Feb (I) Fund Talk

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I may be wrong...... but I am 100% C starting tomorrow. I think this is the play for a few. I'm sure I'll jump again soon!!
 
fye, here's the market prediction Cramer made in January.
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Jim Cramer listed his top 10 predictions for 2008 this week. Some of his forecasts are more likely than others, while others may just be wishful thinking.
1. Goldman Sachs (GS) makes more money than every other brokerage firm in New York combined and finishes the year at $300 a share. Not a prediction—an inevitability. In fact, it’s only January, and I think it’s already come true.
2. Oil goes much higher, maybe as much as $125 a barrel... We are running out of oil more quickly than people can imagine, and that means great returns for oil companies. Just buy the stock of the company you filled up at today or buy a driller (Transocean (RIG) is my favorite), then sit back and make money.
3. The Fed arranges an Arabic Heimlich maneuver on Citigroup (C), so the banking giant doesn’t choke on the worst mortgage portfolio in the country.
4. Verizon (VZ) becomes your cable provider.
​
Cramer praised Verizon's Fios, and predicted that the stock will be the best performing in the Dow Jones averages. Time Warner (TWX) and Comcast (CMCSA) will be hit hard, he adds.
5. Turning to private equity, Cramer predicted that Cerberus Capital Management will fail to resuscitate Chrysler (which he attributes partly on the choice of Bob Nardelli), and that Congress will agree to bail out the fund.
6. Cramer is bullish on Google (GOOG):
Google stock reaches $1,000. The company becomes one of the top three companies in the U.S. in market capitalization... and succesfully challenges Microsoft (MSFT) for operating-system dominance.
​
7. With the dollar weak, Cramer foresees European companies swooping in to buy up the likes of Merrill Lynch (MER), JPMorgan (JPM), Colgate (CL), Clorox (CLX), Whirlpool (WHR), and Black & Decker (BDK), which, he forecasts, will all see their stocks rise as a result.
8. Apple (AAPL), he predicts, will reach $300. He sees it successfully taking over the music business, and, among other knock-on effects, he forewarns that Warner Music Group (WMG) will file for bankruptcy.
9. Turning to the media, Cramer posits that the cash-strapped New York Times (NYT) will accept a buy-out offer from Mayor Michael Bloomberg at $20 a share.
Don’t be so quick to scoff: The cash is spare change for Bloomberg, who, don’t forget, already owns a small media company. I’d say the $10 share price is even money. That’s how bad it is at the Times. The Bloomberg buyout is probably a 100-to-1 shot, but may be less if he decides not to run for president and needs something else to do this year.
​
10. Returning to his lament over governmental and Fed policies, Cramer predicts that the victims of foreclosure will lead a march on the White House and lay siege on the Fed. This, he says, will lead to Bernanke resigning, his replacement slashing rates, and the markets rebounding. As Cramer admits, this one's a very very long shot.
But if Bernanke or a future Fed chair does cut rates meaningfully, here’s a sure bet: That’s the time to start buying.
​
 
DCguy said:
fye, here's the market prediction Cramer made in January.
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------


Jim Cramer listed his top 10 predictions for 2008 this week. Some of his forecasts are more likely than others, while others may just be wishful thinking.
1. Goldman Sachs (GS) makes more money than every other brokerage firm in New York combined and finishes the year at $300 a share. Not a prediction—an inevitability. In fact, it’s only January, and I think it’s already come true.​
2. Oil goes much higher, maybe as much as $125 a barrel... We are running out of oil more quickly than people can imagine, and that means great returns for oil companies. Just buy the stock of the company you filled up at today or buy a driller (Transocean (RIG) is my favorite), then sit back and make money.​
3. The Fed arranges an Arabic Heimlich maneuver on Citigroup (C), so the banking giant doesn’t choke on the worst mortgage portfolio in the country.​
4. Verizon (VZ) becomes your cable provider.​
Cramer praised Verizon's Fios, and predicted that the stock will be the best performing in the Dow Jones averages. Time Warner (TWX) and Comcast (CMCSA) will be hit hard, he adds.
5. Turning to private equity, Cramer predicted that Cerberus Capital Management will fail to resuscitate Chrysler (which he attributes partly on the choice of Bob Nardelli), and that Congress will agree to bail out the fund.


6. Cramer is bullish on Google (GOOG):
Google stock reaches $1,000. The company becomes one of the top three companies in the U.S. in market capitalization... and succesfully challenges Microsoft (MSFT) for operating-system dominance.​
7. With the dollar weak, Cramer foresees European companies swooping in to buy up the likes of Merrill Lynch (MER), JPMorgan (JPM), Colgate (CL), Clorox (CLX), Whirlpool (WHR), and Black & Decker (BDK), which, he forecasts, will all see their stocks rise as a result.
8. Apple (AAPL), he predicts, will reach $300. He sees it successfully taking over the music business, and, among other knock-on effects, he forewarns that Warner Music Group (WMG) will file for bankruptcy.


9. Turning to the media, Cramer posits that the cash-strapped New York Times (NYT) will accept a buy-out offer from Mayor Michael Bloomberg at $20 a share.
Don’t be so quick to scoff: The cash is spare change for Bloomberg, who, don’t forget, already owns a small media company. I’d say the $10 share price is even money. That’s how bad it is at the Times. The Bloomberg buyout is probably a 100-to-1 shot, but may be less if he decides not to run for president and needs something else to do this year.​

10. Returning to his lament over governmental and Fed policies, Cramer predicts that the victims of foreclosure will lead a march on the White House and lay siege on the Fed. This, he says, will lead to Bernanke resigning, his replacement slashing rates, and the markets rebounding. As Cramer admits, this one's a very very long shot.
But if Bernanke or a future Fed chair does cut rates meaningfully, here’s a sure bet: That’s the time to start buying.​
Click to expand...
Cramer has been more wrong than right. He is a barker. The US and World economy are in trouble. Real Estate is killing the markets. Oil is out of line. Inflationary pressure is increasing everyday. Based on my research, I see a bad year. Before, I thought we would have a good year. Now I think we will see the markets close the year out with double digit losses. This is a traders market. The key is to wait and enter for a pop and lock profits. China looks like a stack of cards. When you see them fall 50% or more, it will spread to the OSMs. Europe is in trouble. Asia has been in trouble. Remember when the Nikkei exploded and it never really came back. I see the DJIA hitting the 10,000 range from here before all is said and done. http://www.guardian.co.uk/feedarticle?id=7329627.. scary stuff
 
fye, this is a pretty old article, but I'm starting to think 401k (TSP) is the next bubble after the tech and house bubble burst..
401k plans and the bubble

As mentioned earlier, 401k plans have had, and continue to have, a significant influence on pumping up stock prices. The stock market investor used to be someone who knew at least a little more about stocks than the average person. But today the stock market investor is the average person. (CNBC’s Lawrence Kudlow likes to talk about the “investor class.”) Everyone, no matter how ignorant about corporate finance, is urged to invest in the stock market through his company’s 401k program.
Autopilot investing by everyman helped to push U.S. stock prices to their highest valuations ever (according to Yale economics professor Robert Shiller, author of Irrational Exuberance). And I think that one of the reasons that stock prices still remain historically high, despite all the bad karma from Wall Street, is that the 401k autopilot investing continues unabated. A few weeks ago, I wrote in my blog about the echo bubble we are currently experiencing. Blame the 401k plans once again.
Advice for 401k investors


If you have a 401k plan, and it’s invested in stock market funds, especially stock market funds that have a strong emphasis on tech stocks (and if you don’t know what kind of stocks your mutual funds are invested in then maybe you shouldn’t be invested in stock market funds), then my advice is GET OUT. I repeat. GET OUT OF STOCKS. Put all of your 401k money into the safe money market fund (which hopefully every plan has at least one of) and wait. The bottom of a bear market comes when everyone thinks that stocks are a bad investment. We are obviously far away from the bottom because everyone is still investing in stocks.
Click to expand...
http://www.calicocat.com/401k.htm
 
it seems the rate cut does nothing good for the market. Whenever we hear the rate cut announcement, market tanks and day traders sell all they got. As baby boomers start to retire in 2008, we will see the market tank.
 
anidoc said:
350, do you think F is a safe haven through Wednesday next week?
Click to expand...

I'm not sure about Monday and Tuesday, but after that, yes. PPI on Tuesday could be hot. G pays on Monday.

TNX is just above support at the 20dma. If it bounces off of that, the F fund will give back some, but it will be short lived. If it breaks through(I think it will), the F fund will gain quick and fast.
 
Friday EAFE total down $0.13 +FV from today's (previous) of $0.15= +$0.02
plus today's FV (guess) of $0.18= $0.20 :)
 
Quote from caymanbrac12:

"Isn't it funny how 1 hour before the market closes ol' Charlie Gasparino comes on and says with all these caveats that there Might be a bailout for bond insurer Ambac Financial by a bunch of different banks next week.

Here the market is down most of the day in triple digits and if this ain't manipulation I don't no what is. If good ol' Charlie had come on and said the deal WAS DONE that's one things but just to chuck out some bullshit rumor that MAYBE a deal was perhaps maybe later etc. done but basically who knows is totally horseshit and for CNBC to allow it is pretty irresponsible. Report it after the bell if you want to sell that crap. Dylan Ratigan and that fat ass Maria B. looked like they were about to jump through hoops. Oh, excuse me they already do. I have never heard one idea on that show the less and less I watch it that has ever made me a dime.

This is comparable to the time Maria Bartiromo was interview Chicago fed governor Moscow and "let slip" that at a dinner in conversation with Ben Bernanke that the market took it the wrong way what he said in a speech earlier. This was about a year ago. When she tells Moscow this she goes "gee look at the traders yelling on the floor" like she didn't have a clue and of course she pulls this horseshit 2 hours before the market closes - of course these correspondents which I say tongue in cheek "would never do anything to purposely affect the market - of course they have no idea the market would react to rumor and innuendo.":rolleyes:

I have never seen a bigger bunch of clowns in my life including that fool Jim Cramer. CNBC really are nothing but a bunch of cheerleading assclowns.

Just my humble opinion.:laugh: At least I say things in a calm and collected way. :D

If I had to depend on these idiots for financial input of anykind I would be sleeping on a grate in Washington, D.C. (hopefully on a heated grate):laugh:"

Craig
 
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