Bquat's Account Talk

[FogSailing]

Hi Bquat. I'm guessing a nice bounce early nest week assuming NO REAL BAD NEWS. If I had another IFT I'd be in 75% today (about as much as I ever go in anymore), split between C and S. Alas, because of our antiquated TSP System, I'm stuck and can't move. I'm still uncomfortable with the volatility in I.

Thanks for all you do. All the best in your investing.

FS

 

[Bquat]

Thought I would do a VIX_X 4 Hour: (Moving averages not for this time frame)

 

[Bquat]

Okay enough with the charts. Where's the cat Birch?

 

[felixthecat]

Hi Bquat. I'm guessing a nice bounce early nest week assuming NO REAL BAD NEWS. If I had another IFT I'd be in 75% today (about as much as I ever go in anymore), split between C and S. Alas, because of our antiquated TSP System, I'm stuck and can't move. I'm still uncomfortable with the volatility in I.

Thanks for all you do. All the best in your investing.

FS

The cat going down in flames. Goodbye rankings. Looks like Monday could be a banner morning only to be hung out to dry in the afternoon. Stock Market Crash on Black Monday? Brings back memories. The young investors getting a real taste of volatility of the old days. Welcome to the real world of investing. Friends don't let friends buy and hold stock. It's back in vogue.

 

[FAB1]

Hi Bquat. I'm guessing a nice bounce early nest week assuming NO REAL BAD NEWS. If I had another IFT I'd be in 75% today (about as much as I ever go in anymore), split between C and S. Alas, because of our antiquated TSP System, I'm stuck and can't move. I'm still uncomfortable with the volatility in I.

Thanks for all you do. All the best in your investing.

FS

You are in a good place, the I fund is going to jump the higher than the rest when all the tasty morsels the fearful dropped are Gobbled-Up - rite around the corner... maybe a 5-6% superstreet single-bound leap over tall bears.?

 

[Bquat]

The cat going down in flames. Goodbye rankings. Looks like Monday could be a banner morning only to be hung out to dry in the afternoon. Stock Market Crash on Black Monday? Brings back memories. The young investors getting a real taste of volatility of the old days. Welcome to the real world of investing. Friends don't let friends buy and hold stock. It's back in vogue.

Well we're about down to the 50 % Fibonacci Ret. from Octobers low and the last peak. Is that enough or is this a large inverse cup and handle? Last chart:

 

[Bquat]

Definitely fell out of the six month price range. Flat top big drop. Notice volume to down side:

 

[Bquat]

Are we going to October low or is 10% enough:

 

[Fran1775]

Dont say that
Green is fine with me

Sent from my SM-G920P using Tapatalk

 

[Bquat]

Plunge Protection Team buying right after our deadline trying to cut the loss to less that 10% overall. Don't you hate our deadline? That's just a theory on my part that's it's the PPT. I don't know if it will be enough unless they can get dumb money to buy it. Then it could be a bull trap. I'm not smart enough to figure it out.:blink:

 

[ravensfan]

Plunge Protection Team buying right after our deadline trying to cut the loss to less that 10% overall. Don't you hate our deadline? That's just a theory on my part that's it's the PPT. I don't know if it will be enough unless they can get dumb money to buy it. Then it could be a bull trap. I'm not smart enough to figure it out.:blink:

Yeah that deadline is a royal pain in the tail. I read a lot of talk about only 2 IFT's per month, but the real problem for me is the requirement to have your IFT submitted by 12:00 noon. IMHO the deck is stacked against us, trying to figure out what the market will do for the last 4 hours of the day. You would think that with the TSP being such a large part of our retirement package, they would level the playing field and allow us to submit IFT's (and I'm ok with only 2 per month) all the way up to 4:00 pm.

Of course, when was the last time our government did something to benefit the folks?

 

[Bquat]

I was doing extra charts lately to give you guys something to help figure how far the correction can go. I have no idea. Today's dip is now being bought but I don't know if it's a fake out but here's the fear indicator and we know it needs to get below the danger line. This can happen but the odds are 60/40 it won't:

 

[Boricua]

Ravensfan,

I agree with you, they should let us do the ift all the way up to 4 pm. They should also make it 2 "full" ift's per month at least. If you are out and jump in, in a new month, then jump out to G; you just used both of your ift's. I always thought it was 2 ift's to jump in and you could jump to safety, "G", without using an IFT.

I do not think this will ever change, wishful thinking!

B

 

[Bquat]

Last chart for today. DOW fighting for support:

 

[Bquat]

Here's the fear indicator:The labels are just my thinking.

 

[Bquat]

S Fund not looking like it even wants to try a Dead Cat Bounce::suspicious:

 

[Bquat]

So I was watching this yesterday, so I'll wait and see if a bottom happens and then redraw maybe a few 4 Hour charts on Thursday night:
Trading Videos - Free Online Trading Education

 

[OBXTrader]

The S Fund under-performed all day, but it also under-dropped during the sell-off.

Mentioned in another thread, thought I would get a piece of the up today only to stop out with a $300 loss using an S&P ETF. Never walk away from a trade without a stop in place, I had a nagging feeling, glad I did. Saved myself over $1000. Victory is mine. Should have sat on my hands like I do in TSP.

So I was watching this yesterday, so I'll wait and see if a bottom happens and then redraw maybe a few 4 Hour charts on Thursday night:
Trading Videos - Free Online Trading Education

 

[Bquat]

Future's action was different last night. Last night Futures went negative first and then bounced. The last few nights , they went positive and then moved back down. I don't know if this is a good thing but they did look as if they hit bottom and spiked up. I may do a SPY chart to show the first hour of volume to see if there's a trend change. Do you guys think there was a change?:blink:

 

[FogSailing]

I hope so but I'm not feeling it Bquat. My instinct tells me there is some further downside although today could muster some gains based on more positive news out of Asia....but I'm no expert.

FS