imported post
Right above the mean is not much movement from the moving average. However, given the latency of requesting a transaction to the time it takes effect, yes, you got it.
The first line above the mean (the orange one) marks one standard deviation. The differential will stay within the orange and lime lines68% of the time. It is hard to go wrong when you stick to the probabilities.
It will stay between the red and green lines 95% of the time. Therefore, it will be between the orange/red, lime/green lines 27% of the time. I believe a "27% time" is near, a case where my instincts override banking on statistics. The FRO helps me to see not only the trends, but the exceptions as well, which are trends also, of a sort.
I call it, "calculated wingin' it".
Right above the mean is not much movement from the moving average. However, given the latency of requesting a transaction to the time it takes effect, yes, you got it.
The first line above the mean (the orange one) marks one standard deviation. The differential will stay within the orange and lime lines68% of the time. It is hard to go wrong when you stick to the probabilities.
It will stay between the red and green lines 95% of the time. Therefore, it will be between the orange/red, lime/green lines 27% of the time. I believe a "27% time" is near, a case where my instincts override banking on statistics. The FRO helps me to see not only the trends, but the exceptions as well, which are trends also, of a sort.
I call it, "calculated wingin' it".