Dodge 'Em Account Talk

[Dodge_Em]

Some good reading material.

http://biz.yahoo.com/ibd/070405/feature.html?.v=1

 

[Dodge_Em]

I expected more from TI and IBM ... hmmm, housing ... man that's killing the market again. :notrust:

Staying on the "I" train for a couple of days until ride out of this dip. Hopefully we get a small pop-up before the end of the day.

 

[Dodge_Em]

My April return ... 2.41%:embarrest:

YTD ... 4.19%


Not too bad, but it could have been around 4% ... I stayed in the S when I came down. I should be making up part of that loss today.

 

[Dodge_Em]

Planning on staying in the I fund until tomorrow.

Then moving to the Funny Farm for Monday.
YTD returns for first day of the week are as follows:
(This includes Tuesdays after monday holidays)

F +1.69%
C +0.10%
S -0.24%
I +0.63%

 

[Dodge_Em]

Planning on staying in the I fund until tomorrow.

Then moving to the Funny Farm for Monday.
YTD returns for first day of the week are as follows:
(This includes Tuesdays after monday holidays)

F +1.69%
C +0.10%
S -0.24%
I +0.63%

Here's a little more info

Percentage of the time that returns are positive:

F 75%
C 50%
S 53%
I 50%

I have begun to start liking the "Farm" ...

 

[Dodge_Em]

Hehe ... Are you trying to get me to do some work here???

Well, in any case, after seeing those values ... I think I'm going to start checking out what happened in the previous years? Can any suggest a good year to check out? (that includeds the C,S,and I)

I'll get cranking on the other days of the week too, but the more data I have the more reliable this thing gets. :blink:

 

[nnuut]

Here's a little more info

Percentage of the time that returns are positive:

F 75%
C 50%
S 53%
I 50%

I have begun to start liking the "Farm" ...

You might want to take a look at this thread, I see some similarities.
http://www.tsptalk.com/mb/showthread.php?t=4157

 

[Dodge_Em]

I have the returns for Fridays YTD (or last day of the week).

F -0.71%
C -0.81%
S -0.23%
I +1.41%


I have to make a couple of changes to the positive return percent rate and post 0% days ... I'll try to get those values out tomorrow.

 

[Dodge_Em]

YTD First Day of Week
Fund F C S I
Returns +1.69% +0.10% -0.24 +0.63
Positive% 66% 50% 50% 50%


YTD Last Day of Week
Fund F C S I
Returns -0.71% -0.81% -0.23 +1.41
Positive% 24% 47% 65% 65%


Check out Fridays S and I values ...
Interesting

0% returns are not included in the Positive Percentage.

 

[Dodge_Em]

Last years numbers for this time of the year.

May 9
G 0.00%, F 0.00%, C 0.00%, S -0.05%, I 0.53%

May 8
G 0.00%, F 0.00%, C -0.07%, S 0.16%, I 0.43%

*Weekend*

May 5
G 0.00%, F 0.19%,C 1.05%, S 1.00%, I 1.27%

May 4
G 0.09%, F 0.00%, C 0.35%, S 0.67%, I 0.69%

 

[Dodge_Em]

Paladin,

I was taking a look at last years returns and the numbers do not follow this pattern. I'll see if I can upload those numbers tonight.

I guess this year is unlike any other, which can be good, or bad.:worried:

 

[Dodge_Em]

Your right ... I was going to get cranking on some numbers. I was thinking quarterly. But in order to get all my pennies in the jar, I'm going to need to do some extensive thinking.

Ponder I Shall!

 

[Dodge_Em]

Here are the results for first day of the week in 2006. by Quarters


_____1st______2nd_____3rd______4th
F -0.09% , -0.09% , 0.00%, 0.54%
C -0.56% , -5.94% , 3.65% , 2.84%
S 0.13% , -10.16% , 3.33% , 3.17%
I 1.85% , -6.11% , 1.11% , 0.33%

This definatetely supports the "I "Fund for the first quarter thoery. But the 2nd quarter shows the large drop we had in May last year. If we see that kind of movement I would probably stay F or G (specially on "Super Penny Days" . Then into the C or S for the 3rd and then S for holiday season.

 

[Dodge_Em]

Anyone out there have the Thriftline # handy ... the site is timing out on me.

 

[wv-girl]

I found it-- 1-877-968-3778

 

[USNAVYRETIRED]

Anyone out there have the Thriftline # handy ... the site is timing out on me.

It's 877-968-3778... :nuts:

 

[Warrenlm]

How is it working with the new character and number passwords?

 

[Dodge_Em]

THANK YOU!!!

I'm pretty sure there are a couple people out there that can't do IFTs online right now.:suspicious:

 

[Dodge_Em]

How is it working with the new character and number passwords?

You use your old 4 # pin number ... so don't forget it!!!:nuts:

 

[Dodge_Em]

I stole Paladin's words for future reference ...

DISCUSSION OF DCA-ING INTO S & I FUNDS:

Example #1: S drops in morning, then recovers in afternoon (like today).
Action: Don't buy in at noon.
Result: You saved yourself a false DCA attempt and kept your powder dry.

Example #2: S drops in morning, stays down in afternoon.
Action: Don't buy in at noon.
Result: S has officially dipped. Now look to DCA tomorrow at a lower price.

Example #3: On second day, S drops in morning and stays down in afternoon.
Action: Buy in at noon.
Result: You got a great value because S dropped 2 consecutive days!

Example #4: On second day, S drops in morning then recovers in afternoon.
Action: Buy in at noon.
Result: You DCA'd in and captured the first day's drop, and now S has a possible bottom in place (i.e. the low of Day #2).

Example #5: On second day, S goes up in morning.
Action: Maybe buy in, maybe not.
Result: Uncertain.