Investors look to housing data, builder results
More bad news expected in home sales and reports from KB Home, Lennar
By
John Spence, MarketWatch
Last Update: 1:11 PM ET Sep 24, 2007
Monday's steep decline for home-building stocks may be a precursor to more losses this week.
"Following on the heels of a very weak August housing starts and permits report and a new record low in home-builder confidence, more bad news on home sales is expected this week," wrote Barrington Research analyst Alexander Paris in a report Monday.
Reports on sales of existing and new homes are on tap for Tuesday and Thursday, respectively. Economists are forecasting declines of more than 4% for both indicators.
Also in the housing spotlight this week are the July results for the S&P/Case-Shiller Home Price Index on Tuesday, and construction spending for August, which the Commerce Department is expected to report on Friday.
Finally, a pair of large home builders are scheduled to announce quarterly financial results on Tuesday and Thursday, respectively. Home builders have been taking impairment charges and writing down the value of unsold homes and land, which is pushing down book value.
Wall Street analysts see Lennar reporting a third-quarter loss of 55 cents a share, on average, according to a survey conducted by Thomson Financial.
"The risk is a higher-than-expected level of impairments, potentially coming from joint-venture investments," wrote Banc of America Securities analyst Daniel Oppenheim in a report to clients. "We expect sales to fall 22% [from a year earlier] with risk that sales declines may be more severe since Lennar pushed sales last year and does not have the benefit of easier comparisons."
Meanwhile, KB Home is expected to see a third-quarter loss of 67 cents a share, according to consensus estimates.
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