Guess the April Jobs Report

[exnavyew]

-18 million. cuz I think someone is engaging in expectation suppression. That is, if they are projecting say an increase of say 21 million new unemployed and the figure comes in at say 18 million 'the herd' will think, gee they said it was gonna be 21 million and it's 'ONLY' 18 million. As if that was an acceptable figure given the projection.

 

[uscfanhawaii]

-21.5M

 

[tsptalk]

I think that estimate is 22 million. At least that's what I've seen unless they changed it.

Yeah, it depends who's estimating. At this point, and this is really an astonishing thing to say, being off by a million isn't much of a difference.

It used to be that 50,000 off from estimates was a big deal.

 

[gronk007]

24M lost

 

[nnuut]

It should be dropping a bit, with some states allowing opening some retail and others.

 

[LTJPFED]

I say it comes in at 19.8 and it won't matter. The markets will laugh it off and continue to go up up up and up. Did I mention it will go up? Yes my FOMO came true. I missed all this move higher and I'm pissed. The markets will not come back down to retest anything and I will still be in G....;damnit

Have a good day all!

 

[Rod]

I think that estimate is 22 million. At least that's what I've seen unless they changed it.

I now see 2 different estimates, 21 & 22. Who is more reliable?

 

[Rod]

The April 2020 Jobs Report estimates are looking for a loss of 21 million jobs.

What say you?

I think that estimate is 22 million. At least that's what I've seen unless they changed it.

 

[tsptalk]

The April 2020 Jobs Report estimates are looking for a loss of 21 million jobs.

What say you?