I HAVE A SPLITTING HEADACHE

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After using efile for the first time to do my taxes - it sucks! And then checking the market afterfinishing with my taxes > nothing could have been worse. And so many peeps seem so quiet. Well I took a nap and wanted to share somedream images with you all >>>
money_down_the_toilet_md_clr.gif
money_burning_sm_clr.gif
TROLL153.gif
fat_cat_francis_running_off_with_other_peoples_money_md_clr.gif
3D_FAC114.gif
BATSWA16.gif
BUSINE88.gif

WHAT TO DO NEXT > CUT LOSSES AND GO TO G AND/OR F??
WW.gif
 
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Wonder Woman wrote:
After using efile for the first time to do my taxes - it sucks! And then checking the market afterfinishing with my taxes > nothing could have been worse. And so many peeps seem so quiet. Well I took a nap and wanted to share somedream images with you all >>>
money_down_the_toilet_md_clr.gif
money_burning_sm_clr.gif
TROLL153.gif
fat_cat_francis_running_off_with_other_peoples_money_md_clr.gif
3D_FAC114.gif
BATSWA16.gif
BUSINE88.gif

WHAT TO DO NEXT > CUT LOSSES AND GO TO G AND/OR F??
WW.gif
wife and ihave become very happy with the e-file feature. this year was the second time we haveused it.
as far as the stock market...what afugly week!!!....i'm down 1% for the year now.
nothing left 2 run for now will hold pos.perhaps market has now discounted...inflation, rates, oil, crummy earnings, and the fact that social security will not be privaztized any time soon.
 
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Wall St. Suffers Worst Day in Two Years - Like I needed to post this:)

14 minutes ago Business - AP


By MICHAEL J. MARTINEZ, AP Business Writer

NEW YORK - Wall Street suffered its worst single day in nearly two years Friday, with the Dow Jones industrial average falling 191 points for its third straight triple-digit loss. Deepening concerns over economic growth and higher prices led to the worst week of trading since August.

An already uneasy market began the biggest one-day selloff since May 19, 2003, after the Federal Reserve reported drops in manufacturing and other industrial production, and a Labor Department report showed higher oil costs driving up import prices.


The selloff was bolstered by lower-than-expected profits from IBM Corp., which led to fears that technology spending would be substantially worse than expected this year. Strong earnings from General Electric Co. and Citigroup Inc. were overlooked, but analysts said earnings would nonetheless be a key factor in overcoming the recent slump.


"Earnings are really the only hope for this market," said Brian Pears, head equity trader at Victory Capital Management in Cleveland. "If, on the whole, earnings can go up, then we might be able to overcome oil and inflation and all the other things."


According to preliminary calculations, the Dow fell 191.24, or 1.86 percent, to 10,087.51, after falling 125 points Thursday and 104 points Wednesday. It was the Dow's lowest close since Nov. 2.


Broader stock indicators also lost considerable ground. The Nasdaq composite index dropped 38.56, or 1.98 percent, to 1,908.15 for its worst showing since Oct. 25.


The Standard & Poor's 500 index was down 19.43, or 1.67 percent, at 1,142.62, its lowest level since Nov. 3.


All three indexes set five-month lows for the second straight session, prompted by disappointing earnings in the tech sector and questions about slowing economic growth. With Friday's losses, it was the first time the Dow lost 100 points three sessions in a row since late January 2003.


For the week, the Dow lost 3.57 percent, the S&P 500 was down 3.27 percent, and the Nasdaq tumbled 4.56 percent. The major indexes are also at their lowest points of 2005, with the Nasdaq down 12.29 percent, the Dow falling 6.45 percent and the S&P having lost 5.72 percent.


Bond investors were pleased with Friday's results, however, as the bond market continued to rally. The yield on the 10-year Treasury note fell to 4.24 percent from 4.34 percent late Thursday. The dollar was mixed against other major currencies, while gold prices moved higher.


Crude oil prices were lower and continued a two-week downtrend, with a barrel of light crude settling at $50.49, down 64 cents, on the New York Mercantile Exchange.


The recent drop in crude futures notwithstanding, higher oil prices are to blame for the jump in import prices, the Labor Department said. Import costs rose 1.8 percent in March, but even without oil, prices rose 0.3 percent, more than the 0.2 percent rise economists had expected.


"There's a lot of evidence that when we have oil averaging $53 or $54 per barrel, that's inflationary, and we got a whiff of that today in the import prices," said Peter Cardillo, chief strategist and senior vice president with S.W. Bach & Co. "It doesn't help that we're starting to see the economy enter a slowing mode heading into the second quarter here."


Investors looking at the Fed's industrial output report also questioned whether higher energy and materials costs were affecting manufacturing growth as well. Overall industrial production rose 0.3 percent in March, up from 0.2 percent in February, but the increase came only from utility production due to a colder-than-average month, and manufacturing and other industrial sectors showed losses for the first time in six months.


IBM said an inability to close deals before the end of the quarter, combined with higher pension costs, dragged on its earnings. The technology company, which missed Wall Street forecasts by 6 cents per share, hinted at a major restructuring this year. IBM tumbled $6.94, or 8.3 percent to $76.60, and was the biggest loser on the Dow.


General Electric rose 25 cents to $35.75 after the industrial and media conglomerate reported a 25 percent jump in first-quarter profits, with nine of the company's 11 disparate divisions reporting double-digit growth. The company's forecasts for the second quarter and full year were in line with Wall Street's estimates.

Citigroup beat Wall Street's expectations for its quarterly profits by 2 cents per share, with profits rising a modest 3 percent year-over-year. The financial company also said its board had authorized the repurchase of an additional $15 billion in stock. Citigroup added 35 cents to $45.75.

The lagging pharmaceutical sector saw new life after Genentech Inc. reported strong results from trials of its Avastin drug in breast cancer patients, and Ely Lilly & Co. received a favorable patent ruling on its best-selling anti-psychotic drug Zyprexa. Genentech surged $10.72, or 18.3 percent, to $69.35, while Lilly climbed $2.91 to $58.07.

Declining issues outnumbered advancers by more than 4 to 1 on the New York Stock Exchange, where preliminary consolidated volume came to 2.71 billion shares, compared with 2.38 billion on Thursday.

The Russell 2000 index of smaller companies was down 11.16, or 1.89 percent, at 580.78. The Russell lost 4.91 percent this week and is down 10.86 percent for the year.

Thursday's losses in U.S. markets had a ripple effect overseas, as the Nikkei stock average fell 1.66 percent. In Europe, Britain's FTSE 100 closed down 1.09 percent, France's CAC-40 lost 1.92 percent for the session, and Germany's DAX index tumbled 2.04 percent.

___

The Dow Jones industrials ended the week down 373.83, or 3.57 percent, finishing at 10,087.51. The S&P 500 index lost 38.58, or 3.27 percent, to close at 1,142.62.

The Nasdaq fell 91.20, or 4.56 percent, during the week, closing Friday at 1,908.15.

The Russell 2000 index, which tracks smaller company stocks, closed the week 29.97, or 4.91 percent, lower at 580.78.

The Dow Jones Wilshire 5000 Composite Index — a free-float weighted index that measures 5,000 U.S. based companies — ended the week at 11,246.79, off 387.80 points from last week. A year ago the index was at 11,078.10.

The Wilshire 5000 dropped 446.24 points, or 3.82 percent, in the past three sessions, the largest percentage drop since Nov. 11, 2002, when the total-market index fell 5.1 percent.


*********************************************************************

maybe the govt. and wall st. can file bankruptcy....they only have six months left to do it in!

LOL
 
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Nasdaq breaks several key support levels
By Tomi Kilgore, CBS MarketWatch
4:07 PM ET April 14, 2005

Simply speaking, the outlook for the Nasdaq Composite's chart is no longer optimistic.

That's because the technology rich index has done what it couldn't do in three previous attempts -- break through significant technical and psychological support at 1,970.

But that's not all.

There were a number of other technical indicators that converged to make the 1,970 to 1,990 level a very important area for bulls to defend. But after several tests, bulls were finally overrun.

The Nasdaq ($COMPQ: news, chart, profile) closed Thursday down 28 points at a 6-month low of 1,947.

And momentum has now swung decidedly in the bears' direction.

Half full vs. less than half full

What made the 1,970 level so significant was it marked the 50% retracement level of the rally off the Aug. 13, 2004 low of 1,750 to the Jan. 3 high of 2,191. That move may have lasted only 4 1/2-months, but it was critical for bulls, because it saved the dire-looking Nasdaq from posting a losing 2004, and injected some optimism by taking it up to a 3 1/2-year high. See interactive java chart.

The initial test of that level occurred on March. 9, when the index hit a low of 1,968, and bulls passed with flying colors. The Nasdaq bounced slightly to close at 1,973, then took off on a 32-point, or 1.6-percent jaunt the next day.

The second test came on Apr. 4, when the index hit a low of 1,972, or 12 points below the prior session's close. Bulls were victorious again, and the Nasdaq reversed course to close up 7 points at 1,991. It managed to keep going, closing up at 2,018 three sessions later.

Then on Apr. 12, the Nasdaq slumped 22 points in intraday trading to 1,970, then reversed course suddenly to close up 13 points after minutes of the Federal Reserves March meetings were less hawkish than the markets feared. Read more.

It didn't take bears long to reverse that rally, as the Nasdaq closed Wednesday just above support (1,974) and was last trading well below at 1,960.

Bulls no longer have the odds on their side, as the Nasdaq has now retraced 52% of the August 2004 to January 2005 rally.

The fact that bears continued to test such important support so soon after being apparently injured by the bulls, and then test it again, suggests they were never really hurt too badly.

The hotter the stove, the less likely the child will try to touch it a second time.

It then follows that it wasn't necessarily the bulls that were doing the buying at support; instead, it's more likely that it was just bears covering short positions.

So rather than hurt the bears, the rallies just freed them up to sell further.

Converging support levels give way

If that's not bad enough, the Nasdaq has fallen through a long-term uptrend line that started at the bear market low of 1,108 in October 2002.

A line starting from that low, and connecting the lows of March 2003 (1,253), August 2004 (1,750), March 2005 (1,968) and Apr. 4 (1,972), comes in around 1,981 on Thursday.

The Nasdaq dipped below that line briefly in intraday trading on Tuesday -- the day of the big reversal -- then finally closed below it on Wednesday. Thursday's entire intraday range (low of 1,948 and high of 1,975) is below that line, a clear break.

A trend that has lasted this long will not likely give way without a fight, so you can almost expect a bounce as bull try to regain the comfort of the trend.

A broken uptrend line (or downtrend line) typically morphs into resistance (or support) when revisited, so a rally up to the 1,981 level will likely attract bears that missed their first opportunity to sell there.

Another technical negative is the slide through the 200-day simple moving average, which on Thursday was at about 1,993. The Nasdaq had seesawed around that line several times since Mar. 21, but Thursday's slide marks a definitive break.

Nasdaq waves goodbye to mature rally

What the break of all these support level also indicates is that the Nasdaq's rally off the bear market low is now mature, with a clear five wave pattern.

The first initial test wave of the rally was the 2-month rally off the October 2002 low to the December 2002 high (1,521). The Nasdaq's 2-month decline to the March 2003 low (1,253) -- denial by the bears -- was the second wave.

The third and longest, most powerful wave, when both parties acknowledged the new trend, was the 10-month rally to the January 2004 high (2,153). The fourth wave was the 7-month long rest period to the August 2004 low (1,750), followed by the final 5-month exhaustion rally to the January 2005 high (2,191). Read more.

According to the Elliott Wave Theory, which is predicated on the belief that financial markets follow rhythmic patterns like those that are found in nature, stocks and stock indexes tend to move up in 5 waves and decline in 3 - down, a slight rally, then down again.

The break of all the support levels confirms that the first down wave has already begun.

What's next?

Given that there is no longer much question that the outlook for the Nasdaq is negative, the next step is to determine what levels bulls and bears will be watching next, either as a place to buy or as a target for bears to shoot for.

There should be support at the gap in the charts between the Sept. 30, 2004 high of 1,902 and the Oct. 1 low of 1,908. That gap had been tested several times in intraday trading in October 2004, but passed by not allowing it to be filled on a closing basis.

That level also roughly coincides with the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement level (1,918) of the August 2004 to January 2005 rally.

Fibonacci percentages are based on a mathematical "golden ratio" -- 0.618 -- that was written about by a 13th-century Italian mathematician and found to be prevalent in natural systems. It is also the mathematical platform of the Elliott Wave Theory. Other Fibonacci numbers include 50% and 38.2% (1 minus 61.8%).

Once a correction surpasses 61.8% of a prior move, it is no longer governed by that move, and a full retracement is expected.

That suggests the next support or target level should be the August 2004 low of 1,750. That just happens to roughly coincide with the 38.2% retracement level of the rally off the October 2002 to January 2005 rally.

A 50-percent give back of the big move would put the Nasdaq at 1,650.

Just by coincidence, there should also be gap support between the July 1, 2003 high (1,641) and the July 2 low (1,648). That area was tested in August 2003, but passed as support when the Nasdaq could not fill it on a closing basis (Aug. 8 close was 1,644).

Isn't it nice when all these technicals come together?

Resistance, if needed

In the case of a counterattack by bulls, there should be resistance at the uptrend line, which would come in on Friday at around 1,982, followed by the 200-day simple moving average at about 1,994.

Above that, it should be difficult to get above the 2,020 level, which coincides with the highs of Apr. 7 (2,018) and Apr. 8(2,021) and the Feb. 24 low (2,023). The 2,100 level should also attract sellers (Feb. 15 high of 2,103 and Mar. 7 high of 2,000).
 
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