PoolMan,
Education of Markets, well, um, ...
Basically zip.
I could hardly tell you how a dividened is calculated - but I do know that to big or too little of a dividend is a movement indicator.
Since I'll have my USAF Reserve retirement set, and my military buyback for my civilian job will be completed, I'll have 2 small retirement incomes come retirement time (I'm 40 now).
So, with the market in the shape it's in, and I think it'll continue to decline for the near future (6mo-1yr at least), your theory of "going long" actually makes the best sense for me.
I'm holding at 100% G for the time being, and am seriously considering a 100% C IFT move once I feel we're near "a", "some", or "the" bottom.
My logic - in 10 years, I'll be very well off in TSP since the S&P will have nowhere to go but up, or the stock market won't exist on Earth.
As stated before, as I get closer to that 10yr point, I'll be shifting back to G or something safer.
Oh, and I do watch Cramer on Mad Money - if that counts. BooYah!