Asian News

8jun- AP-Asian Markets Follow Wall Street's Slide
Friday June 8, 5:37 am ET
By Thomas Hogue, AP Business Writer
Asia's Major Markets Tumble After Shares on Wall Street Fell Sharply for 3rd Straight Session

BANGKOK, Thailand (AP) -- Asian markets tumbled Friday after shares on Wall Street fell sharply for a third straight session amid growing speculation a U.S. interest rate cut was unlikely.

The declines in Asia also came on the heels of recent rallies in many regional markets, some to record highs.


"This has to be seen in the perspective that we've had a very nice price rally," said David Cohen, Director of Asian Economic Forecasting with Action Economics in Singapore. "They were due for a little bit of a fall."

In Tokyo, the Nikkei 225 average fell 274.29 points, or 1.52 percent, to 17,779.09, while Hong Kong's Hang Seng Index was down 1.4 percent at 20,509.

Singapore shares were down 1.2 percent and Australian stocks lost 1.3 percent. Other markets, including Thailand, Taiwan and Malaysia fell less than 1 percent, and Philippines shares ended little changed.

Earlier this month, benchmark indexes in Australia, Indonesia, the Philippines, Singapore and South Korea all hit records.

Asian markets remain sensitive to moves on Wall Street and indicators about the U.S. economy because it one of the biggest markets for the region's exporters.

U.S. stocks fell sharply as investors' hopes for an interest rate cut later this year began to fade. The cut began to look unlikely because of rising bond yields. Many believe the higher yields will make the Federal Reserve less interested in reducing short-term interest rates.

The Dow fell 198.94, or 1.48 percent, to 13,266.73, bringing its three-day loss to about 410 points. The Nasdaq composite index also sank, losing 45.80, or 1.77 percent, to 2,541.38.

"People have been a little naively hoping for a rate cut," Cohen said. "When they began to suspect that wasn't in the cards, they pulled back."

In Tokyo, weaker-than-expected Japanese machinery data hurt investor confidence. Core machinery orders climbed 2.2 percent in April from March, but that was less than economists' forecast for a 4.4 percent rise.

Decliners included Nippon Steel Corp., which lost 1.59 percent to 865 yen ($7.15), and machine tool maker Fanuc Ltd., which shed 1.64 percent to 11,420 yen ($94.38).

"We can expect that the Nikkei will again trade above the 18,000-mark next week, but there still are lingering fears that the Fed may raise interest rates depending on indicators coming out next week," said Hiroyuki Fukunaga, chief strategist at Rakuten Securities.

http://biz.yahoo.com/ap/070608/world_markets.html?.v=9
 
8jun- AP-Dollar Rises in Asia on Yen-Carry Trades (Folks, yen-carry trades is back again!!!)
Friday June 8, 4:02 am ET
Dollar Rises in Asian Trading as Investors Swap Yen for Higher Yield Overseas Assets

TOKYO (AP) -- The dollar rose in Asia Friday as investors swapped the yen for higher yield overseas assets to take advantage of low Japanese interest rates.

The dollar was trading at 121.16 yen midafternoon, up from 121.11 yen late Thursday in New York. The euro fell to $1.3422 from $1.3432.


Traders said the dollar's climb likely wouldn't last, with a global stock fall expected to hurt sentiment for the dollar and the euro.

If the global stock sell-off continues, investors will reduce risks by unwinding the yen-carry trades, in which they borrow yen at low interest rates to earn higher returns elsewhere, said Masashi Matsuzawa, a senior dealer at Mizuho Corporate Bank.http://biz.yahoo.com/ap/070608/asia_dollar.html?.v=1
 
8jun-BANK OF JAPAN SIGNALS SUMMER RATE HIKE
by Gary Dorsch
Editor, Global Money Trends Magazine
June 7, 2007

The Bank of Japan has kept its overnight call rate target at 0.50% since January, but speculation of another rate hike to 0.75% this summer, have already been factored into the Tokyo money markets. BOJ chief Toshihiko Fukui suggested that the central bank would raise rates gradually, and is undeterred by a low consumer price index.

“If markets expect the BOJ to keep rates low even while the economy achieves 2.4% growth, it could distort the BOJ’s policy scenario. We need to adjust interest rates despite near-term weak price growth, if we can confirm that long-term price moves are strong and the economy and prices are heading towards a good direction," Fukui told a news conference on May 10th.

Referring to “yen carry” positions worldwide, “If people have a fixed idea that interest rates are going to stay low for a long time regardless of economic conditions, it could lead to a buildup of extreme positions in financial and capital markets and distribution of resources to inefficient economic activities,” he added.
http://www.[[financialsense.com/fsu/editorials/dorsch/2007/0607.html
 
8jun-PATIENCE, AN INVESTOR'S VIRTUE
by Hans Wagner
TradingOnlineMarkets.com
June 7, 2007

Patience is one of the most difficult skills to learn as an investor and trader. The best investors and traders understand the importance of patience. One of Warren Buffett’s rules of investing is

“The Stock Market is designed to transfer money from the Active to the Patient." The best returns come from those who wait for the best opportunity to show it self before making a commitment. Those that chase the current hot stock are destined to loose more than they gain. Remain active in your analysis looking for quality companies at discounted prices, but be patient waiting for them to reach their discounted price before buying.

Dennis Gartman, a highly successful trader and publisher of “The Gartman Letter” as well as Rules of Trading has this to say about the value of Patience:

“Be Patient with good positions. If you miss an entry trade, wait until a correction occurs before entering.” Often the price will return to its breakout point, so you do not have to chase the price. Also, your technical charts show support and resistance levels to help identify good entry points. Volume expansion and contraction also provides a good indication.

http://www.[[financialsense.com/fsu/editorials/wagner/2007/0607.html
 
9jun- AP
Stocks Extend Rebound After Selloff
Friday June 8, 2:48 pm ET
By Tim Paradis, AP Business Writer
Stocks Strike Higher Following Global Selloff, Weak Bonds

NEW YORK (AP) -- Stocks pushed higher in jittery trading Friday as Wall Street tried to recover from a three-day selloff triggered by a surge in bond yields. The Dow Jones industrial average at times showed gains of more than 100 points, and the Standard & Poor's 500 index crossed back above the 1,500 mark.

After briefly dipping into negative territory in late morning, stocks advanced as yields on the benchmark 10-year Treasury note backed off of five-year highs of 5.25 percent. Recently, the yield hovered around 5.12 percent.

Yields, which move in the opposite direction as bond prices, rose in recent sessions as investors grew less optimistic that the Federal Reserve would lower short-term interest rates. A move above the 5 percent level Thursday in the 10-year bond yield sent stock market investors rushing to bonds. In the previous three sessions, the Dow Jones industrials had given up about 410 points.
http://biz.yahoo.com/ap/070608/wall_street.html?.v=37
 
11Jun-Prices, Retail Sales Probably Rose in May: U.S. Economy Preview

By Bob Willis

June 10 (Bloomberg) -- Consumer prices in the U.S. rose at a faster pace in May, propelled by record gasoline costs that also inflated retail-sales figures, reports this week may show.

Prices rose 0.6 percent last month after a 0.4 percent gain in April, according to the median estimate in a Bloomberg News survey of economists before the Labor Department's June 15 report. A Commerce Department report two days earlier may show retail sales rose 0.6 percent in May after a 0.2 percent decline.

Rising prices highlight why the Federal Reserve remains preoccupied with the threat of inflation, suggesting policy makers will keep interest rates unchanged in coming months. Record fuel costs, combined with falling home values, may slow consumer spending, which accounts for 70 percent of the economy.

http://www.bloomberg.com/apps/news?pid=20601087&sid=aqcZWxllMtjs&refer=home
 
11jun-China's Inflation Probably Accelerated as Pork Prices Soared

By Nipa Piboontanasawat

June 11 (Bloomberg) -- China's inflation probably accelerated in May as pork prices soared, increasing the likelihood that interest rates will be raised.

Consumer prices gained 3.3 percent from a year earlier, according to the median estimate of 19 economists surveyed by Bloomberg News. April's inflation rate was 3 percent, matching the central bank's target for the year. The statistics bureau will release the figures at 10 a.m. tomorrow.

Inflation is outpacing after-tax returns on bank deposits, hampering government efforts to stem the flow of money into the stock market and avoid a bubble. The benchmark CSI 300 Index has climbed 9.3 percent in four days as investors discount the likelihood of stronger measures than last week's tripling of the share-trading tax.

http://www.bloomberg.com/apps/news?pid=20601080&sid=aVLSSjvJWhbY&refer=asia
 
11jun-ollar Rises to Two-Month High Against Euro on Yields, Growth

By Min Zeng

June 9 (Bloomberg) -- The dollar strengthened to a more than two-month high against the euro as rising Treasury yields and economic growth triggered speculation international investors will be attracted to U.S. assets.

The U.S. currency had its biggest weekly advance versus the euro since January and rose against the British pound and Swiss franc as the yield of the U.S. 10-year note reached a five-year high. Reports showing advances in the services sector and record exports led traders to increase bets the Federal Reserve will boost interest rates by December.

``We are in an almost perfect storm for the dollar because the dollar tends to benefit when you get higher yields,'' said Adrian Schmidt, senior currency strategist in London at Royal Bank of Scotland Group Plc.

http://www.bloomberg.com/apps/news?pid=20601083&sid=a2rBIT48OHWA&refer=currency
 
11jun-European Stocks Advance, Paced by BHP, Centrica; Axa Advances

By Andreas Hippin

June 11 (Bloomberg) -- European stocks rose for the first time in six days as renewed takeover speculation lifted mining, power and steel companies.

BHP Billiton Ltd. led mining companies higher after UBS AG said mergers and acquisitions in the industry ``will continue to accelerate.'' Centrica Plc, the U.K.'s largest energy supplier, climbed after OAO Gazprom said it will announce an acquisition in Britain. Axa SA, Rodamco Europe NV and Deutsche Bank AG led gains by financial-related companies, among the hardest hit in last week's sell-off.

``As long-term investors we don't believe this is the end of the bull market,'' said Philippe Gijsels, senior equity strategist at Fortis Global Markets in Brussels, which manages $62 billion. ``We are at the middle of the economic cycle and at the end of the year we'll be higher than today. If we correct a bit further, this creates a buying opportunity.''
http://www.bloomberg.com/apps/news?pid=20601087&sid=apbJtj7dFiF8&refer=worldwide
 
11jun-apan Economy Grows 3.3%, More Than First Estimate (Update3)

By Lily Nonomiya

June 11 (Bloomberg) -- Japan's economy expanded more than the government initially reported in the first quarter after higher-than-expected spending by companies.

The world's second-largest economy grew at an annual 3.3 percent rate in the three months ended March 31, the Cabinet Office said in Tokyo today, faster than the 2.4 percent preliminary number. The revision was in line with the median estimate of 27 economists surveyed by Bloomberg News.

Faster growth may persuade the Bank of Japan to raise its 0.5 percent overnight lending rate, the lowest among major economies. Machinery orders rose for the first time in three months in April, a report showed last week, signaling business investment will probably keep driving the expansion.

http://www.bloomberg.com/apps/news?pid=20601080&sid=anHs.d.6Hfc8&refer=asia
 
11jun-China's Trade Surplus Soars, Adding Currency Pressure (Update4)

By Nipa Piboontanasawat

June 11 (Bloomberg) -- China's trade surplus swelled a bigger-than-estimated 73 percent in May, increasing pressure on the government to allow faster currency gains.

The gap widened to $22.45 billion, the customs bureau said on its Web site. The median estimate of 18 economists surveyed by Bloomberg News was for a $19.5 billion surplus. For the first five months, the surplus grew 84 percent to $85.72 billion.

The yuan today had its biggest decline in 10 months and has reversed gains made in May when Chinese and U.S. officials met for trade talks in Washington. A stronger currency would reduce tensions with trading partners and help to prevent the world's fastest-growing major economy from overheating.

http://www.bloomberg.com/apps/news?pid=20601089&sid=aNc5uh5eUh70&refer=china
 
11jun-Dollar Rises as Inflation, Retail Sales Suggest No Rate Cut

By Stanley White and Ron Harui

June 11 (Bloomberg) -- The dollar strengthened on speculation reports on U.S. consumer prices and retail sales this week will provide further evidence the economy is strong enough not to warrant a cut in interest rates this year.

The dollar rose against 12 of the 16 most-traded currencies this month as Treasury yields touched a five-year high, widening the spread over German and Japanese debt. Retail sales likely rebounded in May and consumer price inflation held above the range Federal Reserve policy makers have indicated they are comfortable with.

http://www.bloomberg.com/apps/news?pid=20601083&sid=ak2J1e.jjqHw&refer=currency
 
11jun-Fukui Pressured to Raise Rates as Yen Is Sent Abroad (Update1)

By Mayumi Otsuma

June 11 (Bloomberg) -- In Japan, sending yen overseas for higher returns is no longer just a game for banks and hedge funds. Michiko Takeda is playing too.

Takeda, a 46-year-old homemaker from Sapporo City, is among a growing number of individual investors joining fund managers in shifting money out of Japan, where interest rates are the lowest of any major economy. Last year she put 2 million yen ($16,500) in an Australian bank, and ``even with exchange-rate risks, I'd like to invest more,'' she says.

The exodus of yen is driving the currency to record lows -- and ratcheting up pressure on Bank of Japan Governor Toshihiko Fukui and fellow policy makers to increase interest rates as soon as next month to encourage a controlled rise in the yen.

http://www.bloomberg.com/apps/news?pid=20601014&sid=aZHTbrY78gL0&refer=funds
 
11jun-U.S. Stock-Index Futures Are Little Changed; Caterpillar Falls

By Adria Cimino

June 11 (Bloomberg) -- U.S. stock-index futures were little changed before economic reports this week that may provide clues about the Federal Reserve's next move on interest rates.

Caterpillar Inc., the world's biggest maker of earthmoving equipment, and Alcoa Inc., the second-largest aluminum producer, declined in Europe. Shares of Boeing Co. climbed after the second-biggest maker of commercial aircraft won an order valued at about $3 billion from OAO Aeroflot.

The Fed's Beige Book will be published June 13 and data on producer prices is set for release on June 14. A report the following day may show that consumer prices in the U.S. rose at a faster pace in May, propelled by record gasoline costs that also inflated retail-sales figures.

``There are questions about whether the cycle of interest- rate cuts will be farther away than expected,'' said Virginie Robert, a fund manager at Montpensier Finance in Paris, which oversees $1 billion. ``The stock market will be focused on the producer and consumer price data.''

Consumer prices increased 0.6 percent last month after a 0.4 percent gain in April, according to the median estimate in a Bloomberg News survey of economists. The report may also show core inflation, which excludes food and energy, climbed 0.2 percent in May for a second month.

http://www.bloomberg.com/apps/news?pid=20602003&sid=a7etfen_sHSw&refer=world_indices
 
13jun- TheStreet.com-Keep Your Eye on Money Supply
Tuesday June 12, 11:12 am ET
BySam Patel, TheStreet.com Ratings Manager of Mutual Fund Research

Investors are regularly bombarded with a plethora of economic data relating to unemployment, consumer confidence, housing starts, inflation measures and more.

Some people might feel this is more information than they need, but the fact is it might not be enough. That's because there's one useful economic indicator that is frequently overlooked: the nation's money supply -- in particular, the narrowest definition of money supply, M1.


M1 is a particularly good way to get an honest angle on how the economy is performing. It includes all hard currency in circulation as well as in people's checking accounts.

For example, anyone paying attention to this indicator might not have been surprised by the unexpectedly weak reading on the economy earlier this month. Real gross domestic product rose by just 0.6% -- the slowest rate in four years. That was a big revision of the initial report last month, which showed an increase in real, or inflation-adjusted, GDP of more than twice that, or 1.3%.

http://biz.yahoo.com/ts/070612/10361865.html?.v=1
 
13jun-UPDATE 1-China's Wen vows steps to prevent overheating
Wed Jun 13, 2007 8:37am ET28


BEIJING, June 13 (Reuters) - Chinese Premier Wen Jiabao sent out a warning call on Wednesday that China will tighten policy further to prevent the economy from overheating and to keep inflation in check.

In a statement issued following a regular meeting of the State Council, or cabinet, Wen said rising upward pressure on prices was one striking problem facing the economy, along with excessive liquidity in the financial system, runaway investment growth and an oversized trade surplus.

To address those challenges, Beijing would "appropriately tighten" monetary policy, adjust export tax rebates on some products, and place strict controls on approvals of new investment projects, among other measures, Wen said.

http://yahoo.reuters.com/news/artic...6-13_12-37-11_PEK182687&type=comktNews&rpc=44
 
13jun-Nikkei edges lower on rate worry but exporters up
Wed Jun 13, 2007 3:23am ET27


By Aiko Hayashi

TOKYO, June 13 (Reuters) - The Nikkei average slipped 0.16 percent on Wednesday as Mitsui Fudosan Co. Ltd. (8801.T: Quote, NEWS , Research) and other property firms fell on concerns about rising interest rates, while a slide in metals prices hit metal shares.

But the market received support from exporters such as Sony Corp. (6758.T: Quote, NEWS , Research) after the dollar struck a 4-1/2-year high against the yen on Wednesday as a sharp rise in U.S. bond yields boosted the dollar's allure while carry trades proved resilient.


Trading houses, which have large investments in the metal industry, were also hit, with Mitsubishi Corp (8058.T: Quote, NEWS , Research) down 1.8 percent to 3,130 yen and Mitsui & Co. (8031.T: Quote, NEWS , Research) falling 1.6 percent to 2,405.

http://yahoo.reuters.com/news/artic...-06-13_07-23-20_T173712&type=comktNews&rpc=44
 
13jun- AP
Retail Sales Surge 1.4 Pct. in May
Wednesday June 13, 8:36 am ET
By Martin Crutsinger, AP Economics Writer
Retail Sales Surge in May by the Largest Amount in 16 Months

WASHINGTON (AP) -- Consumers brushed off rising gasoline prices and slumping home sales to storm the malls in May, pushing retail sales up by the largest amount in 16 months.

The Commerce Department reported that retail sales surged by 1.4 percent last month, compared to April, double the increase that analysts had been expecting. Retail sales had fallen by 0.1 percent in April.


The May strength was widespread with auto dealers, department stores, specialty clothing stores and hardware stores enjoying an especially good month.

Sales would have been strong even without last month's big jump in gasoline prices, which saw prices top $3.20 per gallon. Excluding sales at gasoline stations, overall retail sales would still have been up 1.2 percent.

The strong showing caught analysts by surprise. They had been forecasting a more moderate rebound of 0.7 percent.

http://biz.yahoo.com/ap/070613/economy.html?.v=7
 
13jun- AP-Treasury 10-Year Yield Hits 5-Year High
Wednesday June 13, 8:13 am ET
Treasury 10-Year Yield Hits 5-Year High As Bond Slump Continues

NEW YORK (AP) -- The yield on the 10-year Treasury note reached its highest level in more than five years Tuesday afternoon, as prices continued to slump amid broad market selling.

The yield tapped as high as 5.27 percent, a level it last reached in mid-May 2002.

At 5 p.m. EDT, the 10-year Treasury note was down $10.63 per $1,000 in face value, or 1 2/32 point, from its level at 5 p.m. Monday. Its yield, which moves in the opposite direction, rose to 5.30 percent from 5.16 percent.

The 30-year bond fell 2 1/32 point. Its yield rose to 5.40 percent from 5.26 percent.

The 2-year note fell 6/32 point. Its yield rose to 5.10 percent from 5.01 percent.

Yields on 3-month Treasury bills were 4.68 percent as the discount rate fell 0.07 percentage point to 4.55 percent.

Treasurys have been under sustained pressure for the last couple of weeks, amid stronger economic data, selling from the mortgage community and the paring back of long positions -- exposure that assumes Treasury prices will rise -- all weighed on the market.

Tuesday's selling again came most heavily in longer-term Treasurys.

There was no particular trigger for Tuesday's selling although some traders pointed to hawkish overnight comments from foreign central banks and an uptick in Chinese inflation. There were no major U.S. data.

http://biz.yahoo.com/ap/070613/bonds.html?.v=2
 
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