Recent content by TommyIV

  1. TommyIV

    Passive vs. Active: Who’s Outperforming in 2025?

    2025: A Year for the Active TSP Investor? Today we’re taking a look within. Instead of analyzing the broader market or TSP fund performance, we’re turning the spotlight on the TSP Talk AutoTracker community itself. Our focus? How often our members have moved their money this year—and what...
  2. TommyIV

    The Tariff Talk

    A middleman for middlemen warns that the spike in tariffs is an extinction event for small companies. Ryan Petersen claims he has enough understanding of supply chains and data from his own customers to see the consequences of the latest tariffs. He sees thousands of failed companies and...
  3. TommyIV

    rangerray's Account Talk

    Maybe, but it may be at least another 3 months until the market can come to that conclusion. Many companies are lowering their financial forecasts in the latest report of earnings due to tariff expectations. Some are suspending annual guidance due to their own uncertainty.
  4. TommyIV

    April 2025 AutoTracker Winners!

    Ten percent gains on a month where both the C and S-fund were down? Impressive!
  5. TommyIV

    WorkFE's Account Talk

    Join the party! Eight AutoTracker members moved to 100% G-fund today as well.
  6. TommyIV

    April Contest in Progress

    Only today's and tomorrow's action are left in April. NtvTxan sits at the top of the April standings with a 12.33% return for the month. 😲 April non-premium standings Skipper had the top seat for most of the month, but will need a sell-off in stocks to get back on top, although I doubt they...
  7. TommyIV

    JTH's Account Talk

    The S&P 500 is losing steam heading into the trade deadline. The current price (5,399.96) is around 1.3% lower than its morning highs (5,469.69). How much more will it shed?
  8. TommyIV

    James48843 Account Talk

    Had the same idea on Monday. I caught Tuesday's rally and was quick to pocket most of it. Now I'm missing out on today's rally.
  9. TommyIV

    April Contest in Progress

    We're moving into the second half of April and Skipper's return still stands soundly at the top. The next nine returns below are impressive as well. You will find five of these members in the top 10 of the 2025 standings as well. The average allocation of these top 10 April members is...
  10. TommyIV

    April Contest in Progress

    How'd they do that? The current leader in the April standings made a remarkable maneuver to lock in yesterday's gains. Skipper made their first move of April on Tuesday, moving from 100% G-fund to 100% S-fund. This alone was fine placement putting them in the best seat for the mega rally on...
  11. TommyIV

    tsptalk's Market Talk

    That did give us a taste of how the market may react to such news. This market is ready to take off once it's thrown a bone.
  12. TommyIV

    Fed Talk

    I heard that! He's got so many eyes on him he can't wear a red or blue tie without fear of being portrayed in a particular way. But I did think his haircut was a bit on the conservative side 🧐
  13. TommyIV

    Fed Talk

    From the WSJ: "A speech on the economic outlook by Fed Chair Jerome Powell is slated for 11:25 a.m ET. The big question: How will tariffs and the market mayhem feed into future rate decisions?" One of the most influential market movers is set to speak today 35 minutes before the TSP trade...
  14. TommyIV

    March Contest In Progress

    tom1tom1 is set to win the TSP Talk AutoTracker March Return Contest. They started the month in the I-fund but have held 50% G and 50% F-fund since March 17th. Today, they are spending their last IFT of March to go back to 100% I-fund in April.
  15. TommyIV

    March Contest In Progress

    AutoTracker investors with heavy allocations in the F and G funds are poised to climb the standings today, thanks to favorable market action. Meanwhile, the I-fund, along with its dedicated investors, currently holds the fifth-best return in the non-premium March Standings. If today’s trends...
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