2012 Guess the Dow Contest

[eccougar]

Thanks Norm and Frixxxx. Like you said a good guess.

 

[nnuut]

Hell of a guess eccougar, good job.

 

[Frixxxx]

Gratz eccougar! Awesomeness!!!!

 

[tsptalk]

We have a winner! eccougar! Congrats! Nice job!

[TABLE="width: 279"]
[TR]
[TD][/TD]
[TD][/TD]
[TD]Dow Close[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD]LoginId[/TD]
[TD]DowGuess[/TD]
[TD]13104.14[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD]crommie[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]7,845.00[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]-5,259.14[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD]DAWG51[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]8,300.00[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]-4,804.14[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD]Afishegg[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]9,000.00[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]-4,104.14[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD]ExtremeWX[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]9,450.00[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]-3,654.14[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD]Nordic[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]10,500.00[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]-2,604.14[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD]poolman[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]10,736.00[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]-2,368.14[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD]Intrepid_Timer[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]10,752.00[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]-2,352.14[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD]Minnow[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]11,146.00[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]-1,958.14[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD]MrBowl[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]11,326.50[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]-1,777.64[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD]sillbeer[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]11,419.25[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]-1,684.89[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD]Frixxxx[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]11,456.00[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]-1,648.14[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD]Show-me[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]11,500.00[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]-1,604.14[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD]CrabClaw[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]12,012.00[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]-1,092.14[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD]RunningFool[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]12,242.73[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]-861.41[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD]SPN46er[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]12,645.00[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]-459.14[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD]SteveOhh[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]12,781.81[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]-322.33[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD]Bronco07[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]12,785.22[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]-318.92[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD]ILoveTDs[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]12,800.00[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]-304.14[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD]RealMoneyIssues[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]12,876.00[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]-228.14[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD]DouglasL[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]12,932.00[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]-172.14[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD]Handballer[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]12,999.00[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]-105.14[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD]MaStA[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]13,000.00[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]-104.14[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD]eccougar[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]13,150.00[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]45.86[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD]Viva_La_Migra[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]13,268.00[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]163.86[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD]uscfanhawaii[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]13,372.00[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]267.86[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD]OBGibby[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]13,456.78[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]352.64[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD]Happy_Trails[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]13,552.46[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]448.32[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD]KevinD[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]13,660.00[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]555.86[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD]Airman[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]13,682.00[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]577.86[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD]James48843[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]13,701.00[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]596.86[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD]Nnuut[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]14,126.45[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]1,022.31[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD]tsptalk[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]14,417.00[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]1,312.86[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD]sdouglas3[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]16,113.00[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]3,008.86[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD]Birchtree[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]17,001.00[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]3,896.86[/TD]
[/TR]
[/TABLE]

 

[tsptalk]

Here it is...

View attachment 21704

In the above comment my aging mind was thinking about the S&P500. Then, like our current crop of lawyers turned politicians attempting to turn a nice phrase, I missed everything by a factor of 10. Looks like RealMoneyIssues, DouglasL, and Handballer are the likely winners - but tumbling down the hill will open avenues for many others

Thanks for doing this! Looks like MaSta is also right there if the Dow hits 13,000.

[TABLE="width: 286"]
[TR]
[TD]crommie[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]1/3/2012[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]7,845.00[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD]DAWG51[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]1/4/2012[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]8,300.00[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD]Afishegg[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]1/4/2012[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]9,000.00[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD]ExtremeWX[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]1/3/2012[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]9,450.00[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD]Nordic[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]1/2/2012[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]10,500.00[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD]poolman[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]1/4/2012[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]10,736.00[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD]Intrepid_Timer[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]1/2/2012[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]10,752.00[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD]Minnow[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]1/4/2012[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]11,146.00[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD]MrBowl[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]1/4/2012[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]11,326.50[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD]sillbeer[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]1/2/2012[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]11,419.25[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD]Frixxxx[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]1/3/2012[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]11,456.00[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD]Show-me[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]1/2/2012[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]11,500.00[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD]CrabClaw[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]1/2/2012[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]12,012.00[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD]RunningFool[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]1/5/2012[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]12,242.73[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD]SPN46er[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]1/4/2012[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]12,645.00[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD]SteveOhh[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]1/3/2012[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]12,781.81[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD]Bronco07[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]1/2/2012[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]12,785.22[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD]ILoveTDs[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]1/3/2012[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]12,800.00[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD]RealMoneyIssues[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]1/3/2012[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]12,876.00[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD]DouglasL[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]1/3/2012[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]12,932.00[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD]Handballer[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]1/2/2012[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]12,999.00[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD]MaStA[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]1/3/2012[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]13,000.00[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD]eccougar[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]1/5/2012[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]13,150.00[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD]Viva_La_Migra[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]1/5/2012[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]13,268.00[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD]uscfanhawaii[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]1/2/2012[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]13,372.00[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD]OBGibby[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]1/2/2012[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]13,456.78[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD]Happy_Trails[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]1/4/2012[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]13,552.46[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD]KevinD[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]1/4/2012[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]13,660.00[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD]Airman[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]1/2/2012[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]13,682.00[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD]James48843[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]1/5/2012[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]13,701.00[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD]Nnuut[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]1/2/2012[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]14,126.45[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD]tsptalk[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]1/4/2012[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]14,417.00[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD]sdouglas3[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]1/3/2012[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]16,113.00[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD]Birchtree[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]1/3/2012[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]17,001.00[/TD]
[/TR]
[/TABLE]

 

[Boghie]

Here it is...

View attachment 2012_DowGuess_to_TSPTalk.xls

In the above comment my aging mind was thinking about the S&P500. Then, like our current crop of lawyers turned politicians attempting to turn a nice phrase, I missed everything by a factor of 10. Looks like RealMoneyIssues, DouglasL, and Handballer are the likely winners - but tumbling down the hill will open avenues for many others

 

[Boghie]

Does anyone have time to move these into an excel file or in some kind of sorted file?

If not, I will probably do it on Tuesday. I'll also start the 2013 contest.

I'll do it Tom. But, a quick scan and I think it is you and Nnuut that are neck and neck. Couldn't find my pick - thought I put it in, but it would have been low anyway...

 

[tsptalk]

Does anyone have time to move these into an excel file or in some kind of sorted file?

If not, I will probably do it on Tuesday. I'll also start the 2013 contest.

 

[tsptalk]

20 minutes left to get your guess in or to change your current guess.

 

[Viva_La_Migra]

13268

 

[James48843]

13701

 

[RunningFool]

It was tempting to guess 12221.20 but that wouldn't be scientific. The tea leaves say: (Drum roll please)...........................
12242.73
Tom, Can I take the 1 million in installments?

 

[eccougar]

13150

 

[tsptalk]

Actually I'm still working on it, I need more data! My projections keep ending on December 22, 2012, what's up with that?

I will pay a $1000 bonus to the winner if the world does end on 12/21/12. Oh, let's just make it $1 million to make it interesting - what the heck.

 

[Afishegg]

Europe's gonna disolve in my opinion so by the time the Mayan cyclical calender stops ......

Dow 9k. (So even though the world wont end just the calender will end, It will FEEL like the world is ending!):cheesy:

 

[Handballer]

My guess is 12,999. Herman Cain gave me a littlle help with this. I won't feel bad if you win the contest.

14,417

(+18%)

 

[Handballer]

Its about $1.44 now. Sign me up.

For a small fee* I will provide a DOW prognostication based on your individual characteristics. And since I am a Premium Service my Dow guess will be hidden until the contest ends. But here it is anyway: ##,###.##. Actually I'm still working on it, I need more data! My projections keep ending on December 22, 2012, what's up with that?

* 10% of your TSP account

 

[poolman]

10,736

 

[KevinD]

13,660

 

[Happy_Trails]

13,552.46