Sentiment Survey Results 2009

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As mentioned on www.tsptalk.com/sentiment.php, we are implementing news rule to the Sentiment Survey System, which will now determine if we are in a bull or bear market before determining the ratios used for the buy and sell signals.

Bull Market Rules: If the 50-day exponential moving average of the S&P 500 is above the exponential 200-day moving average, we will use the following rules:

When the Bulls to Bears Ratio is:

* 2.00 or higher, it is overly bullish, which is bearish for the market and we have a sell signal.

* Less than 1.25, it is overly bearish, which is bullish for the market and we have a buy signal.

* A buy signal means 100% S fund the following week. A sell signal means 100% G fund the following week.


Bear Market Rules: If the 50-day exponential moving average of the S&P 500 is below the exponential 200-day moving average, we will use these rules:

When the Bulls to Bears Ratio is:

* 1.00 or higher, it is overly bullish, which is bearish for the market and we have a sell signal.

* Less than 0.50, it is overly bearish, which is bullish for the market and we have a buy signal.

*A buy signal means 100% C fund the following week. A sell signal means 100% G fund the following week.


The reason for the change is because in 2008, the ratio never reached 2.00 so it has been on a buy signal, and 100% S-fund all year. Obviously this is unacceptable.
 
TSP Talk Sentiment Survey results for the week of 1/05/09 - 1/09/09 (We will include 1/02/09)

See latest survey results

Bear market rules are in affect. Our sentiment survey system moves to a sell signal and a 100% G-fund allocation for the week of 1/05/09 - 1/09/09. The bulls (45%) to bears (42%) ratio was 1.07 to 1. It will also be on a sell signal for 1/02/09, just so we have a full year return for 2009.

To discuss or comment on the Sentiment Survey, go to Sentiment Survey Talk
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TSP Talk Sentiment Survey results for the week of 1/12/09 - 1/16/09

See latest survey results

Bear market rules are in affect. Our sentiment survey system remains on sell signal and a 100% G-fund allocation for the week of 1/12/09 - 1/16/09. The bulls (32%) to bears (52%) ratio was 0.62 to 1.

To discuss or comment on the Sentiment Survey, go to Sentiment Survey Talk
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TSP Talk Sentiment Survey results for the week of 1/20/09 - 1/23/09

See latest survey results

Bear market rules are in affect. Our sentiment survey system remains on sell signal and a 100% G-fund allocation for the week of 1/20/09 - 1/23/09. The bulls (35%) to bears (53%) ratio was 0.66 to 1.

To discuss or comment on the Sentiment Survey, go to Sentiment Survey Talk
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TSP Talk Sentiment Survey results for the week of 1/26/09 - 1/30/09

See latest survey results

Bear market rules are in affect. Our sentiment survey system remains on sell signal and a 100% G-fund allocation for the week of 1/26/09 - 1/30/09. The bulls (37%) to bears (50%) ratio was 0.74 to 1.

To discuss or comment on the Sentiment Survey, go to Sentiment Survey Talk
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TSP Talk Sentiment Survey results for the week of 2/02/09 - 2/06/09

See latest survey results

Bear market rules are in affect:

Our sentiment survey system moves to a buy signal and a 100% C-fund allocation for the week of 2/02/09 - 2/06/09. The bulls (26%) to bears (58%) ratio was 0.45 to 1.

To discuss or comment on the Sentiment Survey, go to Sentiment Survey Talk
 
TSP Talk Sentiment Survey results for the week of 2/09/09 - 2/13/09

See latest survey results

Bear market rules are in affect:

Our sentiment survey system remains on a buy signal and a 100% C-fund allocation for the week of 2/09/09 - 2/13/09. The bulls (34%) to bears (51%) ratio was 0.67 to 1.

To discuss or comment on the Sentiment Survey, go to Sentiment Survey Talk
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TSP Talk Sentiment Survey results for the week of 2/17/09 - 2/20/09

See latest survey results

Bear market rules are in affect:

Our sentiment survey system remains on a buy signal and a 100% C-fund allocation for the week of 2/17/09 - 2/20/09. The results were the same as last week - The bulls (34%) to bears (51%) ratio was 0.67 to 1.

To discuss or comment on the Sentiment Survey, go to Sentiment Survey Talk
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TSP Talk Sentiment Survey results for the week of 2/23/09 - 2/27/09

See latest survey results

Bear market rules are in affect:

Our sentiment survey system remains on a buy signal and a 100% C-fund allocation for the week of 2/23/09 - 2/27/09. The bulls (27%) to bears (60%) ratio was 0.45 to 1.

To discuss or comment on the Sentiment Survey, go to Sentiment Survey Talk
 
TSP Talk Sentiment Survey results for the week of 3/02/09 - 3/06/09

See latest survey results

Bear market rules are in affect:

Our sentiment survey system remains on a buy signal and a 100% C-fund allocation for the week of 3/02/09 - 3/06/09. The bulls (34%) to bears (55%) ratio was 0.62 to 1.

To discuss or comment on the Sentiment Survey, go to Sentiment Survey Talk
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TSP Talk Sentiment Survey results for the week of 3/09/09 - 3/13/09

See latest survey results

Bear market rules are in affect:

Our sentiment survey system remains on a buy signal and a 100% C-fund allocation for the week of 3/09/09 - 3/13/09. The bulls (26%) to bears (64%) ratio was 0.41 to 1.

To discuss or comment on the Sentiment Survey, go to Sentiment Survey Talk
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TSP Talk Sentiment Survey results for the week of 3/16/09 - 3/20/09

See latest survey results

Bear market rules are in affect:

Our sentiment survey system remains on a buy signal and a 100% C-fund allocation for the week of 3/16/09 - 3/20/09. The bulls (36%) to bears (48%) ratio was 0.75 to 1.

To discuss or comment on the Sentiment Survey, go to Sentiment Survey Talk

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TSP Talk Sentiment Survey results for the week of 3/23/09 - 3/27/09

See latest survey results

Bear market rules are in affect:

Our sentiment survey system remains on a buy signal and a 100% C-fund allocation for the week of 3/23/09 - 3/27/09. The bulls (34%) to bears (52%) ratio was 0.65 to 1.

To discuss or comment on the Sentiment Survey, go to Sentiment Survey Talk
 
TSP Talk Sentiment Survey results for the week of 3/30/09 - 4/03/09

See latest survey results

Bear market rules are in affect:

Our sentiment survey system is moving to a sell signal and a 100% G-fund allocation for the week of 3/30/09 - 4/03/09. The bulls (47%) to bears (37%) ratio was 1.27 to 1.

To discuss or comment on the Sentiment Survey, go to Sentiment Survey Talk
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TSP Talk Sentiment Survey results for the week of 4/06/09 - 4/10/09

See latest survey results

Bear market rules are in affect:

Our sentiment survey system remains on a sell signal and a 100% G-fund allocation for the week of 4/06/09 - 4/10/09. The bulls (49%) to bears (35%) ratio was 1.40 to 1.

To discuss or comment on the Sentiment Survey, go to Sentiment Survey Talk
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TSP Talk Sentiment Survey results for the week of 4/13/09 - 4/17/09

See latest survey results

Bear market rules are in affect:

Our sentiment survey system remains on a sell signal and a 100% G-fund allocation for the week of 4/13/09 - 4/17/09. The bulls (35%) to bears (47%) ratio was neutral at 0.74 to 1.

To discuss or comment on the Sentiment Survey, go to Sentiment Survey Talk
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TSP Talk Sentiment Survey results for the week of 4/20/09 - 4/24/09

See latest survey results

Bear market rules are in affect:

Our sentiment survey system remains on a sell signal and a 100% G-fund allocation for the week of 4/20/09 - 4/24/09. The bulls (38%) to bears (45%) ratio was neutral at 0.84 to 1.

To discuss or comment on the Sentiment Survey, go to Sentiment Survey Talk
 
TSP Talk Sentiment Survey results for the week of 4/27/09 - 5/01/09

See latest survey results

Bear market rules are in affect:

Our sentiment survey system remains on a sell signal and a 100% G-fund allocation for the week of 4/27/09 - 5/01/09. The bulls (34%) to bears (51%) ratio was neutral at 0.67 to 1.

To discuss or comment on the Sentiment Survey, go to Sentiment Survey Talk
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TSP Talk Sentiment Survey results for the week of 5/04/09 - 5/08/09

See latest survey results

Bear market rules are in affect:

Our sentiment survey system remains on a sell signal and a 100% G-fund allocation for the week of 5/04/09 - 5/08/09. The bulls (43%) to bears (45%) ratio was neutral at 0.96 to 1.

To discuss or comment on the Sentiment Survey, go to Sentiment Survey Talk
 
TSP Talk Sentiment Survey results for the week of 5/11/09 - 5/15/09

See latest survey results

Bear market rules are in affect:

Our sentiment survey system remains on a sell signal and a 100% G-fund allocation for the week of 5/11/09 - 5/15/09. The bulls (47%) to bears (42%) ratio was 1.12 to 1.

To discuss or comment on the Sentiment Survey, go to Sentiment Survey Talk
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