Recent content by eukrate

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    Who is Retiring, or Retired?

    Hi Tom I see you're still running this great board! I'm temporarily back in the states, been doin some travel overseas.. CSRS retirement is great even at half-salary! Still allocating L-2010 40% , G 50%, S 5% , I 5% . Been good for me lately but missed out on International in 2006 -gotta...
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    Who is Retiring, or Retired?

    Hi Tom I'll be retired in about one month (end of april). You may remember I re-allocate frequently, based on my risk calculations. Have been heavy into C and I, some G. For retirement though, I ran the numbers through Financial Engines' site (www.financialengines.com) and came up with...
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    WHY TSP IS ON TRACK WITH THE L FUND

    imported post The most recent article from Scott Burns, a Dallas financial columnist, says the L funds will cost 0.6% as the earlier post indicated - Also, this is probably irrelevant since we'll all share the admin expenses, not just those invested in L funds. Lay off the army guy - he's...
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    An allocation based on correlations

    imported post Thanks for the offer. I'm aware of the optimization and efficient frontier studies. I use the Matlab finance toolbox for these. I posted the short-term weekly correlations because they were suprisingly strong. The auto-correlation results are actually more interesting. I don't...
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    An allocation based on correlations

    imported post From the TSP site, I took daily prices of the 5 funds, found Friday-Friday weekly returns and analyzed the correlations. The results can be useful for those looking to diversify into uncorrelated funds to minmize volatility. Weekly Correlations and Means june 6 03- july 15 05...
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    The next 3 months

    imported post Transfers. (To be left in place for 3 months, in this case.)
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    The next 3 months

    imported post 3 month outlook: looking at risk (defined earlier), I fund is getting unstable, while F is improving. Risks: I .82 f: .16 Those of you who are comfortable parking money for 3 months might do what I've done: F: 70% I 0% S:30% good luck to us all...
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    What's new, Tom

    imported post Remember that risk study I posted a while back? Right now it's showing a risk/gain value of 0.8 - i.e. sp500 is 4 times more likely to drop than rise, over the short term. I'll get back in ( with allocations something like C 67% S 33%) in a month or so. EAFE is looking too risky...
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    What's new, Tom

    imported post Hi wheels. Yes I should have been clearer. I'm thinking 'F' is good for a mid-period play, say 6-8 weeks. Definitely not day to day or long term (6 months). Reason is inflationary pressure on intermediate bonds, 7-10 yrs, has been relieved recently and the fear is lessened. This...
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    What's new, Tom

    imported post Hi Tom Just checking in. Looks like some of the old familiars are gone mlk. mT, ... banned by you perhaps? Hope the board is running smoothly. Looking it over just now it seems rather light-weight- lots of chit chat and anti-various posters, but not too much serious analysis. I'll...
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    Medically Retired

    imported post You sound like you need some serious, reliable advise. I suggest you go to http://community.federalsoup.com/4/OpenTopic and post your question directly to Ed Zurndorfer, the moderator, in the "Q&A" section. He'll answer you, but it will take weeks to see his posted response. A...
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    Even more on the I fund

    imported post No thanks, I like my name, eukrate. It's from an asteroid, orbiting the sun way out past mars. Here's a picture.. http://www.mountabbeydale.pwp.blueyonder.co.uk/Images/Eukrate.htm MT, what are you looking at when you conclude the market's way overbought?
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    Market Talk

    imported post You should get off his back milkman. Diverse opinions are useful factors in making an overall assessment. And, you're getting personal again..
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    Even more on the I fund

    imported post Right! The moment I posted that I saw the spelling error and KNEW someone would jump on me. So I'm gramatically fit but spelling-challenged... BTW, welcome back MarketTimer
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    Even more on the I fund

    imported post Tom - I think you overestimate the effect of the dollar. When it declines against a currrency it has the same percentage effect onthe I-fund price as an equivalent increase in the foreign market. The currency effect does not dominate the local market effect. So it's possible to...
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