Recent content by InsaneZane1

  1. I

    InsaneZane1's Account Talk

    IFT'd to 100F this morning. Conditions that affect the F Fund make it ripe for a bounce. Between that and the fact the equity funds should be hitting resistance at the hands of Eurasia and it now being in the back half of a short month, it's now more reasonable to use IFT #2 for the month on a...
  2. I

    InsaneZane1's Account Talk

    I'm tinkering with a new system to help determine targets at which to increase or decrease risk. The system involves daily target revisions, so the first target seen will definitely not be a solid entry/exit point for me. After a mildly positive close today, my revised targets are: S&P - 2134...
  3. I

    InsaneZane1's Account Talk

    S&P/C Fund quietly accelerated from a flat morning to a moderate gain to a new high. This is typically a point where one group starts to peel back their risk exposure. I'm not part of that group this time though. We've had a lot of good, fundamental-driven reports over the last month, and low...
  4. I

    InsaneZane1's Account Talk

    VIX is pretty high already, but its ADX suggests that it could go higher still before it's ready to drop. It's amazing that the S&P can get to +0.8% after the markets opened, only to fall to -0.8% now. Falling crude oil price seems to be factoring into it again. I'm not so sure about the S...
  5. I

    InsaneZane1's Account Talk

    Friday's close was lower than I expected. In fact, it hit all of my primary "Buy" targets - price at 50D average, RSI < 40, and Histogram < -0.05. This morning's open looked like it was going up, but it's now looking more like that was a result of European investors buying our dip, followed by...
  6. I

    clester's Account Talk

    I'm thinking the same thing. As I just noted in my account thread, Micros are continuing to lag on a daily basis now, and S Fund's strength is alternating between value vs growth. With Small Caps still showing more strength than Large Caps, I agree that there appears to be a bit more room for...
  7. I

    InsaneZane1's Account Talk

    S&P Dow Jones Indices » Dow Jones Total Stock Market Indices » Overview Micros are continuing to lag, and now the strength today is in value stocks across the board. Each trading day seems to be alternating between value stocks and growth stocks. Small caps are still generally doing better than...
  8. I

    InsaneZane1's Account Talk

    I definitely can't keep up with what everybody else is posting on a regular basis, but I'll definitely do what I can to keep those of you who are interested apprised of my own thoughts. With that said: Most earnings reports have been good and economic reports have also been reasonably good...
  9. I

    InsaneZane1's Account Talk

    Mild to moderate gains in all indexes this morning. S&P Dow Jones Indices » Dow Jones Total Stock Market Indices » Overview Micros and Growth stocks are weakest, which tells me the gains we are seeing this morning are possibly more of a weak, dead cat bounce then the start of the next leg up...
  10. I

    InsaneZane1's Account Talk

    I really don't like the current/10-day spread for the C, S, and I Funds right now. The gaps are too large, in my opinion. This is a very inviting time for technical/day-traders to look for any excuse to take profits. Good news is the typical mass sell-off sectors of DWCPF (S Fund) are actually...
  11. I

    Dollar Hurting the I-Fund

    Re: imported post I read earlier that Japan's markets were closed today for a holiday. I also saw info that regulatory action in Italy was negatively affecting their Utilities stocks. I think that combo - in addition to the Dollar/Yen info you posted may have a fair amount to do with the I...
  12. I

    InsaneZane1's Account Talk

    Japan Bank action and PMI report beating expectations (66.2 act vs 60 est) definitely intrigued me to the point I used October IFT#2 this morning on a move from 50G/50S to 25G/10C/15S/50I. I think I Fund still has some inherent risks due to Eurozone weakness, but the index it follows (EAFE) is a...
  13. I

    InsaneZane1's Account Talk

    Bad news: I rode 100S all the way to the very bottom from the very top. I locked in profits from S and I Funds in late August, then succumbed to peer pressure and went back to 100S in early September - even when I knew all of you who started doing your IFTs toward the S at that time were out of...
  14. I

    End of Month IFTs vs Beginning of Month IFTs (splice from Balance/Age thread)

    I didn't want to hijack the Balance/Age thread with a response to the following post, since my response wouldn't have anything to do with Balance/Age. This is exactly one of my biggest complaints about TSP. I would be more than willing to pay a commission to do more than 2 IFTs/month, when...
  15. I

    Dollar Hurting the I-Fund

    Too many bad economic reports have been coming out on the international front. The I Fund has been in a downward trend since it peaked in late June. A 3+ month bear trend = clear evidence of recession characteristics that are consistent with the kind of reports that have been coming out of major...
Back
Top