Recent content by TommyIV

  1. TommyIV

    October AutoTracker Trends

    Through October, 66 non-premium AutoTracker members have made at least one IFT. Collectively, they’ve increased their stock exposure despite the market’s volatility this month. So which stock fund drew the most attention? It’s getting harder for TSP investors to ignore the I-fund. It has...
  2. TommyIV

    Boghies Account Talk

    I am in the same camp. I almost did some buying today but the choppy morning action had me too hesitant. I am also suffering from greed, hoping the market gets cheaper at the cost of potentially missing out on the cheapest prices this market plans to offer.
  3. TommyIV

    October Contest in Progress

    Volatile and inconsistent — that’s the market this month. TSP investors, both bulls and bears, are struggling to see through this market. Halfway through the month and it is the I and F-fund that have been the wealth drivers this month. Meanwhile, the C and S-fund are priced lower than they...
  4. TommyIV

    FEAR AND GREED

    From Extreme Greed in July to Extreme Fear in October... If Extreme Greed tends to come with an over inflated market, what does Extreme Fear tell us when index prices are still considerably lofty?
  5. TommyIV

    FireWeatherMet Account Talk

    Any of this selling got you leaning to rebuy stock funds soon? Or do you plan on waiting it out longer? I too am on the sidelines.
  6. TommyIV

    Fed Talk

    Federal Reserve Bank of Chicago Austan Goolsbee talks about the Fed's current data dilemma leading up to their upcoming FOMC meeting and also gives an inside scoop of what it is like to be a part of the FOMC meeting. Surprisingly an entertaining interview for a Fed Member:
  7. TommyIV

    tsptalk's Market Talk

    Looks like this comment came around the high of the day. Now at 12:23 PM ET the S&P 500 is trading in negative territory.
  8. TommyIV

    The Frustrated Underinvested

    In today's Market Commentary, Tom said, This morning, the indices opened higher, and TSP stock funds are set to get more expensive to buy. Yet, ten 'underinvested' AutoTracker members used IFTs today to add more stock funds to their TSPs despite the rising costs and the already lofty prices...
  9. TommyIV

    October AutoTracker Trends

    We made it through the weekend with the government shutdown and stock prices are taking off without issue. The rally has opened the door for a herd of underinvested AutoTracker members to chase. Among the nine non-premium members who submitted IFTs today, the average G-fund allocation fell by 71...
  10. TommyIV

    AutoTracker ScoreBoard

    The Monthly AutoTracker Contest is fun for us, and we wanted to use our new forum platform to highlight Winners. So, we created the AutoTracker Scoreboard right here on the Forum for a quick reference and recognition of some of the best investors in the TSP Talk community. To see the...
  11. TommyIV

    September 2025 Contest In Progress

    Eleven members have outperformed the C-fund coming into the final day of the month. The top 2 both hold 100% stock funds. Their remaining contenders hold none. troutman34 sits in 100% C-fund and has enough of a lead that their spot at top seems secure unless the bottom falls out from the S&P...
  12. TommyIV

    September 2025 Contest In Progress

    This is where we left on Friday in the September standings: troutman347 has a healthy lead with two trading days left, including today. They currently hold 100% C-fund, but their allocation is not a fair representative of the leaderboard. Among the top performers, only one other...
  13. TommyIV

    Is the economic data too hot for rate cuts?

    The Treasury borrows through open market bonds, yes, but those yields are heavily shaped by the Fed’s Fund Rate. When the Fed signals cuts, Treasury financing costs drop. With the national debt where it is now, every percentage point higher in rates adds hundreds of billions to annual interest...
  14. TommyIV

    Is the economic data too hot for rate cuts?

    I agree. Our personal experiences may be a sliver of a sample size to the whole picture, yet they are the most tangible and reliable.
  15. TommyIV

    September 2025 Contest In Progress

    We’re closing in on the finish of September’s return contest with just three trading days left. This has been a month of opportunity for active investors—many AutoTracker members have stretched their returns beyond what any single TSP fund has delivered. As of today, 21 members are outpacing the...
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