Transfer 5/4/04 for 5/5/04

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I am going to initiate another transfer before this morning's deadline. I'm getting 100% into stocks, 35% C fund, 65% S fund. This will be effective Wednesday.

Tom
 
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Should be excellent timing for Greensplats speech ........Maybe?............Hopefully?...........I'm still 100% I fund
 
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Also, Japan's Nikkei has been closed for four days after being down big on Thursday night. They may get a pop up tonight if we don't get bad news later today.
 
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what about f fund ? bad time :shock:? or ok

50-f 20-c 20s 10-i

I'm not shure what to do ?:?

MY LOST ultimaly get me moderate
 
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If rates are held steady, then it will still depend on the bias Greenspan has on the economy. My thought is if bonds do well because rates are not going up, stocks should do better.
 
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My allocation was 55% I, 45% S and I have not touched it since October when the share prices were identical between I and S (moved more to I).

Following Tom's lead this morningand thinking that the S will have the most gains, I am now 66%S, 34% I.

Doestransferring $x from one fund to anotherfundwith a lesser share price really matter? I want to say that it does, but I cannot think of a reason why it would.
 
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I only look at percentage gains and losses. The share price doesn't mean much to me.
 
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I'm new to your message board. I have been watching all the movement for the past two monthsand I decided to join as a member today. Tom, I think you and some of the other members have a keen ear and good advice. I'm very interested in how to use the signals the market sends out. I have watched the recent action with the market and watched youside step the down turn only to get back in when you preceived that its all clear. What signals/ chartsare you watching :cool:(that I can watch also). I printed a message off your message boardlast week when Ecurb talked about Big-charts.com and the Java charts he was using. I think he likes to follow the SPX and watch the market to see if it breaks support levels. I want to learn more on how to invest. I can only do this by watching and applying what I see assuccessful. Thanks...:^
 
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Welcome JOTT. Thanks for joining us.

Some of the indicators I look at are the ARMS 10 day moving average, the put/call ratios, the McClellan Oscillator (overbought/oversold indicators), moving averages, bullish/bearish sentiment numbers, new highs/new lows breadth indicators, trend lines and some other historical data.

Most of this information comes from sites I subscribe to. One I reference often is decisionpoint.com.

Thanks,
Tom
 
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I adjusted my allocation to a slightly more aggressive allocation for tomorrow: 30C, 30S, 30I, 10G. My allocation had been 25C, 25S, 25I, 25G. This isquite simply, acontrarian move on my part.I was somewhat surprised that the C andS funds did not take off afterGreenspan spoke today and so, am not quite sure if things are going to take off tomorrow. I guess we will wait and see.
 
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It's tough to judge the action of the Fed meeting days. Basically there were no surprises. The markets took off initially (The dow was up 70 shortly after the announcement) but the almostcertainty of rates rising in Juneand profit talking, took away some gains. I was glad to see that. I'd rather it took off tomorrow (if it is going to take off at all) when I'm 100% in stocks. :shock:
 
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In a way, I almost wish that Greenspan would have made a move but it seemed like he was really trying not to shake things up too much. At least he has made it clear that rates are going to go up sooner rather than later and so, when it happens, maybe it won't send huge shockwaves through the market. Perhaps we were already seeing a somewhat more resignedmarket today?
 
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I feel that Green-span will move sooner then later so the dust can settle well before the election. This work needs to be done well in advance of the election to show that the Fed is not playing politics. When he raises rates there will possibly be some turbulenceand I don't think that would be good for Bush so close to the election. I say possible turbulence because the market ispricing inthis move and it might be a catalus for the market to take off.
 
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Rolo wrote:
My allocation was 55% I, 45% S and I have not touched it since October when the share prices were identical between I and S (moved more to I).

Following Tom's lead this morningand thinking that the S will have the most gains, I am now 66%S, 34% I.

Doestransferring $x from one fund to anotherfundwith a lesser share price really matter? I want to say that it does, but I cannot think of a reason why it would.
Rolo,

No, transferring money from one fund to another fund with a lesser share price doesn't matter. If the fund you are buy has a high price per share it just means you will purchase less shares for the same dollar value... The original selling dollar value you started with will still be in the newly purchase fund (# of shares will be different)

Traveler,

If you only look at your dollar value each month how do you know if you are making or losing money.... Your dollar value will continue to go up monthly because of your bi-monthly contributions. If your dollar value is not going up ....you are losing a bundle! Tracking percentage gains while in funds is your most accurate means of a scorecard...Takes a little more time.
 
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Another late night stuck at my wife's office....Blah, blah blah....2135 hrs and still TSP site hasn't updated share prices for Tuesday. I went to www.msci.com site and the EAFE (I fund) appears to have jumped 1.27% or approximately 16-17 cents....YEEEHAW....bout time.... This site is not always dead on the money but usually fairly accurate...:^
 
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