Bquat's Account Talk

[Bquat]

DOW:

 

[WorkFE]

The VIX staying so low is of most concern to me during this decline (if I were in the market). But, I am a fraidy cat. Seeing VIX drop today even as the markets go down is troubling.

Yeah, I'm on the sideline on this one. We've seen this VIX and markets same direction thing before. Although it should set up for an interesting afternoon or Monday.

 

[Nordic]

The VIX staying so low is of most concern to me during this decline (if I were in the market). But, I am a fraidy cat. Seeing VIX drop today even as the markets go down is troubling.

Troubling indeed.

 

[Bquat]

Here's the SPY for volume:

 

[Bquat]

The VIX staying so low is of most concern to me during this decline (if I were in the market). But, I am a fraidy cat. Seeing VIX drop today even as the markets go down is troubling.

The Vix doesn't have me as concerned as to some of the 50 Day / 100 Day relationships. The markets need to flatten that 50 day and turn it up or there's trouble in the longer term.

 

[Bquat]

Slept in this morning. Coffee is ready.

 

[FogSailing]

Thanks for the charts Bquat. I used your charts from yesterday to help me assess where I am....which is currently OUT. SPX has fallen below support at 2077, and as you mentioned the negative relationships between the 100MA and 50MA are troubling. Appreciate all you do on the forum.

FS

 

[Bquat]

Thanks for the charts Bquat. I used your charts from yesterday to help me assess where I am....which is currently OUT. SPX has fallen below support at 2077, and as you mentioned the negative relationships between the 100MA and 50MA are troubling. Appreciate all you do on the forum.

FS

And thank you for what you do.

 

[airlift]

Bquat,

Again, I want to thank you for your contribution to all, with your excellent and timely charts. Please allow me to ask a general question that might be of interest to you and to other subscribers as well.

The premise of my question is that stock valuations are being adjusted lower, the U.S. dollar is rising, and might rise higher either on the expectation or the news that the Fed is increasing rates, albeit in small increments. There is an arguable opinion as to whether it will be in September, December or in 2016. Cramer thinks that inflation is almost non-existent, negligible, or perhaps disinflationary in its effects; and that the Fed should stay put. Job creation is not as strong as we would like. Some believe the Fed should delay, others believe the Fed is late in raising rates.

I will appreciate anyone's views regarding which TSP Fund is more likely to outperform in the stock market going forward -- C, S, or I. Thanks in advance to all for your ideas.

 

[Bquat]

Bquat,

Again, I want to thank you for your contribution to all, with your excellent and timely charts. Please allow me to ask a general question that might be of interest to you and to other subscribers as well.

The premise of my question is that stock valuations are being adjusted lower, the U.S. dollar is rising, and might rise higher either on the expectation or the news that the Fed is increasing rates, albeit in small increments. There is an arguable opinion as to whether it will be in September, December or in 2016. Cramer thinks that inflation is almost non-existent, negligible, or perhaps disinflationary in its effects; and that the Fed should stay put. Job creation is not as strong as we would like. Some believe the Fed should delay, others believe the Fed is late in raising rates.

I will appreciate anyone's views regarding which TSP Fund is more likely to outperform in the stock market going forward -- C, S, or I. Thanks in advance to all for your ideas.

If you look back at my fund charts the C Fund looks the strongest by not dropping out of the Long term. Yet many say a better correction increases a chance for a bigger bounce to catch up with the others. So my guess is C Fund but I be bad at guessing.

 

[Mcqlives]

The Vix doesn't have me as concerned as to some of the 50 Day / 100 Day relationships. The markets need to flatten that 50 day and turn it up or there's trouble in the longer term.

That is exactly what I hedged on...it seems to be a repeat pattern lately with the 50/100 day relationships.

 

[Mcqlives]

I went 50c/50s last week and took a little hit on Friday before this climb today. I based part of my decision to get in on the belief that brent was at a low and would climb from here. Energy sector has been a poor shower lately and should move the markets up if they gain in strength. If I had been watching this morning I would have bailed. As it is I have lines at 2077ish and 2104ish...both in play today. Tomorrow will be interesting!

 

[Bquat]

If you look back at my fund charts the C Fund looks the strongest by not dropping out of the Long term. Yet many say a better correction increases a chance for a bigger bounce to catch up with the others. So my guess is C Fund but I be bad at guessing.

Wow look at this beautiful pop from a false breakout at the bottom of an Isometric Triangle all the way over the top which should be bullish. Too bad China concerns may have arisen again this evening and may ruined it all: S&P 500 Futures Live Advanced Chart

 

[Bquat]

DOW was down to -74 but seems to be coming back. Well good night and maybe this drop will clear before morning.

 

[Mcqlives]

DOW was down to -74 but seems to be coming back. Well good night and maybe this drop will clear before morning.

I thought you didn't watch futures?!?! Anyway, I liked how the SnP gave us a tiny head and shoulders at the 2086 mark this morning. Hope this is a sign of shrugging of the China woes. If not this is just a continuation of the rounding top we have been seeing.

 

[Mcqlives]

And so much for the positive comment. 2077ish and 2064ish are the next lines in the sand.

 

[Mapper]

Hi guys, glad to see you are still here hashing things out. For better or worse??? I've been coasting/ on autopilot for awhile. Between that, summer excitement and projects I haven't had much time to comment but still drop by once in awhile to see how things are going. Just wanted to say hello.

 

[Mcqlives]

Hi guys, glad to see you are still here hashing things out. For better or worse??? I've been coasting/ on autopilot for awhile. Between that, summer excitement and projects I haven't had much time to comment but still drop by once in awhile to see how things are going. Just wanted to say hello.

Hi mapper! I feel ya buddy...this is the first time I have been on here to any extent for a couple weeks.

 

[Bquat]

And so much for the positive comment. 2077ish and 2064ish are the next lines in the sand.

I would not like to see 2082 break.

 

[Mcqlives]

I would not like to see 2082 break.

dipped below and split the difference at 2079...is that enough? This is walking the edge for sure!