S&P 500 Past Performance

[JTH]

Going back to 1950, of the 16,000 plus trading days, today's -2.09% loss ranks in the bottom 2 percentile.

With the chart below, statistically speaking this Friday's winning ratio is split even with the average positive/negative gains higher than the norm. Based on this data, I would expect to see a +/-1% day tomorrow.

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So...your guess is up or down.

I'm going to go on a limb today and guess the direction will be down

 

[jonfresno]

I'm going to go on a limb today and guess the direction will be down

Paraphrasing Mel Brooks, my fellow tribesman:

The correc-tion, here we go, the corec-tion, what a show, I'll bet your wishin' that it'd go away, but the correc-tion is here and it's here to stay.......

 

[userque]

I'm going to go on a limb today and guess the direction will be down

Good Guess!!:nuts:

 

[OBXTrader]

You were right on the down call, but off by .06%. Try harder next time. Seriously, congrats.

I'm going to go on a limb today and guess the direction will be down

 

[JTH]

Post 1 of 3

This is a re-post of Monday's historical price performance. The overall view here is that Monday shows a a strong historical negative bias.

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Just to clarify, the bottom chart covers April 14th falling on the 10th trading day (not all April 14ths)

 

[JTH]

Post 2 of 3

This Tuesday shows a a strong historical negative bias. Tax day on April 15th started in 1955, if it falls on a weekend, then it is pushed to the next trading day. These stats do not track Tax day, but many of the days within these stats fall on tax day.

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Just to clarify, the bottom chart covers April 15th falling on the 11th trading day (not all April 15ths)

 

[JTH]

Post 3 of 3

Just for fun, here are the results for Tax day (as best as i could estimate.)

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[JTH]

This Wednesday has an historically positive bias

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[JTH]

Flip a coin, I would estimate the bulk of Thursday's data is break even.

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[JTH]

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Historically, this Monday shows a positive bias, with the exception of the events which fell on a Monday but with only 9 events in that category, this data is limited in scope.

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