Bquat's Account Talk

I think I found the source of the funny feeling. New York fed bought 75 bill of securities last night? What’s up with that!?
https://www.marketwatch.com/story/u...-decision-2019-09-18?siteid=yhoof2&yptr=yahoo

... but included language in its accompanying statement and economic projections that called into question whether there will be another rate cut this year or next.

The Fed announced it would cut the benchmark federal funds rate a quarter percentage point to a range of 1.75% to 2% Wednesday afternoon, but said in an accompanying statement that “sustained expansion of economic activity, strong labor market conditions, and inflation near the Committee’s symmetric 2% objective are the most likely outcomes.”

Pressure from the administration is for more cuts. Personally I think there's a disconnect somewhere. Concern for inflation versus attempting to stimulate the markets. Stronger labor and economy should restrain further cuts yet many economists are calling for weaker expansion and stagnating markets. Push me pull me continues imo. And for that reason, this melt up market just may pick up speed until it runs into a brick wall.
 
Now since tomorrow is Friday, China or Iran news will pop up.:(

Yep. That's why I'm in G. Also closed out all my personal holdings except a few shares of ROKU Im holding long term.
My bet is sometime tomorrow evening after the markets are closed Trump will launch "Operation Glass Bowl!" :eek:
 
Still in G Fund.
Gas tank full. $2.53 gal.
F Fund unembedded.
Ready for this weekend news.
Go ahead and flush the toilet::cool:
 

Attachments

  • DWCPF 09_20_19.jpg
    DWCPF 09_20_19.jpg
    87.7 KB · Views: 170
  • AGG 09_20_19.jpg
    AGG 09_20_19.jpg
    80.7 KB · Views: 172
Are these patterns finally looking like they will fulfill themselves. Finally both may be unembedded:
 

Attachments

  • DWCPF 09_23_19.jpg
    DWCPF 09_23_19.jpg
    88.4 KB · Views: 153
  • AGG 09_23_19.jpg
    AGG 09_23_19.jpg
    81.5 KB · Views: 154
Wounder how long I can push this pattern? Update with a little redraw::cool:
 

Attachments

  • DWCPF 09_23_19.jpg
    DWCPF 09_23_19.jpg
    88.6 KB · Views: 146
  • AGG 09_23_19.jpg
    AGG 09_23_19.jpg
    81.8 KB · Views: 147
Wounder how long I can push this pattern? Update with a little redraw::cool:

Quite possible we're simply seeing the handle consolidation. Any real world news worthy event could shake things up quickly in any direction. I'm going with the consolidation theory. For now. Dipped my toe back in last Thursday C, S @5% & I @ 10%.
 
News popped the S Fund below all the moving averages I was expecting to hold and bounce. News also popped the F Fund above the 18 day where I was expecting resistance.:( The only good thing was that I'm still in G but now I'm not expecting to enter the market tomorrow. I have no idea on what tomorrow will bring::sick:
 

Attachments

  • DWCPF 09_24_19.jpg
    DWCPF 09_24_19.jpg
    87.9 KB · Views: 137
  • AGG 09_24_19.jpg
    AGG 09_24_19.jpg
    80.7 KB · Views: 136
There's a gap to fill, we may just be heading down to fill it. No more buys for me till October.
Yeah I see it. I wasn't expecting to fill it until today. I was getting bullish but don't know now::notrust:
 

Attachments

  • DWCPF 09_24_19.jpg
    DWCPF 09_24_19.jpg
    88.4 KB · Views: 145
My 50/100 days tested from below as resistance. 60/40 chance of gap fill.:worried: AGG pattern looking better:
 

Attachments

  • DWCPF 09_25_19.jpg
    DWCPF 09_25_19.jpg
    88.2 KB · Views: 140
  • AGG 09_25_19.jpg
    AGG 09_25_19.jpg
    80.1 KB · Views: 143
So what do you think?

A firm maybe from me. My thoughts....That gap isn't convincing for me; we consolidated in that range on the 29th and 30th last month. I know that gaps get filled sooner or later but the patterns play us for fools if we rely on gaps to determine shorter term direction; especially in this news driven/algorithm buying world. IMO if the gap is the factor to watch then it gets filled quickly and we bounce from there. But I see the possibilities of 1360ish (or lower) as well as a "W" pattern breakout up from where we are today.

Way too murky for me. Riding in G for now.
 
Back
Top