clester
Well-known member
Just looking at chart the low for today was 1.978%
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- Thread starter clester
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clester
Well-known member
Interesting day yesterday in the treasurys. The 10 years dove hard to 1.978 which is close to historic low then bounced hard back up leaving a hanging man candle. This could be a reversal candle. It also gapped down so that may need to be filled. The F fund trend is still intact with a strong uptrend and RSI is not over 70 yet so it still has room to run.
I feel like it's time to move back into stocks but I need a bounce off the lows to form a double bottom first. We could go through 1120 today. Also, I don't think holding over weekend would be appropriate right now. Patience!
clester
Well-known member
From bloomberg:
Yields on 10-year securities will fall to 1.8 percent within a month, said Akira Takei, head of the international fixed-income department at Mizuho Asset Management Co. in Tokyo, who correctly predicted this year’s rally. Mizuho Asset Management oversees the equivalent of $39.1 billion and is a unit of Japan’s second-largest bank. “A recession can’t be ruled out,” he said. “There are more hard times to come.”
clester
Well-known member
My intuition says we will bounce here. Not sure why.
Perhaps because most folks on tv say we will further head down. Maybe, because the 10 year is near historic lows and can't go much lower. We tested under 2% and bounced. Maybe, because if the bounce holds today in stocks we will have a double bottom and successful retest of 1120.
Just thinking out loud and pondering a move.
clester
Well-known member
I guess I will keep F longer while I wait for a bounce in stocks. Only 1 more trade left for month.
clester
Well-known member
Sold F yesterday. It needs to hold 108.5 on AGG to keep trend going. If not it may head back to 50 dma.
RealMoneyIssues
Well-known member
Anyone else think we have been getting screwed in the F fund with the latest down turn of the market... oh, and not even being close the AGG increases?
JTH
Well-known member
The AGG/F-Fund relationship has always been cryptic at best, but the balance does get restored over the long-term time frame. over the last 12 months, the F-Fund is ahead of AGG by .16%
https://www.tsp.gov/investmentfunds/monthly/monthlyReturns.shtml
RealMoneyIssues
Well-known member
Khotso
Well-known member
Think it happened twice this week alone. Definitely on 12/16. What the heck is up with that?
Kaufmanrider
Member
What happened today?? Down .14% on the charts, down .34% on TSP. Something just doesn't match up.Similar threads
