Alternate LMBF methods

Cactus · Oct 1, 2016

Here are the returns through the 3rd Quarter of the year:

[TD="bgcolor: #99CCFF, align: center"]G[/TD]
[TD="bgcolor: #99CCFF, align: center"]F[/TD]
[TD="bgcolor: #99CCFF, align: center"]C[/TD]
[TD="bgcolor: #99CCFF, align: center"]S[/TD]
[TD="bgcolor: #99CCFF, align: center"]I[/TD]
[TD="bgcolor: #99CCFF, align: center"]LMBF-1[/TD]
[TD="bgcolor: #99CCFF, align: center"]C>S[/TD]
[TD="bgcolor: #99CCFF, align: center"]CI>S[/TD]
[TD="bgcolor: #99CCFF, align: center"]SIM[/TD]
[TD="bgcolor: #99CCFF, align: center"]G>F[/TD]

[TD="bgcolor: #FF99CC, align: left"]Jan[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]0.19%[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]1.49%[/TD]
[TD="align: right"] (4.96%)
[/TD]
[TD="align: right"] (8.72%) [/TD]
[TD="align: right"] (5.62%) [/TD]
[TD="align: right"]0.19%[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]0.19%[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]0.19%[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]0.19%[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]1.49%[/TD]

[TD="bgcolor: #FF99CC, align: left"]Feb[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]0.15%[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]0.68%[/TD]
[TD="align: right"] (0.12%) [/TD]
[TD="align: right"]0.50%[/TD]
[TD="align: right"] (2.82%)
[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]0.68%[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]0.68%[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]0.68%[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]0.68%[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]0.68%[/TD]

[TD="bgcolor: #FF99CC, align: left"]Mar[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]0.15%[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]0.93%[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]6.79%[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]8.24%[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]6.59%[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]8.24%[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]8.24%[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]8.24%[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]8.24%[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]8.24%[/TD]

[TD="bgcolor: #FF99CC, align: left"]Apr[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]0.14%[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]0.41%[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]0.39%[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]1.73%[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]1.89%[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]1.73%[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]1.73%[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]1.73%[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]1.73%[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]1.73%[/TD]

[TD="bgcolor: #FF99CC, align: left"]May[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]0.15%[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]0.08%[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]1.80%[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]1.81%[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]0.27%[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]0.27%[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]0.27%[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]1.81%[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]0.08%[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]0.27%[/TD]

[TD="bgcolor: #FF99CC, align: left"]Jun[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]0.15%[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]1.80%[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]0.26%[/TD]
[TD="align: right"] (0.13%)
[/TD]
[TD="align: right"] (3.33%) [/TD]
[TD="align: right"]0.26%[/TD]
[TD="align: right"] (0.13%)
[/TD]
[TD="align: right"] (0.13%) [/TD]
[TD="align: right"]1.80%[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]0.26%[/TD]

[TD="bgcolor: #FF99CC, align: left"]Jul[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]0.13%[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]0.64%[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]3.69%[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]5.40%[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]5.07%[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]0.64%[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]0.64%[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]0.64%[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]0.64%[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]0.64%[/TD]

[TD="bgcolor: #FF99CC, align: left"]Aug[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]0.13%[/TD]
[TD="align: right"] (0.11%)
[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]0.14%[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]0.80%[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]0.08%[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]0.80%[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]0.80%[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]0.80%[/TD]
[TD="align: right"] (0.11%) [/TD]
[TD="align: right"]0.80%[/TD]

[TD="bgcolor: #FF99CC, align: left"]Sep[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]0.13%[/TD]
[TD="align: right"] (0.04%) [/TD]
[TD="align: right"]0.02%[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]0.90%[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]1.24%[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]0.90%[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]0.90%[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]0.90%[/TD]
[TD="align: right"] (0.04%) [/TD]
[TD="align: right"]0.90%[/TD]

[TD="bgcolor: #CCFFCC, align: left"]YTD[/TD]
[TD="bgcolor: #CCFFCC, align: right"]1.32%[/TD]
[TD="bgcolor: #CCFFCC, align: right"]6.01%[/TD]
[TD="bgcolor: #CCFFCC, align: right"]7.87%[/TD]
[TD="bgcolor: #CCFFCC, align: right"]10.11%[/TD]
[TD="bgcolor: #CCFFCC, align: right"]2.80%[/TD]
[TD="bgcolor: #CCFFCC, align: right"]14.31%[/TD]
[TD="bgcolor: #CCFFCC, align: right"]13.86%[/TD]
[TD="bgcolor: #CCFFCC, align: right"]15.61%[/TD]
[TD="bgcolor: #CCFFCC, align: right"]13.72%[/TD]
[TD="bgcolor: #CCFFCC, align: right"]15.79%[/TD]

Looks like SIM has fallen from first to last among our methods, but all our methods are doing well compared to the five TSP funds. Looks loke this was the year for LMBF-1.

Cactus · Oct 29, 2016

Here is the monthly return as of 10/28/2016:

[TD="bgcolor: #FFFF99, align: left"] Date [/TD]
[TD="bgcolor: #FFFF99, align: center"] G FUND [/TD]
[TD="bgcolor: #FFFF99, align: center"] F FUND [/TD]
[TD="bgcolor: #FFFF99, align: center"] C FUND [/TD]
[TD="bgcolor: #FFFF99, align: center"] S FUND [/TD]
[TD="bgcolor: #FFFF99, align: center"] I FUND [/TD]

[TD="bgcolor: #FFFF99, align: left"] 28-Oct-2016 [/TD]
[TD="bgcolor: #99CC00, align: right"]0.12%[/TD]
[TD="bgcolor: #CCFFCC, align: right"] (0.82%)
[/TD]
[TD="bgcolor: #CCFFCC, align: right"] (1.81%) [/TD]
[TD="bgcolor: #CCFFCC, align: right"] (4.25%) [/TD]
[TD="bgcolor: #CCFFCC, align: right"] (2.05%) [/TD]

Unfortunately the G Fund was the only one positive for the month making it the de facto winner in October. That means the following IFTs take place before noon Monday, 31-Oct-16.

LMBF-1 Changes from the I Fund to the G Fund
LMBF-1 SIM Changes from the F Fund to the G Fund
LMBF-1 C>S Changes from the I Fund to the G Fund
LMBF-1 CI>S Changes from the S Fund to the G Fund
LMBF-1 G>F Changes from the I Fund to the F Fund

offroad · Nov 22, 2016

have not been watching this and will need to. This is a pretty interesting method. Anything happen all month for this in November?

Cactus · Nov 22, 2016

Not much is happening in November since none of these methods are in the market. Most of them are in the G Fund so they are just ploding along.

[TABLE="width: 500"]
[TR]
[TD]Year to Date[/TD]
[TD]LMBF-1[/TD]
[TD]C>S[/TD]
[TD]CI>S[/TD]
[TD]SIM[/TD]
[TD]G>F[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD]21-Nov-16
[/TD]
[TD]12.11%[/TD]
[TD]11.67[/TD]
[TD]11.27[/TD]
[TD]13%[/TD]
[TD]10.78%[/TD]
[/TR]
[/TABLE]
LMBF-1 G>F usually does well in these bail to safety moves but not this time. It was in the lead last month. Since the election it is falling like a rock with the F Fund as investments continue to rotate out of bonds.

[TABLE="width: 500"]
[TR]
[TD]November
[/TD]
[TD]G Fund
[/TD]
[TD]F Fund
[/TD]
[TD]C Fund
[/TD]
[TD]S Fund
[/TD]
[TD]I Fund
[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD]21-Nov-16
[/TD]
[TD]0.11%
[/TD]
[TD](2.34%)
[/TD]
[TD]3.61%
[/TD]
[TD]7.69%
[/TD]
[TD](2.28%)
[/TD]
[/TR]
[/TABLE]
As it stands today the S Fund is way in the lead and could be the LMBF for December. That decision will be based on the closing value of our funds next Tuesday, Nov 29.

All in all these methods have done well for themselves all year. That's good because they have a lot to make for from last year.

offroad · Nov 23, 2016

reward favors the bold. aka S fund holders.

Cactus · Nov 30, 2016

Here is the monthly return as of 29-Nov-2016.

[TABLE="width: 500"]
[TR]
[TD]Date
[/TD]
[TD]G Fund
[/TD]
[TD]F Fund
[/TD]
[TD]C Fund
[/TD]
[TD]S Fund
[/TD]
[TD]I Fund
[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD]29-Nov-2016
[/TD]
[TD]0.15%
[/TD]
[TD](2.08%)
[/TD]
[TD]3.96%
[/TD]
[TD]8.22%
[/TD]
[TD](1.87%)
[/TD]
[/TR]
[/TABLE]
The best fund is S so the following IFTs take place before noon today, 30-Nov-2016:

•LMBF-1 Changes from the G Fund to the S Fund
•LMBF-1 SIM Changes from the G Fund to the S Fund
•LMBF-1 C>S Changes from the G Fund to the S Fund
•LMBF-1 CI>S Changes from the G Fund to the S Fund
•LMBF-1 G>F Changes from the F Fund to the S Fund

Cactus · Dec 1, 2016

Here are the returns through November:

[TABLE="width: 680"]
[TR="bgcolor: #87CEFA"][TD][/TD]
[TD]G[/TD]
[TD]F[/TD][TD]C[/TD]
[TD]S[/TD]
[TD]I[/TD]
[TD]LMBF-1[/TD]
[TD]C>S[/TD]
[TD]CI>S[/TD][TD]SIM[/TD]
[TD]G>F[/TD]
[/TR][TR]
[TD="bgcolor: #FF9A9A"]Jan[/TD]
[TD]0.19%[/TD]
[TD]1.49%[/TD]
[TD](4.96%)[/TD]
[TD](8.72%)[/TD]

[TD](5.62%)[/TD][TD]0.19% [/TD]

[TD]0.19% [/TD][TD]0.19% [/TD][TD]0.19% [/TD][TD]1.49% [/TD]

[/TR][TR]
[TD="bgcolor: #FF9A9A"]Feb[/TD]
[TD]0.15%[/TD]

[TD]0.68% [/TD][TD](0.12%)[/TD]

[TD]0.50%[/TD][TD](2.82%)[/TD]
[TD]0.68%[/TD][TD]0.68%[/TD][TD]0.68%[/TD][TD]0.68%[/TD]

[TD]0.68%[/TD]

[/TR]
[TR]
[TD="bgcolor: #FF9A9A"]Mar[/TD]
[TD]0.15%[/TD]
[TD]0.93%[/TD]

[TD]6.79%[/TD][TD]8.24%[/TD][TD]6.59%[/TD][TD]8.24%[/TD]
[TD]8.24%[/TD][TD]8.24%[/TD][TD]8.24%[/TD][TD]8.24%[/TD]

[/TR]
[TR]
[TD="bgcolor: #FF9A9A"]Apr[/TD]
[TD]0.14%[/TD]
[TD]0.41%[/TD]

[TD]0.39%[/TD][TD]1.73%[/TD][TD]1.89%[/TD][TD]1.73%[/TD]
[TD]1.73%[/TD][TD]1.73%[/TD][TD]1.73%[/TD][TD]1.73%[/TD]

[/TR]
[TR]
[TD="bgcolor: #FF9A9A"]May[/TD]
[TD]0.15%[/TD]
[TD]0.08%[/TD]

[TD]1.80%[/TD][TD]1.81%[/TD][TD]0.27%[/TD][TD]0.27%[/TD]
[TD]0.27%[/TD][TD]1.81%[/TD][TD]0.08%[/TD][TD]0.27%[/TD]

[/TR]
[TR]
[TD="bgcolor: #FF9A9A"]Jun[/TD]
[TD]0.15%[/TD]
[TD]1.80%[/TD]

[TD]0.26%[/TD][TD](0.13%)[/TD]
[TD](3.33%)[/TD]
[TD]0.26%[/TD][TD](0.13%)[/TD]
[TD](0.13%)[/TD][TD]1.80%[/TD][TD]0.26%[/TD]

[/TR]
[TR]
[TD="bgcolor: #FF9A9A"]Jul[/TD]
[TD]0.13%[/TD]
[TD]0.64%[/TD]

[TD]3.69%[/TD][TD]5.40%[/TD][TD]5.07%[/TD]
[TD]0.64%[/TD][TD]0.64%[/TD][TD]0.64%[/TD][TD]0.64%[/TD][TD]0.64%[/TD]

[/TR]
[TR]
[TD="bgcolor: #FF9A9A"]Aug[/TD]
[TD]0.13%[/TD]

[TD](0.11%)[/TD][TD]0.14%[/TD]
[TD]0.80%[/TD]
[TD]0.08%[/TD]

[TD]0.80%[/TD]
[TD]0.80%[/TD]
[TD]0.80%[/TD]
[TD](0.11%)[/TD][TD]0.80%[/TD]

[/TR]
[TR]
[TD="bgcolor: #FF9A9A"]Sep[/TD]
[TD]0.13%[/TD]

[TD](0.04%)[/TD][TD]0.02%[/TD]
[TD]0.90%[/TD]
[TD]1.24%[/TD]

[TD]0.90%[/TD]
[TD]0.90%[/TD]
[TD]0.90%[/TD]
[TD](0.04%)[/TD][TD]0.90%[/TD]

[/TR]
[TR]
[TD="bgcolor: #FF9A9A"]JOct[/TD]
[TD]0.14%[/TD]
[TD](0.74%)[/TD][TD](1.82%)[/TD]
[TD](3.86%)[/TD][TD](2.03%)[/TD]
[TD](2.03%)[/TD][TD](2.03%)[/TD]
[TD](3.86%)[/TD]
[TD](0.74%)[/TD][TD](2.03%)[/TD]

[/TR]
[TR]
[TD="bgcolor: #FF9A9A"]Nov[/TD]
[TD]0.16%[/TD]

[TD](2.35%)[/TD]
[TD]3.71%[/TD][TD]7.95%[/TD]
[TD](1.99%)[/TD]
[TD]0.16%[/TD][TD]0.16%[/TD][TD]0.16%[/TD][TD]0.16%[/TD]
[TD](2.35%)[/TD]

[/TR][TR="bgcolor: #9AFF9A"]
[TD]YTD[/TD]
[TD]1.62%[/TD]
[TD]2.75%[/TD]
[TD]9.84%[/TD][TD]14.28%[/TD]
[TD](1.29%)[/TD]
[TD]12.16%[/TD][TD]11.72%[/TD][TD]11.32%[/TD][TD]13.05%[/TD]
[TD]10.76%[/TD][/TR]
[/TABLE]

Looks like equities bounced back while we were in safety mode. Ouch, that happens sometimes with these methods. You got to learn to accept it if you want to follow these systems.

G>F really got burned in the F Fund this time round putting it in last place amoung our methods. It usually works out for the better but not this time round.

SIM has done well for itself this year and leads all our methods. All our methods have done well this year and are beating all the TSP Funds except for the S Fund.

Cactus · Dec 30, 2016

Here are the monthly returns as of Dec 29, 2016:

[TD="bgcolor: #FFFF99, align: left"] Date [/TD]
[TD="bgcolor: #FFFF99, align: center"] G FUND [/TD]
[TD="bgcolor: #FFFF99, align: center"] F FUND [/TD]
[TD="bgcolor: #FFFF99, align: center"] C FUND [/TD]
[TD="bgcolor: #FFFF99, align: center"] S FUND [/TD]
[TD="bgcolor: #FFFF99, align: center"] I FUND [/TD]

[TD="bgcolor: #FFFF99, align: left"] 29-Dec-2016 [/TD]
[TD="bgcolor: #CCFFCC, align: right"]0.19% [/TD]
[TD="bgcolor: #CCFFCC, align: right"] (0.09%)
[/TD]
[TD="bgcolor: #CCFFCC, align: right"]2.45% [/TD]
[TD="bgcolor: #CCFFCC, align: right"]2.18% [/TD]
[TD="bgcolor: #99CC00, align: right"]2.91% [/TD]

The best fund is I so the following IFTs take place by noon eastern tomorrow, Dec 30, 2016.

LMBF-1 Changes from the S Fund to the I Fund
LMBF-1 SIM Changes from the S Fund to the I Fund
LMBF-1 C>S Changes from the S Fund to the I Fund
LMBF-1 CI>S Remains in the S Fund
LMBF-1 G>F Changes from the S Fund to the I Fund

Cactus · Jan 1, 2017

OK, 2016 is behind us, so here are the returns for the last year:

[TD="bgcolor: #99CCFF, align: center"]G[/TD]
[TD="bgcolor: #99CCFF, align: center"]F[/TD]
[TD="bgcolor: #99CCFF, align: center"]C[/TD]
[TD="bgcolor: #99CCFF, align: center"]S[/TD]
[TD="bgcolor: #99CCFF, align: center"]I[/TD]
[TD="bgcolor: #99CCFF, align: center"]LMBF-1[/TD]
[TD="bgcolor: #99CCFF, align: center"]C>S[/TD]
[TD="bgcolor: #99CCFF, align: center"]CI>S[/TD]
[TD="bgcolor: #99CCFF, align: center"]SIM[/TD]
[TD="bgcolor: #99CCFF, align: center"]G>F[/TD]

[TD="bgcolor: #FF99CC, align: left"]Jan[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]0.19%[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]1.49%[/TD]
[TD="align: right"] (4.96%)
[/TD]
[TD="align: right"] (8.72%) [/TD]
[TD="align: right"] (5.62%) [/TD]
[TD="align: right"]0.19%[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]0.19%[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]0.19%[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]0.19%[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]1.49%[/TD]

[TD="bgcolor: #FF99CC, align: left"]Feb[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]0.15%[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]0.68%[/TD]
[TD="align: right"] (0.12%) [/TD]
[TD="align: right"]0.50%[/TD]
[TD="align: right"] (2.82%) [/TD]
[TD="align: right"]0.68%[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]0.68%[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]0.68%[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]0.68%[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]0.68%[/TD]

[TD="bgcolor: #FF99CC, align: left"]Mar[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]0.15%[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]0.93%[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]6.79%[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]8.24%[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]6.59%[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]8.24%[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]8.24%[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]8.24%[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]8.24%[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]8.24%[/TD]

[TD="bgcolor: #FF99CC, align: left"]Apr[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]0.14%[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]0.41%[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]0.39%[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]1.73%[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]1.89%[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]1.73%[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]1.73%[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]1.73%[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]1.73%[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]1.73%[/TD]

[TD="bgcolor: #FF99CC, align: left"]May[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]0.15%[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]0.08%[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]1.80%[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]1.81%[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]0.27%[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]0.27%[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]0.27%[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]1.81%[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]0.08%[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]0.27%[/TD]

[TD="bgcolor: #FF99CC, align: left"]Jun[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]0.15%[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]1.80%[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]0.26%[/TD]
[TD="align: right"] (0.13%)
[/TD]
[TD="align: right"] (3.33%) [/TD]
[TD="align: right"]0.26%[/TD]
[TD="align: right"] (0.13%)
[/TD]
[TD="align: right"] (0.13%) [/TD]
[TD="align: right"]1.80%[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]0.26%[/TD]

[TD="bgcolor: #FF99CC, align: left"]Jul[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]0.13%[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]0.64%[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]3.69%[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]5.40%[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]5.07%[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]0.64%[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]0.64%[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]0.64%[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]0.64%[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]0.64%[/TD]

[TD="bgcolor: #FF99CC, align: left"]Aug[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]0.13%[/TD]
[TD="align: right"] (0.11%) [/TD]
[TD="align: right"]0.14%[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]0.80%[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]0.08%[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]0.80%[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]0.80%[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]0.80%[/TD]
[TD="align: right"] (0.11%)
[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]0.80%[/TD]

[TD="bgcolor: #FF99CC, align: left"]Sep[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]0.13%[/TD]
[TD="align: right"] (0.04%) [/TD]
[TD="align: right"]0.02%[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]0.90%[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]1.24%[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]0.90%[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]0.90%[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]0.90%[/TD]
[TD="align: right"] (0.04%)
[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]0.90%[/TD]

[TD="bgcolor: #FF99CC, align: left"]Oct[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]0.14%[/TD]
[TD="align: right"] (0.74%)
[/TD]
[TD="align: right"] (1.82%) [/TD]
[TD="align: right"] (3.86%) [/TD]
[TD="align: right"] (2.03%) [/TD]
[TD="align: right"] (2.03%) [/TD]
[TD="align: right"] (2.03%) [/TD]
[TD="align: right"] (3.86%) [/TD]
[TD="align: right"] (0.74%) [/TD]
[TD="align: right"] (2.03%) [/TD]

[TD="bgcolor: #FF99CC, align: left"]Nov[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]0.16%[/TD]
[TD="align: right"] (2.35%)
[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]3.71%[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]7.95%[/TD]
[TD="align: right"] (1.99%) [/TD]
[TD="align: right"]0.16%[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]0.16%[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]0.16%[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]0.16%[/TD]
[TD="align: right"] (2.35%) [/TD]

[TD="bgcolor: #FF99CC, align: left"]Dec[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]0.20%[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]0.16%[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]1.98%[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]1.81%[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]3.44%[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]1.81%[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]1.81%[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]1.81%[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]1.81%[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]1.81%[/TD]

[TD="bgcolor: #CCFFCC, align: left"]YTD[/TD]
[TD="bgcolor: #CCFFCC, align: right"]1.82%[/TD]
[TD="bgcolor: #CCFFCC, align: right"]2.91%[/TD]
[TD="bgcolor: #CCFFCC, align: right"]12.01%[/TD]
[TD="bgcolor: #CCFFCC, align: right"]16.35%[/TD]
[TD="bgcolor: #CCFFCC, align: right"]2.10%[/TD]
[TD="bgcolor: #CCFFCC, align: right"]14.19%[/TD]
[TD="bgcolor: #CCFFCC, align: right"]13.74%[/TD]
[TD="bgcolor: #CCFFCC, align: right"]13.34%[/TD]
[TD="bgcolor: #CCFFCC, align: right"]15.10%[/TD]
[TD="bgcolor: #CCFFCC, align: right"]12.77%[/TD]

It looks like our methods did quite well last year. They all beat the C Fund and came in second to the S Fund which was last years winner.

As for comparison among themselves, LMBF-1 SIM was the clear winner. LMBF-1 G>F came in last due to being in the F Fund in November which was clearly not the place to be. Betting against the G Fund didn't pay off for it that month. Speaking about betting against LMBF-1, the LMBF-1 C>S & LMBF-1 CI>S methods also did worse betting against LMBF-1 this year. On average they do better but not this year.

Cactus · Jan 1, 2017

Ok, for you people who like numbers, here are the last 3, 5, & 10 year stats for our returns:

[TD="bgcolor: #969696, align: left"]3 Year (2014 - 16)[/TD]
[TD="bgcolor: #969696, align: center"]G[/TD]
[TD="bgcolor: #969696, align: center"]F[/TD]
[TD="bgcolor: #969696, align: center"]C[/TD]
[TD="bgcolor: #969696, align: center"]S[/TD]
[TD="bgcolor: #969696, align: center"]I[/TD]
[TD="bgcolor: #969696, align: center"]LMBF-1[/TD]
[TD="bgcolor: #969696, align: center"]C>S[/TD]
[TD="bgcolor: #969696, align: center"]CI>S[/TD]
[TD="bgcolor: #969696, align: center"]SIM[/TD]
[TD="bgcolor: #969696, align: center"]G>F[/TD]

[TD="bgcolor: #C0C0C0, align: left"]Mean[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]2.06%[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]3.52%[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]9.08%[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]7.08%[/TD]
[TD="align: right"] (1.23%)
[/TD]
[TD="align: right"] (0.38%) [/TD]
[TD="align: right"]1.45%[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]1.92%[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]3.53%[/TD]
[TD="align: right"] (0.05%) [/TD]

[TD="bgcolor: #C0C0C0, align: left"]Standard Deviation[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]0.20%[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]2.41%[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]5.44%[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]7.88%[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]3.05%[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]11.12%[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]10.24%[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]9.25%[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]8.87%[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]10.07%[/TD]

[TD="bgcolor: #C0C0C0, align: left"]Annualized Return[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]2.06%[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]3.49%[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]8.94%[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]6.78%[/TD]
[TD="align: right"] (1.27%)
[/TD]
[TD="align: right"] (0.99%) [/TD]
[TD="align: right"]0.93%[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]1.49%[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]3.16%[/TD]
[TD="align: right"] (0.55%) [/TD]

[TD="bgcolor: #C0C0C0, align: left"]Total Return[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]6.30%[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]10.84%[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]29.31%[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]21.76%[/TD]
[TD="align: right"] (3.77%)
[/TD]
[TD="align: right"] (2.94%) [/TD]
[TD="align: right"]2.80%[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]4.55%[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]9.77%[/TD]
[TD="align: right"] (1.64%) [/TD]

[TD="bgcolor: #969696, align: left"]5 Year (2012 - 16)[/TD]
[TD="bgcolor: #969696, align: center"]G[/TD]
[TD="bgcolor: #969696, align: center"]F[/TD]
[TD="bgcolor: #969696, align: center"]C[/TD]
[TD="bgcolor: #969696, align: center"]S[/TD]
[TD="bgcolor: #969696, align: center"]I[/TD]
[TD="bgcolor: #969696, align: center"]LMBF-1[/TD]
[TD="bgcolor: #969696, align: center"]C>S[/TD]
[TD="bgcolor: #969696, align: center"]CI>S[/TD]
[TD="bgcolor: #969696, align: center"]SIM[/TD]
[TD="bgcolor: #969696, align: center"]G>F[/TD]

[TD="bgcolor: #C0C0C0, align: left"]Mean[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]1.91%[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]2.64%[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]15.15%[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]15.63%[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]7.41%[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]6.95%[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]9.32%[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]10.60%[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]8.66%[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]7.31%[/TD]

[TD="bgcolor: #C0C0C0, align: left"]Standard Deviation[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]0.28%[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]2.85%[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]9.99%[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]13.64%[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]10.90%[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]12.94%[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]13.39%[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]12.84%[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]9.40%[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]12.37%[/TD]

[TD="bgcolor: #C0C0C0, align: left"]Annualized Return[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]1.91%[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]2.60%[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]14.73%[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]14.84%[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]6.87%[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]6.14%[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]8.48%[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]9.83%[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]8.24%[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]6.58%[/TD]

[TD="bgcolor: #C0C0C0, align: left"]Total Return[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]9.90%[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]13.71%[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]98.79%[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]99.74%[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]39.41%[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]34.68%[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]50.26%[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]59.79%[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]48.56%[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]37.49%[/TD]

[TD="bgcolor: #969696, align: left"]10 Year (07 - 16)[/TD]
[TD="bgcolor: #969696, align: center"]G[/TD]
[TD="bgcolor: #969696, align: center"]F[/TD]
[TD="bgcolor: #969696, align: center"]C[/TD]
[TD="bgcolor: #969696, align: center"]S[/TD]
[TD="bgcolor: #969696, align: center"]I[/TD]
[TD="bgcolor: #969696, align: center"]LMBF-1[/TD]
[TD="bgcolor: #969696, align: center"]C>S[/TD]
[TD="bgcolor: #969696, align: center"]CI>S[/TD]
[TD="bgcolor: #969696, align: center"]SIM[/TD]
[TD="bgcolor: #969696, align: center"]G>F[/TD]

[TD="bgcolor: #C0C0C0, align: left"]Mean[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]2.64%[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]4.63%[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]8.82%[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]10.58%[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]3.22%[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]7.92%[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]10.28%[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]11.85%[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]10.26%[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]8.51%[/TD]

[TD="bgcolor: #C0C0C0, align: left"]Standard Deviation[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]0.97%[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]2.90%[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]17.92%[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]21.45%[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]19.50%[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]11.69%[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]12.91%[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]14.01%[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]9.65%[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]11.35%[/TD]

[TD="bgcolor: #C0C0C0, align: left"]Annualized Return[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]2.63%[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]4.59%[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]7.00%[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]8.13%[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]1.02%[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]7.25%[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]9.49%[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]10.97%[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]9.84%[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]7.89%[/TD]

[TD="bgcolor: #C0C0C0, align: left"]Total Return[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]29.68%[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]56.69%[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]96.75%[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]118.54%[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]10.70%[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]101.35%[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]147.71%[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]183.27%[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]155.59%[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]113.61%[/TD]

Well, not much to say here. They look a lot like last years comparison. Our methods only win in the 10 Year average.

Cactus · Jan 30, 2017

We will have to wait for the final numbers tonight, but it does look like the I Fund is the winner for January. :blink:

That being the case all our methods stay where they are at for February. There are no IFTs this month. That's good. That means we got this one right.

Hallatauer · Feb 6, 2017

Heya's... been a long while since I've been here. Hope everyone is well. So many things going on in life I feel like I have been in another world. Retirement has been good. My account has been sitting in the S Fund.. looking back it had been ugly for a while but has bounced back nicely. Even though I have been taking a monthly payment since I retired in 2013, my account is about where it was when I left federal service. I can wonder where it could have been if I had been paying attention but, that's water under the bridge. Still in nice shape.
Cheers!

Cactus · Feb 27, 2017

We will have to wait for the final numbers tonight, but it looks like the C Fund is our winner for February. That being the case, the following IFT's will take place before noon eastern tomorrow, Feb 28, 2017. That will put you in the new fund on Wednesday for March.

•LMBF-1 Changes from the I Fund to the C Fund
•LMBF-1 SIM Changes from the I Fund to the C Fund
•LMBF-1 C>S Changes from the I Fund to the S Fund
•LMBF-1 CI>S Remains in the S Fund
•LMBF-1 G>F Changes from the I Fund to the C Fund

Cactus · Feb 27, 2017

Here are the monthly returns as of Feb 27, 2017:

[TD="bgcolor: #FFFF99, align: left"] Date [/TD]
[TD="bgcolor: #FFFF99, align: center"] G FUND [/TD]
[TD="bgcolor: #FFFF99, align: center"] F FUND [/TD]
[TD="bgcolor: #FFFF99, align: center"] C FUND [/TD]
[TD="bgcolor: #FFFF99, align: center"] S FUND [/TD]
[TD="bgcolor: #FFFF99, align: center"] I FUND [/TD]

[TD="bgcolor: #FFFF99, align: left"] 27-Feb-17 [/TD]
[TD="bgcolor: #CCFFCC, align: right"] 0.18% [/TD]
[TD="bgcolor: #CCFFCC, align: right"] 0.65% [/TD]
[TD="bgcolor: #99CC00, align: right"] 4.24% [/TD]
[TD="bgcolor: #CCFFCC, align: right"] 3.62% [/TD]
[TD="bgcolor: #CCFFCC, align: right"] 1.23% [/TD]

The C Fund is indeed the winner for February.

Cactus · Mar 31, 2017

Here are the monthly returns as of Mar 30, 2017:

[TABLE="width: 450"]
[TR="bgcolor: #FFEC8B"]
[TD]Date
[/TD]
[TD]G Fund
[/TD]
[TD]F Fund
[/TD]
[TD]C Fund
[/TD]
[TD]S Fund
[/TD]
[TD]I Fund
[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR="bgcolor: #9AFF9A"]
[TD="bgcolor: #FFEC8B"]30-Mar-17
[/TD]
[TD]0.20%
[/TD]
[TD](0.12%)
[/TD]
[TD]0.36%
[/TD]
[TD](0.25%)
[/TD]
[TD="bgcolor: #9ACD32"]3.34%
[/TD]
[/TR]
[/TABLE]

The I Fund is the winner for March so the following IFT's will take place before noon eastern Friday, Mar 30, 2017. That will put you in the new fund on Monday for April.

• LMBF-1 Changes from the C Fund to the I Fund
• LMBF-1 SIM Changes from the C Fund to the I Fund
• LMBF-1 C>S Changes from the S Fund to the I Fund
• LMBF-1 CI>S Remains in the S Fund
• LMBF-1 G>F Changes from the C Fund to the I Fund

Cactus · Apr 5, 2017

Here are the returns through the 1st Quarter of the year:

[TABLE="width: 680"]
[TR="bgcolor: #87CEFA"][TD][/TD]
[TD]G[/TD]
[TD]F[/TD][TD]C[/TD]
[TD]S[/TD]
[TD]I[/TD]
[TD]LMBF-1[/TD]
[TD]C>S[/TD]
[TD]CI>S[/TD][TD]SIM[/TD]
[TD]G>F[/TD]
[/TR][TR]
[TD="bgcolor: #FF9A9A"]Jan[/TD]
[TD]0.20%[/TD]
[TD]0.23%[/TD]

[TD]1.90%[/TD][TD]2.16%[/TD][TD]2.89%[/TD]
[TD]2.89%[/TD][TD]2.89%[/TD][TD]2.16%[/TD][TD]2.89%[/TD][TD]2.89%[/TD]

[/TR][TR]
[TD="bgcolor: #FF9A9A"]Feb[/TD]
[TD]0.18%[/TD][TD]0.71%[/TD]
[TD]3.97%[/TD][TD]2.45%[/TD][TD]1.44%[/TD]
[TD]1.44%[/TD][TD]1.44%[/TD][TD]2.45%[/TD][TD]1.44%[/TD][TD]1.44%[/TD]

[/TR]
[TR]
[TD="bgcolor: #FF9A9A"]Mar[/TD]
[TD]0.20%[/TD]

[TD](0.01%)[/TD][TD]0.12%[/TD]

[TD](0.08%)[/TD][TD]2.85%[/TD]

[TD]0.12%[/TD][TD](0.08%)[/TD]
[TD](0.08%)[/TD][TD]0.12%[/TD][TD]0.12%[/TD]

[/TR][TR="bgcolor: #9AFF9A"]
[TD]YTD[/TD]
[TD]0.59%[/TD]
[TD]0.93%[/TD]
[TD]6.07%[/TD][TD]4.57%[/TD][TD]7.35%[/TD]
[TD]4.50%[/TD][TD]4.29%[/TD][TD]4.57%[/TD][TD]4.50%[/TD][TD]4.50%[/TD]
[/TR]
[/TABLE]

Cactus · Apr 27, 2017

We will have to wait for tonight to get the actual numbers, but as of right now it looks like the I Fund is the winner again for April. That being the case, all our methods remain in their current allocations except for LMBF-1 SIM which enters the F Fund and stays there until November.

Hallatauer · Apr 27, 2017

The I Fund I stay... it was good to us in April. Heck, I just looked at my account. I retired 4 years ago this month. Been take a life expectancy withdrawal every month. My balance is still higher today than when I retired. Not bad.

Cactus · Apr 28, 2017

That's good to hear, Hallatauer! Keep up the good work.

Making money in retirement -- who would have thunk it.

Cactus · Apr 28, 2017

Here is the monthly return as of 4/27/17:

[TABLE="width: 450"][TR="bgcolor: #FFEC8B"][TD]Date
[/TD]

[TD]G Fund
[/TD][TD]F Fund
[/TD][TD]C Fund
[/TD]

[TD]S Fund
[/TD][TD]I Fund
[/TD]

[/TR][TR="bgcolor: #9AFF9A"]

[TD="bgcolor: #FFEC8B"]27-Apr-17
[/TD]

[TD]0.18%[/TD][TD]0.72%[/TD][TD]1.22%[/TD][TD]2.11%[/TD]
[TD="bgcolor: #9ACD32"]2.70%
[/TD]
[/TR]
[/TABLE]

The I Fund is indeed the winner for April.

Alternate LMBF methods

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