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F Fund low?
- Thread starter bmwnasa
- Start date
- Reaction score
- 2,449
D
Dave M
Guest
imported post
And yet, over the last 30 days, the F-fund has been our best performer. I believe I will put a few $$ in there this week, taken from the G-fund, and see if it works out.
Dave
And yet, over the last 30 days, the F-fund has been our best performer. I believe I will put a few $$ in there this week, taken from the G-fund, and see if it works out.
Dave
D
Dave M
Guest
imported post
On the 25th I bought some F-fund at 10.58. It closed Friday at 10.64, up eight cents in five trading days. That is about 10 times the G-fund rate so my small percentage investment is doing quite well comparatively.
Dave
On the 25th I bought some F-fund at 10.58. It closed Friday at 10.64, up eight cents in five trading days. That is about 10 times the G-fund rate so my small percentage investment is doing quite well comparatively.
Dave
The_Technician
Market Veteran
- Reaction score
- 15
imported post
I believe its time for the F fund to give a good return for at least the next week....
One of the things to take a look at about the F fund is it basically tracks the rate of increase of the G fund over the long term.....but here is the kicker, it does it with larger rates of increases at times greater than the G fund then sometimes recedes in the negative for a period...its just mirrors the G fund over long term but cycles up and down and around the constant G...the key here is to catch it as it cycles up and then get out in its down period.
Right at the moment, I believe we will experience a greater rate of change than the G fund and is a good time to get in if you're not in the Stocks....which look to be peaking out....
Looking for the F fund to outperform the G over the next 5 or so days....then expect a negative return....
:^
I believe its time for the F fund to give a good return for at least the next week....
One of the things to take a look at about the F fund is it basically tracks the rate of increase of the G fund over the long term.....but here is the kicker, it does it with larger rates of increases at times greater than the G fund then sometimes recedes in the negative for a period...its just mirrors the G fund over long term but cycles up and down and around the constant G...the key here is to catch it as it cycles up and then get out in its down period.
Right at the moment, I believe we will experience a greater rate of change than the G fund and is a good time to get in if you're not in the Stocks....which look to be peaking out....
Looking for the F fund to outperform the G over the next 5 or so days....then expect a negative return....
:^
The_Technician
Market Veteran
- Reaction score
- 15
imported post
If I'm correct on the F fund valued at 6.49% on my scale and the G fund at 7.5% and that the F fund needs to come up to the G Fund then that makes a 1% rise coming over the next week.....of course this is based on the fact that I'm not expecting a F Fund collapse.....
Lets see if we get the 1% riser over the next week....
If I'm correct on the F fund valued at 6.49% on my scale and the G fund at 7.5% and that the F fund needs to come up to the G Fund then that makes a 1% rise coming over the next week.....of course this is based on the fact that I'm not expecting a F Fund collapse.....
Lets see if we get the 1% riser over the next week....
The_Technician
Market Veteran
- Reaction score
- 15
imported post
I forgot to mention that the F fund appears to be 180 degrees out of phase with the S&P since around 17 June....if this is maintained then that means we should expect the S&P to drop while the F fund goes up.....
Question is....Is this a signal that the market is giving way to treasuries as the investment of the future for a couple of years???? It would be timely since I firmly believe the market is nearing the start of its demise in Sept and Oct......
Too many factors giving poor signals at this time to be very confident of the market....
I haven't traded much since I haven't gotten a good handle of what is happening in the market, but I project a 10%+ return for the year if I keep this rate up.....I do expect to get a better handle of the market trends as I go and should increase this return.....
:^
I forgot to mention that the F fund appears to be 180 degrees out of phase with the S&P since around 17 June....if this is maintained then that means we should expect the S&P to drop while the F fund goes up.....
Question is....Is this a signal that the market is giving way to treasuries as the investment of the future for a couple of years???? It would be timely since I firmly believe the market is nearing the start of its demise in Sept and Oct......
Too many factors giving poor signals at this time to be very confident of the market....
I haven't traded much since I haven't gotten a good handle of what is happening in the market, but I project a 10%+ return for the year if I keep this rate up.....I do expect to get a better handle of the market trends as I go and should increase this return.....
:^
The_Technician
Market Veteran
- Reaction score
- 15
imported post
Hey Mike,
Glad to see the fund close low yesterday.....hopefully we get a good reference point to start the next week with...
:dude:
Hey Mike,
Glad to see the fund close low yesterday.....hopefully we get a good reference point to start the next week with...
:dude:
The_Technician
Market Veteran
- Reaction score
- 15
imported post
This article speculates that the bond run we have had is possibly over.....
http://money.cnn.com/2005/07/12/markets/bondcenter/bonds/index.htm
I still think we have a bit more to go myself....personally yesterday may signal an alert to watch ....see what happens today and then decide if its worth staying in....
This article speculates that the bond run we have had is possibly over.....
http://money.cnn.com/2005/07/12/markets/bondcenter/bonds/index.htm
I still think we have a bit more to go myself....personally yesterday may signal an alert to watch ....see what happens today and then decide if its worth staying in....
The_Technician
Market Veteran
- Reaction score
- 15
imported post
I see the F fund jumping up this morning.......maybe this could be the start of what I saw several days ago.....
Keep you spirits up there Mike, we might have a rebound here coming your way....
:^
I see the F fund jumping up this morning.......maybe this could be the start of what I saw several days ago.....
Keep you spirits up there Mike, we might have a rebound here coming your way....
:^
The_Technician
Market Veteran
- Reaction score
- 15
imported post
After the fund seem to fizzle at the end of last week, I mentioned that I had pulled out....good thing for today it continued to fizzle out.....:?:UBummer!!!
It still looks like it could be a good move, but given market conditions
, it could just stay this way until AG stops the interest rate increases....
Waiting for that time.....:i
After the fund seem to fizzle at the end of last week, I mentioned that I had pulled out....good thing for today it continued to fizzle out.....:?:UBummer!!!
It still looks like it could be a good move, but given market conditions
, it could just stay this way until AG stops the interest rate increases....Waiting for that time.....:i
The_Technician
Market Veteran
- Reaction score
- 15
imported post
U know I think its Coolhand who has got me looking this away again....after looking at the data, I believe the F fund will be making a comeback here for a while...
I let my attention slip on it, but it looked like a good buy a week or so ago.....expect it to pan out for a little while here shortly and then when Greenspud stops interest rate increases it should move onward....at least for a couple of months....we could just play in and out on the rate increases till then....:^
U know I think its Coolhand who has got me looking this away again....after looking at the data, I believe the F fund will be making a comeback here for a while...
I let my attention slip on it, but it looked like a good buy a week or so ago.....expect it to pan out for a little while here shortly and then when Greenspud stops interest rate increases it should move onward....at least for a couple of months....we could just play in and out on the rate increases till then....:^
vectorman
TSP Pro
- Reaction score
- 21
imported post
The Technician wrote:
Funny, I thought I sent you a PMlast week pointing out that the F fund looks like its climbing off bottom.:?
_____Original Message_____
From: vectorman
Date: 2005-08-10 23:42:46
Subject: msg from vectorman
Hi Tech, what do you thing about a small play in the F fund now. Could it have bottomed? Thanks
From: The Technician
I think given the current interest rate increases and the non-inflation inflation....I'm given it room to settle some.
Still believe we're going down over the longer term on the S&P here though......
The Technician wrote:
Funny, I thought I sent you a PMlast week pointing out that the F fund looks like its climbing off bottom.:?
_____Original Message_____
From: vectorman
Date: 2005-08-10 23:42:46
Subject: msg from vectorman
Hi Tech, what do you thing about a small play in the F fund now. Could it have bottomed? Thanks
From: The Technician
I think given the current interest rate increases and the non-inflation inflation....I'm given it room to settle some.
Still believe we're going down over the longer term on the S&P here though......
