FV or not FV

[tspgo_com]

Last I-Fund Share Price ==>> 25.67
Today % Change ==>> -0.08%
Current Share Price ==>> 25.65
FV Correction ==>> 0.00
Today FV (+ or -) ==>> 0.00
Today Expected I-Fund Share Price ==>> 25.65
I-Fund Change ==>> -0.02

Today Expected S-Fund Gain ==>> -0.01

11:43:50 AM at 12/11/07

Huge +FV = 0.48

 

[tspgo_com]

Last I-Fund Share Price ==>> 25.17
Today % Change ==>> -0.16%
Current Share Price ==>> 25.13
FV Correction ==>> 0.00
Today FV (+ or -) ==>> 0.48
Today Expected I-Fund Share Price ==>> 25.61
I-Fund Change ==>> 0.44

Today Expected S-Fund Gain ==>> 0.22

12:05:56 PM at 12/12/07

 

[tspgo_com]

I'm confused about something here...(BTW thanks again for the tallies)...Anyways, I see this chart continue to be updated all day long until 4 PM, But you have the I fund tallies around noon...what does this chart indicate and does it mean anything or how does it figure in?..Thanks

ISHARES MSCI EAFE FD (NYSEArca:EFA)
Last Trade:84.10Trade Time:12:24PM
ETChange:

1.88 (2.29%)
Prev Close:82.22
Open:84.50
Bid:84.09 x 800.............................. EFA (I fund)
Ask:84.10 x 700NAV¹:N/A

The best way to put it is "Don't pay attention to this chart". It does not mean anything. Right now it looks as if we are in big -FV territory.

 

[tspgo_com]

Last I-Fund Share Price ==>> 25.17
Today % Change ==>> -0.22%
Current Share Price ==>> 25.11
FV Correction ==>> 0.48
Today FV (+ or -) ==>> -0.40
Today Expected I-Fund Share Price ==>> 25.19
I-Fund Change ==>> 0.02

Today Expected S-Fund Gain ==>> -0.14

03:30:36 PM at 12/12/07


What a mess! as of 3:30 pm

 

[tspgo_com]

Last I-Fund Share Price ==>> 25.17
Today % Change ==>> -0.22%
Current Share Price ==>> 25.11
FV Correction ==>> 0.48
Today FV (+ or -) ==>> -0.23
Today Expected I-Fund Share Price ==>> 25.36
I-Fund Change ==>> 0.19

Today Expected S-Fund Gain ==>> 0.02

04:05:55 PM at 12/12/07

 

[tspgo_com]

I like how it turned out better than what I was expecting.

Please, can someone tell me why I was so far off. I was expecting at least an FV of -.20. Where did I go wrong with my math?. Here is what I used:

..... ........ S%P ==== DOW
At 11:36 AM ====> 1500.06 ==== 13591.04



At 04:00 PM ====> 1486.5 ==== 13473.9

Change ====> -0.90% ==== -0.86%

Thanks.

 

[tspgo_com]

Last I-Fund Share Price ==>> 25.60
Today % Change ==>> -2.63%
Current Share Price ==>> 24.93
FV Correction ==>> 0.00
Today FV (+ or -) ==>> 0.00
Today Expected I-Fund Share Price ==>> 24.93
I-Fund Change ==>> -0.67

11:50:13 AM on 12/13/07

Estimated C-Fund Gain ==>> -0.13
Estimated S-Fund Gain ==>> -0.24
Estimated I-Fund Gain ==>> -0.67
Estimated I-Fund Gain ==>> -0.05

 

[tspgo_com]

Last I-Fund Share Price ==>> 25.60
Today % Change ==>> -2.70%
Current Share Price ==>> 24.91
FV Correction ==>> 0.00
Today FV (+ or -) ==>> 0.22
Today Expected I-Fund Share Price ==>> 25.13
I-Fund Change ==>> -0.47

05:33:28 PM on 12/13/07

Estimated C-Fund Gain ==>> 0.02
Estimated S-Fund Gain ==>> -0.04
Estimated I-Fund Gain ==>> -0.47
Estimated F-Fund Gain ==>> -0.05

 

[350zCommTech]

Hey TSPgo,

There's no need for both of us to be doing this. If you want it, I'll stop doing it.

 

[nnuut]

Two opinions are better than one!!

 

[tspgo_com]

Hey TSPgo,

There's no need for both of us to be doing this. If you want it, I'll stop doing it.

No problem. You do it.

I was not keeping this tally to compete with you or anybody else. You do an outstanding job and I don't think that there are too many out there that can compete with you. Your thread is one of the few I visit daily because of the high quality information that is being exchanged there.

The main reasons why I started keeping track of these values at around 11:30 -12:15 pm and after 4:00 pm were:


1.- I thought nobody was doing it consistently as it used to be.

2.- There was a significant decrease of this board activity after all the EBB's commotion. I wanted to contribute with something until things cooled down a little.

3.- I have been studying a pattern to predict FV's. The truth is that it has not been working and I have been hit hard every time I made a move thinking that I had it.

4.- A couple of months ago I went TDY and when I came back I was not able to find 11:30 values to update my spreadsheet. (8/17/07 - 8/28/07). It seems nobody was posting them (If someone has them, I still need them). I was able to retrieve some from weatherweenie's but his posts are little bit too early for my need.

4.- I use a spreadsheet to calculate these values. Everybody else has perfected proprietary formulas that are right on the dot most of the time. My numbers are usually off by a few points. When I am at work, I have someone who has access to Yahoo to print me the DOW, S&P, EFA, AGG and SML and then I enter the values on the spreadsheet and post the results here. The numbers are close enough for the pattern I am tracking.

5.- I wanted to keep the data in one thread for easy reference.

Thank you and keep up your great work .. and I trust there are no hard feelings.

TSPGO!

 

[350zCommTech]

OK, It's cool. No hard feelings here.

Your FV calculations are actually pretty good. It's just that Barclays is constantly changing the rules.

 

[nnuut]

Working together-------------GOOD S&&T! Makin me haPpY!!!:laugh:

 

[tspgo_com]

Last I-Fund Share Price ==>> 22.97

Today % Change ==>> 0.47%
Current Share Price ==>> 23.08
FV Correction ==>> -0.18
Today Expected FV (+ or -) ==>> 0.00
Today Expected I-Fund Share Price ==>> 22.90
I-Fund Change ==>> -0.07

10:12:55 AM on 02/04/08

 

[tspgo_com]

Last I-Fund Share Price ==>> 22.97
Today % Change ==>> 0.61%
Current Share Price ==>> 23.11
FV Correction ==>> -0.18
Today Expected FV (+ or -) ==>> 0.00
Today Expected I-Fund Share Price ==>> 22.93
I-Fund Change ==>> -0.04

11:43:43 AM on 02/04/08

 

[tspgo_com]

Last I-Fund Share Price ==>> 22.45
Today % Change ==>> 1.60%
Current Share Price ==>> 22.81
FV Correction ==>> -0.20
Today Expected FV (+ or -) ==>> 0.00
Today Expected I-Fund Share Price ==>> 22.61
I-Fund Change ==>> 0.16
11:07:41 AM on 02/25/08

 

[tspgo_com]

Expecting FV of 0.15 to 0.20

Last I-Fund Share Price ==>> 22.45
Today % Change ==>> 1.69%
Current Share Price ==>> 22.83
FV Correction ==>> -0.20
Today Expected FV (+ or -) ==>> 0.15
Today Expected I-Fund Share Price ==>> 22.78
I-Fund Change ==>> 0.33
At 03:42:08 PM on 02/25/08

 

[Gunny]

LMAO. What gives? 9:00PM CST and still not posted on TSP site?? Barclays can't decide whether to make it a + or - for the day? What a ripoff. This needs Congressional investigation.

I fund up $.18. Don't know if that helps you figure out the FV.

 

[Gunny]

-$0.19 FV sound about right?

 

[Gunny]

TSP changed their earlier $0.18 gain to a $0.33 gain. My guess is as good as anybody else's why. I funders made out no matter how you look at it.