Buy on Halloween and Sell on April FOOL!

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TSPIntel

TSPIntel

Member
Historical, the Dow best six months are between October and April,
and Dow worth six months are between May and September.
 
Base on the Fed today... In my opinion the market will be bullish for couple more days.... nevertheless... Sell May and Go Away... still may be a fact this year.:confused: Any thoughts?
 
 
There's a reason why nobody responded to your month old thread that you chose to bump. You're not bringing anything new to the table. Your going to sit there and do a hit & run topic without anything to back it up? Am I supposed to believe you came up with that on your own, or are you going to give the proper credit to the source you learned it from? Besides, stats don't mean anything, how you trade means everything. I'll take the worst 6 months in a bull market over the best 6 months in a bear market any day.
 
"stats don't mean anything, how you trade means everything. I'll take the worst 6 months in a bull market over the best 6 months in a bear market any day."

JTH:You are correct: I'll take the worst 6 months in a bull market over the best 6 months in a bear market any day. However, if it happens regularly, it gives us some reference point. I do not know who came with that observation, it is public informantion, I know the Stock Almanac have used that observations for many years.
 
Another observation is to SELL May and Go Away. I am planning to laundered the S-Fund into the G-Fund on the first New Moon of May next week. Even Farmers do some harvesting based on the Moon. I just plant TSP Funds and Harvest profits.:)
 
The 'Sell in May' 'technique' - if you can call it that - has helped my balance sheet in the past. Why? I think the reasoning is dumb - thus, I don't swing on it.

So, I am 20% out of the market now.

Why not more, because I will let the market decide.

That 20% doesn't really hurt me, but it can help in a correction.


But, I'm not going to use a technique based on Wall Street going on vacation for the summer or something. Not a good basis for making a major swing. Using stuff like 'Sell in May' on a swing basis and as a decisive factor results in one being a member of the 700 club.:p
 
Boghie said:
The 'Sell in May' 'technique' - if you can call it that - has helped my balance sheet in the past. Why? I think the reasoning is dumb - thus, I don't swing on it.

So, I am 20% out of the market now.

Why not more, because I will let the market decide.

That 20% doesn't really hurt me, but it can help in a correction.


But, I'm not going to use a technique based on Wall Street going on vacation for the summer or something. Not a good basis for making a major swing. Using stuff like 'Sell in May' on a swing basis and as a decisive factor results in one being a member of the 700 club.:p
Click to expand...
Boghie: I do not take nothing as an absolute. I mean nothing in the market obey nor follow an absolute. Techniques, methodologies, strategies or whatever we would like to call them are references, inputs, to pull the triger, and do a buy or a sell. The art is to buy at the lowest and sell at the highest, then have pacience and never take loses.:)
 
I'm not sure the old saying "Sell in May and go away" applies today. The automated computer based trading doesn't take the summer off. Most of the computers I know take The last two weeks in December.:rolleyes:
 
PessOptimist said:
I'm not sure the old saying "Sell in May and go away" applies today. The automated computer based trading doesn't take the summer off. Most of the computers I know take The last two weeks in December.:rolleyes:
Click to expand...
PressOptimist: You are correct, but at least the volume slow on both (summer and December) and the market may ease be manipulated, I guess, If you do a 10 years compressed chart for the S and I fund you will see there is a dip. This year is a pre-election year and like you said, it may not apply this time. We just need to be very cautious like waking on a swamp or in a minefield.:)
 
Two days of trading and the indexes avg loss is not indicative of direction.

http://stocks.investopedia.com/stoc...rking-This-Year-ITB-XHB-FAS-HGSI-RDN0810.aspx

2009 is a good contrarian to that statement.

2010 cemented the saying as the worst month since 1940.

One thing I do know in my 42 almost 43 years:

No saying or fib-line or EMA cross is 100%. Fundamentals are better source of guessing than a saying.....

When the market detangles from its' love of commodities, you shall see a truer direction of the market....meaning, closer to the fundamentals.

But hey, if you trade by the moon phases, anything is possible.
 
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