10 and .13 cents in similar situations. Good Luck !
Do you think we're kinda bonding, in a manly kind of way ? (LoL):laugh:
I always enjoy your entries and find them very informative !
tspgo_com
TSP Pro
- Reaction score
- 15
What a mess!. I wish I could explain it.
I=22.03
Estimated: 21.54
Possible FVC for 3/25/08 = - 0.49
We'll try again tomorrow.tyvm! Don't know about the bonding part...I'm female! If I'm coming across as male I have a problem....
Prediction for tomorrow:
Leave it to me to bond with a female (LoL) At my age, I guess all things
are still possible. Anyway, my predictions for tomarrow are more guesses
and hopes. Some facts do stand out and I'm pleased to share.
The I-Fund .27 cent deficit (previously mention) is the best scenario for
us to have. The EFA 20day MA is poised to go above the 50day MA for
the first time since it fell below it around Christmas 2007. The last time
this happend was around October 24th, 2007 (during an upswing).There
is merit to the OSM responding to today's positive USM figures.
Conclusion: The upside out weighs the down side for tomarrow and my
40% in the I-Fund reflects these thoughts.
The S-Fund just broke through the 20day MA and I see a "Double Bottom"
or "W" in the chart. This alone is why I put 35% into the fund for Tuesday
However, the charts show me that any stay in the S-Fund will be short as
the trend is down upon reaching the 50day MA. Also there is no deficit in
the S-Fund. In fact, the S-Fund owes the DWCPF .12 cents at this time.
Conclusion: I see a 50-50 chance that the S-Fund will give me the 2nd
Greatest Return on my money (short term). So, 35% went in.
The C-Fund is currently -7.61% YTD. The S&P500 is -8.07% YTD which
falls nicely within its goal to stay close to one another. Again, good news
will do nicely and the C-Fund will reflect the Index with little or no
difference. Conclusion: My 25% was the least I wanted in any fund.
Take Note: Consumer Confidence is due out Tuesday. It was initially
going to be a down report, however, some expect a smaller
drop then they thought a few weeks ago. That would be good
for a small move upward for tomarrow. (Let us Prey)
Casual Male, Commercial Metals, Fortress Investments, Kirklands and
others report earnings tomarrow (no big deal) so, financials will stand out
like a sore thumb if bad news hits the air waves again. (ouch).
Durable Orders, New Home Sales and Crude Inventories are
due out Wednesday and will have the markets moving. In
what direction? (don't know) !
Put it all togather and you have the possibility of multiple ITF's before the
March 31st, 2008 deadline which has been imposed on some of us. The
hard part is trying to decide the proper balance I'll be using come 4/01/08
The question still looms,,, Are We Bull or Are We Bear ????Similar threads
