What's with the Bond Market?......

WunderDog

New member
I thought the bond market was supposed to go up when the stocks take a dive. I know....IT's the cost of a barrel of oil!!!!!:(
 
3 Month Bill +1.55%
6 Month Bill +2.76%
2 Year Note +3.91%
5 Year Note +3.75%
10 Year Note +2.46%
30 Year Bond +1.49%
 
Now SEE!
That's why I need to be here!
I truly did not know that.
All dees years ida thunk yields go up, da bonds wud go up.
Shows to goya!

Bond Market 101, huh?:o
Prices move inversely to yields/rates. Yields/rates down, prices up (good for F fund); yields/rates up, prices down (bad for F fund).:)
 
So far, no flight to quality during this stock market sell-off. Very confusing times for the bond market with this stagflation.
 
So far, no flight to quality during this stock market sell-off. Very confusing times for the bond market with this stagflation.
Quality? The fed turned bonds to junk with BSC, Fannie and Freddie circus. Not surprised nobody's interested.
 
I see the F Fund down to $11.50 - $11.60 before the summer is over. The 10 year note is JUNK and inflation combined with raising rates will be a drag on the Fund.

I posted on Optionman's thread last week that I bailed at $12.12 this month after getting in at $12.05 it was short money but like all the Funds except the G it is a gamble. It is down .17 in a matter of days. Usually, it is a safe haven if the market tanks 300 or 400 as it did last week and I got lucky to get out and my 1st IFT this month was 100% G Fund.

I posted last week that I saw the F Fund below $12.00 so if tomorrow is a real bad day and the market is down early the F Fund may get back some losses possibly back to $12.04 with worry over the weekend seeking shelter so the market may take a hit and this could be a good day to take the loss and bail.

If the Feds raise rates in August the F Fund will take another hit so the exit window is closing and yields/rates will be up the F Fund will go down. JMO - Best of Luck
 
Within the TSP, the bond fund can act as a buffer against loses.
It's an important part of a well diversified portfolio. But my desire
for greater gains keeps me away from the (F) Fund too. When I
was restricted to Mail IFT's in April, I had 45% of my money in it.
It did well as a hedge, but not for seeking huge gains.
;)
 
Within the TSP, the bond fund can act as a buffer against loses.
It's an important part of a well diversified portfolio. But my desire
for greater gains keeps me away from the (F) Fund too. When I
was restricted to Mail IFT's in April, I had 45% of my money in it.
It did well as a hedge, but not for seeking huge gains.
;)

Ironically, after I raised hell the IFT limits suck but may have saved me thousands since May. Don't like them but now making 7 cents + 1 cent in the G Fund is better than losing maybe $10G's if I went to C,S, or I but I have one IFT looking for an entry point might go 100 C Fund tomorrow not sure the other could be the I Fund but Oil has scared away most. Maybe the C Fund gets a bounce on Monday/Tuesday it's now a pure guessing game. Not a smart way to invest money so as I type I am even changing my mind. LOL
 
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