Recent content by Beavis

  1. Beavis

    Crash of 2011 happening now?

    Just looked at the S Fund chart. The economy didn't go in a ditch, it went off a cliff.
  2. Beavis

    10 Month Modified SMA Method (M-SMA)

    From looking at David's system,it forces you to make a decision on the last day of the period. I haven't seen (or tested) any data on making the trade the day after the period ends; it could be better or worse. This time it was pretty close and depended on the closing S fund value. I did...
  3. Beavis

    10 Month Modified SMA Method (M-SMA)

    S Fund Down -1.6% As of yesterday, your system was saying stay in the S fund with the three funds CSI all above their moving averages. But the S fund was already down -2.6% for the period and is currently down another -1.6% this morning. Could be a change coming.
  4. Beavis

    10 Month Modified SMA Method (M-SMA)

    If you send me the dates of your deposits, I'll take a look at it. I assumed two deposits because in the Reserves every time I get paid there is a deposit.
  5. Beavis

    david.alan.williams Account Talk

    Not following Dave's plan to the extreme, but only have one student loan left to pay off now (plus mortgage) to finish Baby Step 2. Had to get the Boss to go through Financial Peace University to really start cutting back. Highly recommend the course.
  6. Beavis

    10 Month Modified SMA Method (M-SMA)

    David, I looked at several ways to improve your system without much luck (like several others). The one thing I was able to do had to do with the mid-month and end of month dates. I used the idea that all of the military members that contribute to TSP all make their deposits on the 1st and...
  7. Beavis

    10 Month Modified SMA Method (M-SMA)

    Yeah I figured that one out. Instead of predicting the best fund for next week, it was telling me the best fund for last week. I also had the cumulative total wrong using simply addition instead of multiplying the percents; been a while since I worked with this stuff. Thanks for starting this...
  8. Beavis

    10 Month Modified SMA Method (M-SMA)

    HT, You are suggesting a 40 period SMA in the above post and David is actually using a 20 period SMA with his mid-month thrown in. I ran a quick spreadsheet using the weekly closing price with a 10 week SMA over Jan - Dec 2010. Using David's rules, it generated a buy S signal on 31 Dec 09 so...
  9. Beavis

    350Z's 2007 I Fund Thread

    I stayed in the I fund for at least one more day. Hope it works.
  10. Beavis

    ebbnflow's Account Talk

    Another good call on the I fund. I should have known better than to split part into the S. Back in the I tomorrow.
  11. Beavis

    ebbnflow's Account Talk

    Thanks for the work Ebb. It's been a great week. Comparing the S and I funds for Monday's pattern (3 Green), the I shows positive more often (18/28 vs 16/28), but the S fund shows a slightly better gain (5.78% vs. 4.91%). I think I'll try a little of both to try and maximize. 40S/60 I. Good...
  12. Beavis

    Top Decile Daily Results - June 07

    That dead cat went right through the pavement. Asia is still in freefall at 10:00 Central. Hope this ship gets turned the other way.
  13. Beavis

    Top Decile Daily Results - June 07

    I'm betting on a dead cat bounce tomorrow.
  14. Beavis

    Top Decile Daily Results - May 07

    It would be nice to see current allocation. Thanks for the work.
  15. Beavis

    Ebbnflow's Day-to-Day Chart / MAY'07

    Welcome NTXDriver! Looks like a good call on the F fund today EBB. I almost jumped in yesterday (momentary lapse in faith of the Ebbtracker), glad I didn't.
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