Bullish Chickens

Chickens.jpg

I know I'm one. And apparently there resides a whole hen house full of them within the TSP tracker. You may know who or what I'm talking about. Maybe you're one too. I'm talking about bullish chickens. :nuts:

They're everywhere this week. What else could possibly explain an 18% upside shift in bullish sentiment in our TSP sentiment survey for this week, while at the same time an almost 11% drop in stock allocations across the entire tracker? :cheesy:

Yeah, locking in profits. I did that to the tune of 80% myself. :D

I just had to have some fun with that. When I voted in the sentiment survey this week, I voted neutral. But that was Thursday. On Friday the market took off again and I became bullish for this coming week. I'm still thinking we'll retrace a good deal of those gains, but I'm not so sure now that it'll happen next week.

Here's the charts:

2011 Fund Allocation ~ Top 50 Chart 3.jpg
2011 Cash-Stock Exp ~ Top 50 Chart 1.jpg

The Top 50 actually increased their stock allocations by almost 5%. But I know there was probably some G fund holders that fell out, while some stock holders advanced, so I'm not sure how many of these folks actually changed allocation.

Total Fund Allocation Chart 3.jpg
2011 Cash-Stock Total Exp Chart 1.jpg

Look at that drop off on stock allocations, not to mention that ramp up in G fund holdings! We're loaded for bear now, huh? :laugh:

We're now under 50% for stock allocations. Guess the S&P 500 will hit 1400 by week's end now. :D

Hope you're all having a great 4th of July! See you Tuesday.
 
CH,

I think some of that move was to settle accounts prior to a long weekend. It makes sense, but I didn't do it:cheesy:. I really don't want to blow an IFT on a guess. And, you know me, my trading system is guessing.

Going to let it ride for a while. I'm not competent enough (at all:nuts:) in either fundimental or technical analysis to use up an IFT.

Folks gotta remember that we are still 15% under 2007 highs in the S&P500. We are close to four years after the market top. The S&P500 was in a sorta bubble (too much power in the financial sector) but it dumped more that it should have. And, four years of normal growth off a correction should have us over the highs (another guess). Thus the bulls have room to run and slow folk to gore. Yummy!!!
 
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