Big day today!?

[retire rich]

imported post

If you're not in eqities you might feel pretty bad..don't. My exposure is limted-35%, the rest is lurking in the G. I 'm waiting for some solid direction..may be a few trading days on the "down low" might cause some buying..but right now..have a wait and see approach.

 

[retire rich]

imported post

Just heard oil prices may drop another $3-4 dollars a barrell. The thought is, if this happens, the equity markets around the World will explode. Who can you trust....jump in now get some of the rally...or play it safe and miss it...wait until the dips happen.



Right now I will hold my position.

 

[Rolo]

imported post

I forgot I had some contributions left in G (3.7%), so I just put in a transfer to maintain my current 70S/30C. I was tempted to change to 65S/35C, but I think small caps have more to gain at the moment, in spite of the interest rate malaise.

Big Qs for the week: Will $SPX break 1135? Will DWCP break 444? Will the "T Fund" make up formissed S and C Fund gains? (hehehe)

 

[retire rich]

imported post

Way to play it

 

[Rolo]

imported post

hehe, yeah, I need some excitement in my life.

Seriously, I think we are on the virge of a confirmation of a rally that sticks.

 

[tsptalk]

imported post

toby wrote:

Just heard oil prices may drop another $3-4 dollars a barrell. The thought is, if this happens, the equity markets around the World will explode. Who can you trust....jump in now get some of the rally...or play it safe and miss it...wait until the dips happen.

Right now I will hold my position.

Hi toby. Thanks for joining us! I agree that lower oil prices may be the catalyst the market needs to get out of this long consolidation.

But, we are coming up against the overhead resistance on the S&P so I also agree it isn't quite time to jump in with both feet (in the short term). It may be, but we need that confirmation of a solid move through 1135/1150 (as Rolo mentioned).

Will the "T Fund" make up for missed S and C Fund gains? (hehehe)

I took 3rd in a Hold'em tournament Saturday but looks like the S and C would have made more money for me if I was not 40% G.

I'm still in wait and see mode here with one hour to go before the deadline.

Tom

 

[COONDOGCEMETARY]

imported post

TOM. WHAT DO U THINK GREENSPAN SPEACH WILL DO FOR THE MARKETS , TOMORROW

 

[puertorico]

imported post

I miss the bus today :s

 

[tsptalk]

imported post

hopetohititbig wrote:

TOM. WHAT DO U THINK GREENSPAN SPEACH WILL DO FOR THE MARKETS , TOMORROW

Good question.

"The Fed chairman speaks on the Central Bank Panel at the International Monetary Conference, London, England."

I'm not sure what he plans to talk about. It doesn't sound like anything exciting enough to stir things up too much here. But he is certainly the modern day E.F. Hutton. (Am I dating myself? ).

 

[smine]

imported post

Naaaa.....we all know E.F. Hutton! I'm sticking to G34 C33 S33.

 

[COONDOGCEMETARY]

imported post

IM 90 PERCENT INVESTED , TRYING TO DECIDE

 

[JerBer]

imported post

The markets are off to a great start this morning/afternoon! Hmmmmm........

should I test the waters a little more? I've got 5 minutes to decide!!

JerBer

 

[oneyoungbuck]

imported post

All the Differentials are saying SELL! C Fund-100/ I Fund-46/ F Fund is at 306 above the mean (300). Going 25%G and 75%S, still think S Fund will rise.

 

[Rolo]

imported post

smine wrote:

Naaaa.....we all know E.F. Hutton! I'm sticking to G34 C33 S33.

Wasn't he the victim of an alleged mob hit, missing to this day?





behehehe...I kid, I kid. "...everybody listens."



1133.54 :}

443.07 :}

yaaaay! :^

 

[Frizz B.]

imported post

The F fund differential in this market should get to be about 320, if the oil does go down, maybe higher than 320. The I differential is just for the S to I funds, if you are in the stocks and not in the G. If the F differential goes above the 320 mark, time to use your gut feeling on how high it will go. Highest has been 341, 331 only one time each, usually in the 320's. I think I will ride it to the end, since I heard about the oil prices, see how high the market goes, and on the first sign of trouble move it to the G fund.

 

[Brak]

imported post

Looking forward, the exchanges announced they will be closed Friday to honor President Reagan. That was supposed to be the biggest day of the week for reports with the PPI report getting the most attention. Now that the markets are closed, they won't be able to react until the following Monday. From what I've read, the inflation numbers aren't supposed to be good. I realize it's early but does anybody pay attention to this stuff or have any ideas about an allocation move on Thursday?

 

[Brak]

imported post

Another thought. If the markets are closed will TSP be closed also? Meaning Thursday's transaction will be effective Monday.

 

[retire rich]

imported post

Friday is a National day of mourning, and hence most government agencies will be closed.

 

[oneyoungbuck]

imported post

Its almost closing time, can you believe these numbers!! awesome!!

 

[Rolo]

imported post

$DWCP
+445.92
6.79

$EFV
+141.11

$SPX
-1140.53
18.03

EFA
+142.40
3.00


Whoo hoo!

Wilshire 4500 broke the resistance past 444. Will it break 456? hmmm

S&P500 at 1140, 1150 does not seem that far away.

The good thing is that it looks like it will close at those prices. Unless, of course, I just jinxed it.

Looking at the MACD, I think we are still on the way up.

The I fund should jump as well, making the S-I differential closer to mean.