Recent content by tsptalk

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    GDPNow GDP Estimates

    Big adjustment: Third-Quarter GDP Growth Estimate Increased On August 29, the GDPNow model estimate for real GDP growth in the third quarter of 2025 is 3.5 percent, up from 2.2 percent on August 26. https://www.atlantafed.org/cqer/research/gdpnow.aspx
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    tsptalk's Market Talk

    We have some weakness this morning in the stock market. The selling started overnight so it doesn't seem to PCE inflation data related. That data came in mostly inline with expectations and likely doesn't change the Fed's outlook on rate cuts. The indices are pulling back from recent highs...
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    Chicago PMI

    Chicago PMI For: Aug Actual: 41.5 B.com Forecast: 48.5 B.com Cons: 46.0 Prior: 47.1
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    Valkyrie's Account Talk

    @Grok
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    Project: HAL-63 Daily

    Good call so far. Is that just a one day signal?
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    Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index

    Univ. of Michigan Consumer Sentiment - Final For: Aug Actual: 58.2 B.com Forecast: 59.0 B.com Cons: 58.6 Prior: 58.6
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    PCE Prices / Personal Income and Spending

    From www.Briefing.com PCE Prices For: Jul Actual: 0.2% | B.com Forecast: 0.2% B.com Cons: 0.2% Prior: 0.3% PCE Prices - Core For: Jul Actual: 0.3% B.com Forecast: 0.3% B.com Cons: 0.3% Prior: 0.3% Personal Income For: Jul Actual: 0.4% B.com Forecast: 0.3% B.com Cons: 0.4% Prior...
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    The market is plowing through bad news. Inflation data next

    08/29/25 Another green day for the US indices as investors have been unfazed by any bad news that gets thrown at the market. Nvidia earnings were a bit of a disappointment but the dip buyers were quick to react and the stocks closed down just 0.79% after being down closer to 3% in early...
  9. tsptalk

    tsptalk's Market Talk

    After reporting earnings last night, Nvidia's weakness has been muted in the indices while some economic data came in better than expected. Despite that data, yields and the dollar are down today helping the S and I-funds to lead in early trading today. The S&P 500 (C-fund) made a new...
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    GDP - Gross Domestic Product

    GDP - Second Estimate For: Q2 Actual: 3.3% B.com Forecast: 3.1% B.com Cons: 3.0% Prior: 3.0% GDP Deflator - Second Estimate For: Q2 Actual: 2.0% B.com Forecast: 2.0% B.com Cons: 2.0% Prior: 2.0% briefing.com
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    Weekly jobless claims

    Initial Claims For: 08/23 Actual: 229K B.com Forecast: 238K B.com Cons: 236K Prior: 234K Revised From: 235K Continuing Claims For: 08/16 Actual: 1954K Prior: 1961K Revised From: 1972K briefing.com
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    The rally continued Wednesday, Nvidia down after earnings

    08/28/25 The stock market showed a lot of green yesterday with small caps leading the pack again, but the I-fund suffered with the dollar moving higher in early trading. Bonds were up as yields rallied. After the bell yesterday Nvidia reported earnings and it was down modestly in after hours...
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    Nvidia

    Nvidia earnings are out – here are the numbers https://www.cnbc.com/2025/08/27/nvidia-nvda-earnings-report-q2-2026.html
  14. tsptalk

    DreamboatAnnie's Account Talk

    Have a great time! 🚢
  15. tsptalk

    tsptalk's Market Talk

    Stocks are modestly higher this morning with small caps leading the way again, as investors await Nvidia's earnings after the closing bell today. The S-fund (DWCPF) is back in that top narrow trading channel, something it was able to hold for most of July, but eventually it falls back to the...
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