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S-Fund: A TA Short Term Outlook
- Thread starter tspgo_com
- Start date
Birchtree
Well-known member
imported post
tspgo-com,
Thanks for the graph - I thought the S fund would probably hit the wall later rather than sooner. I think the energy holdings which are broad will continue to provide support to the index into spring 2006. The C fund I think will slowly take over the outperformance duties and lead up for the next couple of years providing we are in a long cycle - keeping my money on the C fund.
tspgo-com,
Thanks for the graph - I thought the S fund would probably hit the wall later rather than sooner. I think the energy holdings which are broad will continue to provide support to the index into spring 2006. The C fund I think will slowly take over the outperformance duties and lead up for the next couple of years providing we are in a long cycle - keeping my money on the C fund.
D
Dave M
Guest
imported post
The S-fund is overtaking the I-fund. Barely 25 basis points now separate the two.
Dave
The S-fund is overtaking the I-fund. Barely 25 basis points now separate the two.
Dave
D
Dave M
Guest
imported post
S-fund should go up about 15 points today, while I-fund will be neutral or negative. That means S will have overtaken the I by a point or two.
Dave
S-fund should go up about 15 points today, while I-fund will be neutral or negative. That means S will have overtaken the I by a point or two.
Dave
tspgo_com
Active member
imported post
Do you see what I see ....?
We are approaching an area of great concern. If the S&P and the C-Fund do not break out of this Reverse Symmetrical Triangle (RST) big trouble lies ahead. There are about 20-30 more points to the up side, then down the drain it goes. If the S&P goes down it will take everything down with it. Including the C, S, and I. If you are not following the 5-5-10 Rule, I would say it is time to play it safe and run for cover. August is not known for being a great month for stocks.
Happy trading,
TSPGO!
Do you see what I see ....?
We are approaching an area of great concern. If the S&P and the C-Fund do not break out of this Reverse Symmetrical Triangle (RST) big trouble lies ahead. There are about 20-30 more points to the up side, then down the drain it goes. If the S&P goes down it will take everything down with it. Including the C, S, and I. If you are not following the 5-5-10 Rule, I would say it is time to play it safe and run for cover. August is not known for being a great month for stocks.
Happy trading,
TSPGO!
The_Technician
Active member
imported post
Hmmm....moving out of the S today and into the I would probably be a good play...wish I had seen it two days ago....could be if one did such a thing that a quick 5% could have been realized....
:dude:
Hmmm....moving out of the S today and into the I would probably be a good play...wish I had seen it two days ago....could be if one did such a thing that a quick 5% could have been realized....
:dude:
The_Technician
Active member
imported post
Yea....S took a jump but I expect it will make a drop for a day or two.....I'm expecting I to jump next for a couple ofl days possibly....then depending on the market whether S will jump again....
I'mlooking at some newer data manipulations and recent trends of what might happen.....the best thing is we're in a up mode for the market but I can't say for how long...given the overall disposition....I'd say it won't last long....but who knows right.....
Nothing like having a hair trigger....
:^
Yea....S took a jump but I expect it will make a drop for a day or two.....I'm expecting I to jump next for a couple ofl days possibly....then depending on the market whether S will jump again....
I'mlooking at some newer data manipulations and recent trends of what might happen.....the best thing is we're in a up mode for the market but I can't say for how long...given the overall disposition....I'd say it won't last long....but who knows right.....
Nothing like having a hair trigger....
:^
The_Technician
Active member
imported post
The market winds have changed right in front of us over the last month....oil has been given the market a reprieve.....after considering all I know of control system theory, I should have guessed it....they (those who are pulling the world economic strings) are going to play this thing full tilt.....with a good economy and returns on commodities, interest rates, and earnings throttling along at a fair rate.....that would be a balanced output for such a system....
This bodes well for the market environment for many money making opportunities....if you can pick out the right time to get in and out....:^
I'm gonna love this....
:dude:
The market winds have changed right in front of us over the last month....oil has been given the market a reprieve.....after considering all I know of control system theory, I should have guessed it....they (those who are pulling the world economic strings) are going to play this thing full tilt.....with a good economy and returns on commodities, interest rates, and earnings throttling along at a fair rate.....that would be a balanced output for such a system....
This bodes well for the market environment for many money making opportunities....if you can pick out the right time to get in and out....:^
I'm gonna love this....
:dude:
tspgo_com
Active member
imported post
[align=center]The S-Fund seems to be completing a "Cup and Handle" formation. Wait for the handle to be formed. ( the retracing). Get back in when the subsequent breakout takes place. Keep in mind the possibility that the pattern will fail, and breakout in a downtrend. A premature entry might be a call for disaster. [/align]
[align=center]The S-Fund seems to be completing a "Cup and Handle" formation. Wait for the handle to be formed. ( the retracing). Get back in when the subsequent breakout takes place. Keep in mind the possibility that the pattern will fail, and breakout in a downtrend. A premature entry might be a call for disaster. [/align]
The_Technician
Active member
imported post
Aftergetting raw Whilshire 4500 datathe other day I believe we should have a positive day today......maybe we can get to 536 and above here....
I'm kinda thinking that we could go on to the 570's range if everything pans out on the market for the next several months....
Please keep the oil guys in the closet.....they sure know how to wreck the economy for everybody else....
Take my speculations as just that.....speculations....its just I haven't been tracking the Whilshire before and until some practical stability has been obtained, predictions can go weird......
:^
Aftergetting raw Whilshire 4500 datathe other day I believe we should have a positive day today......maybe we can get to 536 and above here....
I'm kinda thinking that we could go on to the 570's range if everything pans out on the market for the next several months....
Please keep the oil guys in the closet.....they sure know how to wreck the economy for everybody else....
Take my speculations as just that.....speculations....its just I haven't been tracking the Whilshire before and until some practical stability has been obtained, predictions can go weird......
:^
The_Technician
Active member
imported post
Well MM, I didn't get settled into the Whilshire 4500 data until yesterday.....I finished the analysis and made some educated guesses.....
I really like that F fund right now also.....I probably will be trading in and out of the S and F fund for a while.....
At the moment, I'm not listing my trades until I get some background on my progress....then when it looks promising, I'll start listing my trades again.....needless to say I haven't liked my performance of late...I've just been off enough to make me rethink some things .....I have learned that I didn't have enough data to make good decisions.....sometimes you never can make it perfect....
I'll say this much.....its looking good so far.....I like what I changed and its promising......
"There is the only the search, no answers..."
:dude:
Well MM, I didn't get settled into the Whilshire 4500 data until yesterday.....I finished the analysis and made some educated guesses.....
I really like that F fund right now also.....I probably will be trading in and out of the S and F fund for a while.....
At the moment, I'm not listing my trades until I get some background on my progress....then when it looks promising, I'll start listing my trades again.....needless to say I haven't liked my performance of late...I've just been off enough to make me rethink some things .....I have learned that I didn't have enough data to make good decisions.....sometimes you never can make it perfect....
I'll say this much.....its looking good so far.....I like what I changed and its promising......
"There is the only the search, no answers..."
:dude:
The_Technician
Active member
imported post
The Technician wrote:
ang MM...close enough I say!!!
Must be something in those analysis calculations of mine!!!!
By the way, how does Mid to late Jan sound......at 570's???
Wonder if we will get there....oil has to stay in the closet....
:dude:
The Technician wrote:
535+!!!! :shock::shock
ang MM...close enough I say!!!Must be something in those analysis calculations of mine!!!!
By the way, how does Mid to late Jan sound......at 570's???
Wonder if we will get there....oil has to stay in the closet....
:dude:
The_Technician
Active member
imported post
If you have read my recent posts, I mentioned that the S fund looks to be topped out for a momentary reset....today's action really affirms the topped out scenario, whether or not we get the momentary reset is another scenario...still believing that we're going to the 570's in Jan......
Lets see if we get a market rest till next Monday.....speculation that the market will take a rest due to the holiday weekahead and that it jumped great gains here lately....
At least alot ofmy newer data says it should....but who really knows before the fact....
:^
If you have read my recent posts, I mentioned that the S fund looks to be topped out for a momentary reset....today's action really affirms the topped out scenario, whether or not we get the momentary reset is another scenario...still believing that we're going to the 570's in Jan......
Lets see if we get a market rest till next Monday.....speculation that the market will take a rest due to the holiday weekahead and that it jumped great gains here lately....
At least alot ofmy newer data says it should....but who really knows before the fact....
:^
The_Technician
Active member
imported post
The other day I mentioned we may get a correction in the S of up to 8 percent I believe.....After looking at this mornings data I still speculate that the prediction is still possible.....the markets look low this mornings opening and could just start this downdraft.....
Its been good the last couple of weeks.....:^.....remember, I'm experimenting with some new analysis and take my outlook with a grain of salt....
Currently I'm looking for an entry point into the F fund until I get back to the S.......
:dude:
The other day I mentioned we may get a correction in the S of up to 8 percent I believe.....After looking at this mornings data I still speculate that the prediction is still possible.....the markets look low this mornings opening and could just start this downdraft.....
Its been good the last couple of weeks.....:^.....remember, I'm experimenting with some new analysis and take my outlook with a grain of salt....
Currently I'm looking for an entry point into the F fund until I get back to the S.......
:dude:
The_Technician
Active member
imported post
it does look like the correction of the S fund that I mentioned last week is in effect...:shock:........I would be looking for a possible 10% correction before its all over for the next week....then consider the fund for a trade.....its outperforming the C fund at the moment and I expect it to do so for the near future...
F Fund is kicking the G fund around a bit....I would like to get into it but I have been waiting for an entry point.....one that may never come....:?
:^The Technician
it does look like the correction of the S fund that I mentioned last week is in effect...:shock:........I would be looking for a possible 10% correction before its all over for the next week....then consider the fund for a trade.....its outperforming the C fund at the moment and I expect it to do so for the near future...
F Fund is kicking the G fund around a bit....I would like to get into it but I have been waiting for an entry point.....one that may never come....:?
:^The Technician
The_Technician
Active member
imported post
After further review I firmly believe that the bottom line (it changing daily) that the Wilshire could reach in the next several days is in the low 530's.....if it reaches this point I would think that the correction would be over....and it could be time to reinvest....:^
:dude: The Technician
After further review I firmly believe that the bottom line (it changing daily) that the Wilshire could reach in the next several days is in the low 530's.....if it reaches this point I would think that the correction would be over....and it could be time to reinvest....:^
:dude: The Technician
FUTURESTRADER
Active member
imported post
alllrighty..place your bets...S fund finish higher or lower tomorrow...my bet 60% chance it closes higher..therefore 60S 40G before deadline..not for tracking:^
alllrighty..place your bets...S fund finish higher or lower tomorrow...my bet 60% chance it closes higher..therefore 60S 40G before deadline..not for tracking:^
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