Recent content by amoeba

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    amoeba's Account Talk

    No way I'm putting a dime in stocks this month. It will sell off on the next news, at least -5%. Perhaps I'll wade in September, or later. JP ain't cutting rates with 3% PPI, jobs data too noisy to act yet. IMO.
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    amoeba's Account Talk

    Now I'm feeling like I want to be in the top 50. There's lingering stress out there, e.g., another tracker leader BRUNIKH bailed to G today. It's Saturday. Feel better? I do. Would a bomb crater under SPY 5,000 bring me back in August? Unlikely.
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    amoeba's Account Talk

    11.76%,
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    amoeba's Account Talk

    Dumped VXX near the close; no interest in August at all at this point. 100% G fund so I will meet my goal to match G fund. Seeya after Labor Day.
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    amoeba's Account Talk

    Feel much better being back in the top 100. Notably MRJ, the Secretariat of TSP tracker followed me out and is just running away from everyone. Considering staying out all August. Goal: G fund. Sent from my moto g 5G (2022) using Tapatalk
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    amoeba's Account Talk

    Yeah well, been slipping in the tracker, and expect to fall out of the top 100 after today. This is highly distressing, and the only way back is to bail before a dip, and hope for a drop next week, so I just did today. And bought a massive stake in VXX. So there, permabulls.
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    amoeba's Account Talk

    Last IFTs failed miserably, got killed yesterday, and am selling COB today (100% G); the reason being the ^VIX swings have been larger than this one recently and even if far less than 4/7/25 (46 or so), could easily top out at a much higher number than the morning today (up from 17 to 20 and...
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    Moody’s downgrades United States credit rating

    Internet chatter is the Moody rating is not it (others downgraded to same awhile back). And, Moody's reasoning (2017 Tax cut extension) was known with the November election result. Rather, it appears catalyzed by something else Trump said post close about slow tariff negotiations. None of this...
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    amoeba's Account Talk

    Well things changed on the tariff outlook that I didn't foresee and I was in danger of falling out of the top 100 ranks after being #6 or something at the time of my last post. So all in COB yesterday. I coulda woulda, probably shoulda, got greedier after meeting my lame +1% goal last month, so...
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    amoeba's Account Talk

    +1% monthly goal achieved by miracle of the I-fund and it's fair value pricing; whether skill or luck; so went completely into 100% G fund last COB, until May 1...the tariff fuse remains lit for China; the status quo for tariffs of this country alone will create quite the economic reaction very...
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    amoeba's Account Talk

    My pathetic goal for April 2025 of not going negative was failing hope with the F fund, but now resurrected with a few more IFT moves; cashing in half today. Maybe I will make it up 1%. Maybe not. At some point, POTUS social media posts/changes-of-mind, will have less of an effect than the...
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    amoeba's Account Talk

    Nope. Was all cash, I was watching when the move happened, but it took at least 5minutes for MSNBC to disclose the Truth Social post, and a half hour to give details. By then the move was essentially complete. There's still substantial tariff that, if implemented in 90 days, would kill earnings...
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    amoeba's Account Talk

    I still believe the above for the time being; in summary, there may be no meaningful bounce notwithstanding the decline so far, it seems extremely risky to time it, and the market is likely going considerably lower. Everything. Only G-fund appears safe and I have ended this buzz-cut bailing to...
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    amoeba's Account Talk

    Well, I sold my shorts last couple days and, while there's absolutely no indication that POTUS will waver on tariffs, he has a lifetime history of bathing in the glory of "making a deal". Not all is or can be domesticated so the potential offers to reduce tariffs are difficult to predict...
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    amoeba's Account Talk

    Yesterday and especially today, I placed sizable short bets, although the low volume updrift was puzzling. But with tariff details, that is now dumb money. Next mega issue? Sent from my moto g 5G (2022) using Tapatalk
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