Market Talk

[Guest]

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Starting the thread.

17 economic reports this week, ending with the all market movingjob report. Will all the M&As start showing up? With regards to job losses.

First trading day of March has been up 6 of last 8 years. The rest of the week is about even on bullish or bearish.

(for the out weeks of March)

Triple witching week is a very good week to be in the market (Mar 14-18)

Week after triple witch has been down 11 of last 14 (Mar 21-25)

Last week of the month is horrible.

My plan is to get in the market Mar 11 and bail on the Mar 17. I do not like to be in the market on triple witching days (Mar 18).

Just using historics here. Will eye the market as days get closer.

Hope a great week for all.

 

[Dakota]

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the charts have not been too correct lately

 

[blueskys4ever]

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Dakota wrote:

the charts have not been too correct lately

Which charts do you speak of? If you mean the yahoo charts in relation to the I fund, I have noticed that they don't always show the same trend. I believe this is because the US dollar rate is not factored into the yahoo results. The TSP I fund return data does have the dollar rate factored.

 

[cowboy]

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I think he was refering to historical charts but not too sure.

 

[blueskys4ever]

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Rice Cuts Mideast Trip Short


Friday, February 25, 2005

Associated Press



WASHINGTON - Secretary of State Condoleezza Rice is deferring an expected trip to Egypt and other Mideast countries next week, confining her travels to a conference in London on assisting the Palestinian Authority.



The Middle East stops were never announced officially, but State Department spokesman Richard Boucher said Friday in providing the revised schedule that there had been "some consideration to going out to the region at this time," especially since Egypt was to host a meeting between the G-8 economic group and the Arab League.



The decision apparently caught Egypt off-guard. The country's major pro-government newspaper, Al Ahram, reported Friday that she would be in Egypt next Saturday.



What do you make of this?

 

[Guest]

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Egypt is pulling a Russian and locking up the opposition leader.

They have a crappy stock market so do not follow to close.

 

[Spaf]

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After talking with several members I would like to address a concerned issue.

TSP is part of a retirement system. I approach it somewhat different then a trading platform. I have both, TSP and ST.

TSP has limited funds, and a delayed transfer time. My trading platform has any fund you want and almost instant trades. Iam somewhat conservative with TSP and more aggressive with ST.

4 things I do.
1. Plan entries. 2. Minimize losses. 3. Protect profits. Exit sour trends.

Protecting your principal is No. 1 priority. If you made a mistake, bail!

Recovering from a large loss is not easy.
If one has a loss of 5 %, it takes 5.2% to recover.
10 11.1
25 33.3
50 100
75 300

Protection strategy: As profits grow, adjust exit points, establish trailing stops. After a stock has made a higher high, reset the stop to the most recent higher low or the one just below it.

Two rules I have: Shuck any fund that shows a 5% decline.
Make a new strategy if capital loss gets to 2%.

Agree, disagee, I'll listen!

Rgds Spaf

 

[Dakota]

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hey spaf, also Tom

I made a few good gains the last couple days being invested 100%. Monday I will be 33c 45s 22I. Maybe a bad move!!!! my main concern is I'm off for a few days and my computer went south last night. just as a friend do you think I should go

20 across the board

25 g c s I

or stay in all the way till I can get my hand back on the Brains of this outfit? I would like your opinion

 

[cowboy]

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Dakota why don't you just run to the library or your friends house a half hour early and make a move if you feel you will need to on Monday. If your computer is down then you must be at your friends house now!

 

[Dakota]

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cowboy wrote:

Dakota why don't you just run to the library or your friends house a half hour early and make a move if you feel you will need to on Monday. If your computer is down then you must be at your friends house now!

I'm at work will be off a few days thanks good luck Kind of like Doc told Wyatt don't have many friends. small town keep jto myself.

 

[cowboy]

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Well at least you have your horse!

 

[coolhand]

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Some thoughts on all those economic reports due this week.

http://money.cnn.com/2005/02/27/markets/sun_lookahead/index.htm

 

[Spaf]

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Dakota wrote:

hey spaf, also Tom

just as a friend do you think I should go 20 across the board

25 g c s I or stay in all the way till I can get my hand back on the Brains of this outfit? I would like your opinion

Chuck, You got 2 problems: 1st. the market is in a trading range between 1213 and 1164. We could get a breakout, or fall back into the trading range. 2nd.Without a computer you can't defend your capital.
If I was in your position I would: a. park my funds in G, save your $, for...there is always annuder day. b. go to one of Toms Long term allocation investing models, probably the conservative model.

Lately, I've been thinking hard about a laptop. Office Depot had some good buys! But, heck there are so many things I gotta get.

Take care Chuck! Rgds Spaf

 

[tsptalk]

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Dakota wrote:

hey spaf, also Tom

I made a few good gains the last couple days being invested 100%. Monday I will be 33c 45s 22I. Maybe a bad move!!!! my main concern is I'm off for a few days and my computer went south last night. just as a friend do you think I should go

20 across the board

25 g c s I

or stay in all the way till I can get my hand back on the Brains of this outfit? I would like your opinion

The action of the market last week is acting as if we arestill in a strong uptrend. I'm starting to second guess the consolidation theory but how the indices react to nearing the old highs will tell the story. Incidentally, the NYSE broader market is now at an all-time high.

Hanging onto explosive gains might be a wise short term move but you also are playing with "their" money and have room to let it ride. I would lean toward to 25 g c s i.

 

[Spaf]

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Hey Chuck

Can You use the govt computer at work? Like during breaks!

That 25 G, C, S, I. seems pretty fair. I'll probably go to that tomorrow AM if things look good. Otherwise I'll scamper for the hanger. -Bars Open-

If You are going to be at work this PM. I got a Market Call site for You!

http://money.cnn.com/markets/morning_call/

Rgds Spaf

 

[blueskys4ever]

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Dakota, Do you have a cell phone? Most of the cell phones can get stock quotes sent right to you 24-7. It may be an option! I hate to see you get arrested for driving while blind.

 

[Guest]

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Talk to Paris Hilton and Fred Durst about cell phones!

Just watched the videos. Yeek, Durst is a "little" fat guy. And I mean "little".

Dakota, you are way to caught up in the market...you are getting market withdraws. Take a break and do not worry about it.

Downtime is downtime.

My .02.

 

[coolhand]

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Here's the beginning of the new week with the dollar dropping sharply against major currencies.

http://www.advfn.com/news_Forex---US-dollar-weaker-Sydney-morning--yen-strengthens-on-data_10500755.html

 

[Guest]

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Yes, Russia and Iran just signing a nuclear agreement would tend to do that.

My .02.

 

[coolhand]

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There is also rumblings that China is considering going to a basket of currencies again. Don't think they're ready to do that yet, but you never know.