Bquat's Account Talk

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I follow two funds for F. One showed .04, the other showed neg .11. I don't think there is anything out there that follows F easily.
 
Thanks for visiting. I don't know why the difference and I just watch AGG at the bottom of the page just to see if it confirms the S&P move.

OK, since you guys visited. FAB, I hope I didn't help you miss todays up, but I'm a little bearish as of late as I been on my lilly a month or so now. I still have my 12% savings from resent market activity and still would like to miss the small gains than take a chance and lose my pants. So I may be looking at the graphs with a slightly bearish schew to them.

The least bearish thing I have is a slightly bearish channel forming and that the Head and shoulder may not work. I saw somewhere before where you can rise a little from the base and still continue down and still make the projected loss. As for the bearish flag, Oscar from live with Oscar say's a bearish flag can extend but will still be bearish.

Heres what I got: What do you think?:confused:
 
Thanks guys 30,000 views.:D

Somebody likes my simple graphs.:)

I do them this way because it's easier on the fly and still gets the point across. Well sometimes. Yes?

Again think you guys and feel free to post even if you disagree. Two or three heads are better than one. The slight difference in trading styles help keep us from being too bearish or too bullish. Small gains add up and missing drops helps and others help me miss making bad decisions a lot. Think so you do, yes?:confused:
 
I was thinking this morning while reading your last post that I was agreeing with you and that more and more people on this site, as well as commenting investors, did as well. That was when it hit me that, with this much concurrence, we all must be wrong and that the market is going to go through the roof! Now this afternoon rolls around, Greece get guarantees that they will not be allowed to default, the EU works on getting everyone calmed down about Italy, Portugal etc. are all mum, our economic indicators of the day are flat...and we go up 2+%. OH WELL!!!!! Too cold to go swimming this evening but the beer will be almost as good.
 
Mcqlives said:
I was thinking this morning while reading your last post that I was agreeing with you and that more and more people on this site, as well as commenting investors, did as well. That was when it hit me that, with this much concurrence, we all must be wrong and that the market is going to go through the roof! Now this afternoon rolls around, Greece get guarantees that they will not be allowed to default, the EU works on getting everyone calmed down about Italy, Portugal etc. are all mum, our economic indicators of the day are flat...and we go up 2+%. OH WELL!!!!! Too cold to go swimming this evening but the beer will be almost as good.
Click to expand...

It sure is starting to look like we are going up. 1208 is a strong resistance point but it was the top about 5 days ago and can have a double top effect. We also have to do a head test on the head and shoulders at 1220. I still a little bearish and need some bullish input. We did break the top of the short term channel I was showing. 1220 is the place to beat.:confused:
 
Bquat said:
It sure is starting to look like we are going up. 1208 is a strong resistance point but it was the top about 5 days ago and can have a double top effect. We also have to do a head test on the head and shoulders at 1220. I still a little bearish and need some bullish input. We did break the top of the short term channel I was showing. 1220 is the place to beat.:confused:
Click to expand...

On the transports the H&S is busted...
 
Intrepid_Timer said:
LOL, you should go to work for CNBC!! ;)
Click to expand...

Just watching both channels (on the charts) and trying to get a clue. I am not sold on the upwards movement with this volatility and intraday trading ranges. I like the transports but they have tricked me into making a wrong move before. I hope for all in the markets right now that I am wrong but...for now I am going to go to the F fund on a roll of the the dice that 1208 was it and this is a small rally in the midst of the downward channel.

And...I wish CNBC would stop doing so much forecasting and stick with the actual data...I would find it much more useful than listening to doom and gloom or CEO's and CFO's talk about their "feelings" on market trends.
 
Bquat said:
It sure is starting to look like we are going up. 1208 is a strong resistance point but it was the top about 5 days ago and can have a double top effect. We also have to do a head test on the head and shoulders at 1220. I still a little bearish and need some bullish input. We did break the top of the short term channel I was showing. 1220 is the place to beat.:confused:
Click to expand...

Well it looks like 1220 held big time as resistance. I posted this yesterday. Now what?

1208
1204
1198
1140
1140
1120
1050
1000
968
940
900
You tell me?:(
 
You know what? Maybe even I may be getting too bearish for my own good.:confused:

Yea I missed some big losses, but I'm not even looking for any bullishness and I could be doing the same mistakes others have done in 2009 and missed 75% of the rally waiting for the next shoe to drop.

The other day I posted " were seeing lower highs and that the lowes were holding". I was in my bear mode and missed this as a falling wedge which is bullish. We at least this wasn't mentioned in the market videos untill last night in post analysis which is a lot better to do than preanalysis. Everyone does quite well after the fact lately. So keep you heads up to my recent and short term, I hope, bearishness. My inverse Birchism as of late is watching favoring the down side. Just wanted to give you how I'm thinking lately. The frog on the pond maybe pondering too muck.

Don't even know if this may be a good thing.:)
 
Bquat said:
You know what? Maybe even I may be getting too bearish for my own good.:confused:

Yea I missed some big losses, but I'm not even looking for any bullishness and I could be doing the same mistakes others have done in 2009 and missed 75% of the rally waiting for the next shoe to drop.

The other day I posted " were seeing lower highs and that the lowes were holding". I was in my bear mode and missed this as a falling wedge which is bullish. We at least this wasn't mentioned in the market videos untill last night in post analysis which is a lot better to do than preanalysis. Everyone does quite well after the fact lately. So keep you heads up to my recent and short term, I hope, bearishness. My inverse Birchism as of late is watching favoring the down side. Just wanted to give you how I'm thinking lately. The frog on the pond maybe pondering too muck.

Don't even know if this may be a good thing.:)
Click to expand...

I am doing the same thing...but the problem is that the short terms (like a week out) keep looking better and better while the long term keeps looking worse and worse. With the 2 move limit we try to save our moves to make the most of them and we miss out on percents that we used to pick up with ease. I keep expecting us to go lower, and still do in the coming weeks, but I hate missing out on this 4-5ish% profit that keeps recurring. The big question now is what happens this afternoon to 1220? Do we get another test and a fail or will we have a breakout to the 1260ish range? If we do break the 1220 do we jump in and try to get the 3-4% and then use another move (if you have one) to go to G or F? Or do you see if we hit a new low during the next 2 weeks and save your move till then?

Many have said it, but it bears repeating...TWO MOVES A MONTH SUCKS!!!:sick:
 
Mcqlives said:
I am doing the same thing...but the problem is that the short terms (like a week out) keep looking better and better while the long term keeps looking worse and worse. With the 2 move limit we try to save our moves to make the most of them and we miss out on percents that we used to pick up with ease. I keep expecting us to go lower, and still do in the coming weeks, but I hate missing out on this 4-5ish% profit that keeps recurring. The big question now is what happens this afternoon to 1220? Do we get another test and a fail or will we have a breakout to the 1260ish range? If we do break the 1220 do we jump in and try to get the 3-4% and then use another move (if you have one) to go to G or F? Or do you see if we hit a new low during the next 2 weeks and save your move till then?

Many have said it, but it bears repeating...TWO MOVES A MONTH SUCKS!!!:sick:
Click to expand...

Yea, too bad we can't IFT every time we hit the blue line.

Well I'm still bearish, but were at a critical point to maybe be bullish 1225ish.

Two line of resistance: The bottom of the old channel and the top of channel and bear flag.

A push right here can cause shorts to cover and bulls to buy. You think it could happen. I'm 60/40 not.:(


Ok FAB1, JTH, and Mcqlives, here's where we watch to go a little bullish.:) This is all I gotfor you.
 
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