Believe it, or not

James48843

TSP Talk Royalty
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This you have to read to believe.

Remember the folks over at the FRTIB? Who declared we shouldn't move anything around, and took away our ability to react to market movements? ??

Read this story, from Federal News Radio- interview with none other than FRTIB spokeman Tom Trabucco:

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Investor confidence in TSP stock funds increases July 14, 2009

By Dorothy Ramienski <mailto:dramienski@federalnewsradio.com>
Internet Editor
FederalNewsRadio


Investors in both the Thrift Savings Plan and private sector funds have
been wary since the stock market crash last year, but are things looking
up overall for the market?

There's no way to really predict the future, but Tom Trabucco, Director
of External Affairs for the Federal Retirement Thrift Investment Board,
talked about what it means to be an active investor on Monday's Daily
Debrief.

"[An active investor] is somebody who changes their stock position,
generally, based on the anticipated market movement. These are folks who
look ahead and rather than being in the mode where they just want to
diversify and track the markets, they sense that things are starting to
happen and they might want to go a little bit heavier in the stocks and
out of bonds."

Trabucco says this type of investor also has a goal of "beating the
market," which can actually be done with the TSP.

"As you know, we have the five investment funds, so if you anticipate
that large cap stocks are going to have a good performance in the coming weeks or months, you can move more of your funds into the stock market and into the C fund, particularly.
"

He notes that this is, in fact, already happening. The second quarter
has, thus far, been full of good news for investors and TSP participants
are taking advantage of that by moving money from safer funds, such as
the G fund, into riskier funds like the C.

"Folks were transferring money out of the C fund every month, net, last
year -- and every month this year through March; however, beginning in
March and for April and May and into June, it was a net [amount] going
into the C fund via interfund transfers."

There is more money going into the various stock market funds through
contributions now, as well, when compared to a few months ago.

"In January of last year, 33 percent of new contributions were going
into the G fund . . . with 27, 9, and 13 percent, respectively, going
into the C,S and I funds. In March of this year, 47 percent of the money
was going into the G fund, so that's a pretty big upturn of folks who
were getting their contributions out of the market and putting it into
the safety of government securities. That number has trimmed a bit and
it's back to 45 percent."

There are those investors who did decide to stay the course and leave
their money alone. Trabucco says this might have been a better
alternative than taking it out and performing interfund transfers.

"If you miss just one or two or three big days in the market over the
course of a year, you may miss out on positive returns for that entire
year. . . . The TSP is set up to work best [so that] you have these
broad, diversified funds and that you track the market over the long
haul. Remember, the market reacts to all kinds of inputs that it gets
from millions of investors every day making tens of millions of
decisions. So what you really do is benefit from all of those decisions
that are being made by other folks who are following the market very
closely."

He reminds all investors to look at what is best for them individually
and not rely solely on blanket statements about investing.
-----------------------------------------------------------


So....buy and hold is ok, says the FRTIB's spokesman.

And now Buy if you think the C fund is about to have a run.

BUT WAIT- If you bail out into "G", and then want to move back into "C", the FRTIB took away your opportunity to do so, until next month.

Haarummpphh.
 
What hogwash!

"If you miss just one or two or three big days in the market over the
course of a year, you may miss out on positive returns for that entire
year."
Like in 2008? So cliche. What if you miss the 2 or 3 biggest down days?

He also says something to the affect, if you missed out on today's (Monday 7/14) 2% gain, you'll never be able to reclaim it (the 2%).
Oh really? What does that even mean? 2% gained can't be lost? Missing a 2% gain means you will not get a chance to buy low again? What does he mean?

It was all complete babble for those who don't understand the market, investing, and market timing. It made no sense.
 
I'm furious and will have to leave so I don't type something really, really, really, bad and violent.

FREAKIN IDIOTS!!!!!:mad::mad::mad::mad:
 
Thanks for posting James,

Now it will take 3 weeks for my blood pressure to return to normal.
 
A good article by the way. deGraaf makes me feel good as a contrarian. As an evangelical buy and holder I plan to buy all the way up and hold. I held all the way down conserving my base and not selling. But I also used the opportunity to dump some serious money into the market at the bottom - kinda like dollar cost averaging the entire portfolio and now we roll. The mega trend secular bull market continues and will provide dynamic potential to those few that ride. I have no problem with the fiduciary folks at TSP allowing me to DCA from the recent lows.
 
A good article by the way. deGraaf makes me feel good as a contrarian. As an evangelical buy and holder I plan to buy all the way up and hold. I held all the way down conserving my base and not selling. But I also used the opportunity to dump some serious money into the market at the bottom - kinda like dollar cost averaging the entire portfolio and now we roll. The mega trend secular bull market continues and will provide dynamic potential to those few that ride. I have no problem with the fiduciary folks at TSP allowing me to DCA from the recent lows.

Yeah, your pockets are bottomless. Every dip you your spending $50K to buy and you never sell. Get real.
 
Not completely accurate - I sold my commodity stocks in June/July of 2008 when the CRB was at all time highs. And I eventually reinvested that money into a toxic waste portfolio of 45 financial stocks. Why so hostile these days young man.
 
Maybe you should send the tracker results before this latest rally when a lot more people were beating the C,S and I?
 
Probably a good idea, but I don't want to be accused of cooking the books. When the market drops this week, it will work out on its own. :) - No need to respond, Birchtree - I was just Just kidding.
 
Thanks Tom. Maybe with the new player taking over for Barclay's we might see an extra IFT or two. :rolleyes:
 
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