DreamboatAnnie's Account Talk

Feel for you Sniper! The F fund may keep messing with folks all year. Check this out! Eeeee...
I wish the S and C funds would look like this! :D

TNX 10 year yields.png
 
Charts as of a few minutes ago. Pink boxes are what Charles Payne indicated as possible resistance and support this past Friday, good for next week or two.

S fund and C fund price had upper wick that touched 20SMA (resistance) and has now backed off, while I fund touched purple short-term resistance and also dropped back down.

01 - S FUND - DWCPF DAILY.png

02 - C FUND - SPX DAILY.png

03 - I FUND - EFA DAILY.png

04 - F FUND - AGG DAILY.png
 
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Minute chart for S fund.... C fund looks the same.. also adding VXF because it has Volume data (close to S fund/DWCPF which doesn't provide volume data).

01 - S FUND - DWCPF DAILY.png

05 - VXF daily.png
 
don't forget NAAIM also reports on Thursday. We don't have enough reports for new quarterly data yet; but, last quarter's reporting average was 85.70; last Weeks report was 62.54.

does this mean the money managers are moving or recommending moving client money out of equities as the numbers head lower?
 
62.54 is actually UP from the previous weeks number of 53.39 Check my thread for the graphics. :smile:
 
Because we have been trending down in market, I can understand why last quarterly NAAIM average would be higher. I tend to compare current week to prior week like Epic. Best wishes to you all! :smile:
 
Because we have been trending down in market, I can understand why last quarterly NAAIM average would be higher. I tend to compare current week to prior week like Epic. Best wishes to you all! :smile:

I agree with DB and Epic. it is definitely in a down trend, but you should compare last week to this week for current decisions. I also wouldn't let this be your only metric for making any decision.
 
Rotation check. So looks like C fund higher than S fund but I have heard lots of talking heads say Small caps are better than SPX. Hummm....:scratchchin::dunno:

08 - Rotation -S and C Fund.png
 
Some compression within the charts. Those BB's look to be coming together a bit more. Perhaps a big move is coming?? I think it very well could be. Of course which direction who knows. To me this move today isn't big, so far but perhaps a start. Maybe get people moving in one direction and then the markets decide ok enough jumped in so the big moves will be to the downside OR today or tomorrow will be the push above those resistance areas in some of the charts and it continues for a few days/week maybe two. VIX still above 20 so anything can happen. Perhaps it moves back down to the 15/16 areas.

I agree that if the markets can hold onto the days gains perhaps some momentum to the upside is in store for a few days. The daily reversals happen which is yet again why I have just sat on the sidelines so far this year. A few wild swings make me gun shy. But the more I just sit here in G and not make anything makes me itching to catch something. Just hoping for a break again, my preference would be for us to test those lows and then get in for that slingshot move back up. But I'm sure others are eyeing that up as well.

Best wishes to those who have some skin in the game over in the C and S funds. Always cheering for you even when I'm not in it. No moves for me yet but I'm nervously watching more closely this week. I do think a big move is coming.
 
Here are charts as of a few mins ago. Considering entry but unsure.
It did drop below Slo Sto a week ago, and dropped... Now it's picked up steam and now reached 80 on SlowSto...humm.. Hesitate to chase.

01 - S FUND - DWCPF DAILY.png


02 - C FUND - SPX DAILY.png


03 - I FUND - EFA DAILY.png


04 - F FUND - AGG DAILY.png
 
ugghhh... No entry today. I must stick to strategy. Try to "execute" the strategy....but so hard to see Green$$$ on the screen and be sittin on the Lilly pad. Best wishes to Everyone! :D:D:D

OIP (5pp).jpg
 
I was going to jump in myself; but, missed the deadline. Now (for better or worse) I get to wait and see how it plays for tomorrow's decision.
 
okay...now I am truly Green with envy! Lol...here are the beautiful charts this morning! :D

S fund had big full candle but now starting to develop upper wick as more selling happens. Will see how hour heading into noon cutoff goes. It is engulfing bullish.
C fund not looking as good but still green. It did reach upper area of Charles Payne's called upper range in pink box.
I fund has a weird candle that seems to have averted creation of an abandoned baby. Not sure how to read this so far. Price is at top of the open red candle.

01 - S FUND - DWCPF DAILY.png

02 - C FUND - SPX DAILY.png

03 - I FUND - EFA DAILY.png

04 - F FUND - AGG DAILY.png
 
Everything started dropping at around 12:45pm ET. Not sure if Fed or someone spoke to cause more fear, as I've not listened to news today. Here is minute chart and all TSP funds took dive at that time.

I did notice that the spread between 10 year and 5 year interest yield narrowed much more compared to week ago and 10 year is now above 2%. Also VIX is up.

$TNX= 2.029% (10year) minus FVX= 1.946% (5 year) =.083%...8 pt spread.

Couple weeks ago it had about 19 pt spread. The yield curve is flattening and experts say when it inverts is signal of coming recession. Not yet inverted... And they most commonly compare 10 and 2 instead of 10 year and 2-year, but I have heard FBN report on 10 vs 5. But oddly, I've not seen 2-year chart. If anyone knows symbol for a 2-year yield chart, please do share it. Thanks! :smile:



01 - S FUND - DWCPF DAILY.png
 
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