I fund down???

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I've been 100% invested in the I fund since Jan./Feb. of 2004. Made 1 transfer the first week of Jan. 2005, switched back and have been 100% in since then. Just keep dollar cost averaging on pull backs. No need to trade this one. You just accumulate it and enjoy the gains. I am actually quite impressed that we have this type of an investment choice. I didn't think Barclays had it in them. Recent gains have been due to the Japanese government treating their currency, the Yen, like garbage to prop up their stock market and create the illusion that their exports are rocking.

Good luck.
 
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The 3 month, 6 month, 1 year, 2 year, and 5 year EAFE charts TSPTalk links to at the top of the page really look good to me.

The I-Fund is doing good without respect to the dollar and we've witnessed thesame for gold which, traditionally andalong with the I-Fund,has had an inverse relationship to the dollar. Many speculate that gold is showing unusual strength and believewhen the dollar eventually turns gold should go up with a vengeance. The I-Fund could alsoenjoy additional limelight.

It isexciting to see gold and the I-Fund go up regardless of what the dollar might be doing.I'll probably unload a third of my gold and I-Fundpositionwhen gold is showing $529-540.00. This will give me some dry powder if and when there is a pull back.If I'm early in sellingand they both go up higher, I've got the remaining 2/3s of my position toprofit from. If I'm late in selling, I'll probably fall back on the popular excuse, "I'm in it for the long haul.":) And, I believe the I-Fund is not a bad long-term play as a buy and hold.

Cheers,
 
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tsp police will buffer the overnight losses to ensure that people dont benefit too much by buying in the I fund today
 
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Soldat wrote:
tsp police will buffer the overnight losses to ensure that people dont benefit too much by buying in the I fund today
Click to expand...
I was thinking the same thing. Last year they didn't do the adjustment as aggressively as this year,so you could do quite well. This year they've been all over it. Still, with Japan down alot and the European markets down, that only leaves them the weak dollar to justify anyunrealistic adjustment. I still look for it to be downenough to benefit from a bounce tomorrow, if there is one. If US markets finish up that will help. One should ignore the EAFE chart at the top of page, the MSCI should show a big drop this afternoon. Thursdays or Fridays have usually been good for the I fund on a fairly consistent pace. This year has been harder to time the I fund on a short term trade. Still a gamble, or hunch. Good luck.
 
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A couple of thoughts on this topic.

First, I find that the adjustments often come when there is a change in the wind AFTER 1:00 pm. Morgan Stanley posts the days results by 3:00 which means they are using data only up to about 1:00pm or so. If the dollar falls or U.S. equities take off in the afternoon, that gives them a good reason to make their adjustment, hopefully in the right direction.

Secondly, I've been wondering about the legality of arbitrarily "adjusting" a fund price. If you were in a mutual fund and they started posting prices that were not direct refections of the stocks in that fund, would anybody put up with that?

Thoughts?

Dave

<><
 
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You're right Wheels, if the US markets rally big today, even though the Asian and European markets are down big, an adjustment will be made to take in account a possible overseas rally for tomorrow. It keeps us timers from anticipating a big drop today and cashing in on it tomorrow. Last year it worked great, but this year the TSP police have been very aggressive to fustrate the timers.:X
 
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Well, it looked like we were going to get hammered but then Europe rallied later in the day. So we may only have 8-10 cent share losses even if the TSP gods dont buffer the loss. If they do buffer the loss, we could even finish UP!
 
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Soldat wrote:
Well, it looked like we were going to get hammered but then Europe rallied later in the day. So we may only have 8-10 cent share losses even if the TSP gods dont buffer the loss. If they do buffer the loss, we could even finish UP!
Click to expand...
Up it is. :^
 
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But the UP wasnt buffered, the EAFE finished up .154 despite the nikkei performance!! The future is promising! The nikkei may rebound and the footsie will steam strong, I suppose we could see another 1-2% in the next 2-3 business days!
 
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Soldat wrote:
But the UP wasnt buffered, the EAFE finished up .154 despite the nikkei performance!! The future is promising! The nikkei may rebound and the footsie will steam strong, I suppose we could see another 1-2% in the next 2-3 business days!
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Your right Soldat, the Japan market is up.

b




up_g.gif
3.59 (1.19%)
 
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Smart money backed out of the market during the last hour for almost all of established European markets as well as the Nikkei and Hang Seng (even though the HSI is less than 2% of the I fund it still is a valuable marker.) This could forecast monday as a downday.. But who knows, staying I, lets see a spike in tohe footsie and nikkei. I could catch the F bounce on monday shall it finish low today and the G penny when it drops. Safety first until the 14-16th. But then again, no guts no glory. Good luck friends.

100%stocks for the long bull
 
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But I was wrong about the footsie. Most of europe bunked in the last hour. I see a few cents though.
 
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Soldat wrote:
I think we will see more than 2 cents today. Lets hope.
Click to expand...


msci up .413%, should see at least 7 cents, tho TSP gave us a .020% bonus over msci yesterday, so..... .393 x 17.19 =+6.75 cents
 
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