The shortened week with a Jobs Report at the end was profitable for some while disappointing for others. The June Jobs report was favorable to those betting on a September rate cut. The U.S. added 206,000 jobs, slightly beating expectations, yet unemployment ticked higher to 4.1%; the first time since 2021 that unemployment was greater than 4.0%.
The report showed strength in the economy while the unemployment may give the Federal Reserve what they want to go ahead with a rate cut sooner than later. However, higher unemployment also showcases a fragility in the economy that could get out of hand quickly if not kept in check. The response in stocks was split with large caps rallying while small caps took a loss on the day.
The S-fund took a modest loss for the week and its reign of a best performing stock fund ended after two weeks, but it wasn’t the popular C-fund that gave its investors the best returns this week.
Following a rough June (-1.62%), the I-fund jumped out of the gate in July with a 2.43% gain over the first four days of the month. The last time the I-fund had the best weekly return was the last week of May when it added 0.14% while both the C and S-fund were down.
Here are the weekly, monthly, and annual TSP fund returns for the week ending July 5:
The C-fund has now gone three weeks without claiming the best weekly TSP return.
Though not on top in the weekly returns, C-fund holders still enjoyed their 1.98% gain this week and the C-fund has reached its highest price ever. Yet more TSP investors are still joining the C-fund herd. The average C-fund allocation has increased again, and it is now the most popular fund among the non-premium members after topping the G-fund this week.
Log In To Your TSP Talk AutoTracker
The average allocation among TSP Talk non-premium AutoTracker members increased in both the C and I-funds this week while decreasing in the G, F, and S-funds. Now over 32%, the average C-fund allocation became the highest among the five after passing the G-fund this week.
But this is still not the most bullish TSP Talk AutoTracker we’ve seen. At the beginning of 2022, the average G-fund allocation was 22.24% and the most popular fund was the S-fund with an average allocation of 37.25%. The S-fund went on to fall 26.26% that year.
The top of the TSP Talk AutoTracker standings is littered with C-fund allocations.
The average allocation of the top 300 non-premium members is 6.10% G, 1.15% F, 64.20% C, 17.00% S-fund and 6.19% I-fund. That is with the top 58 members all holding 100% C-fund. The average 2024 return among the top 300 non-premium members is 12.20%.
Start your TSP Talk AutoTracker Account today for free and show off your investment skills. Learn how to join here.
Need more help with your investment strategy? Become a TSP Talk Premium Member? TSP Talk offers four different premium subscriptions. Learn about your options here.
Good luck and thanks for reading! We will be back here next week with another TSP Talk Wrap Up. You can read our daily market commentary at TSP Talk - Market Commentary.
Thomas Crowley
(TommyIV)
www.tsptalk.com
Weekly Wrap-Ups Archive
Facebook | Twitter
The legal stuff: This information is for educational purposes only! This is not advice or a recommendation. We do not give investment advice. Do not act on this data. Do not buy, sell or trade the funds mentioned herein based on this information. We may trade these funds differently than discussed above. We use additional methods and strategies to determine fund positions.
